Billiejeens
Diamond Member
- Jun 27, 2019
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Investors should position for the rising odds of President Donald Trump winning re-election, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Betting odds that earlier had Trump well behind challenger Joe Biden are now nearly even -- largely due to the impact on public opinion of violence around protests, as well as potential bias in polls, said strategist Marko Kolanovic.
Based on past research, there could be a shift of five to 10 points in polls from Democrats to Republicans if the perception of protests turns from peaceful to violent, he said. People giving inaccurate answers could artificially skew polls in favor of Biden by 5%-6%, he added.
BJ -
Recapping Current Events -
Democrat Violence has pushed reasonable voters away from Democrats 5% to 10%
RNC increased AA support about 9%
Silent Trump voters giving inaccurate polling answers may swing vote an additional 5% to 6%
All is well.
Betting odds that earlier had Trump well behind challenger Joe Biden are now nearly even -- largely due to the impact on public opinion of violence around protests, as well as potential bias in polls, said strategist Marko Kolanovic.
Based on past research, there could be a shift of five to 10 points in polls from Democrats to Republicans if the perception of protests turns from peaceful to violent, he said. People giving inaccurate answers could artificially skew polls in favor of Biden by 5%-6%, he added.
JPMorgan Says Investors Should Prepare for Rising Odds of Trump Win
Investors should position for the rising odds of President Donald Trump winning re-election, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.
www.bloomberg.com
BJ -
Recapping Current Events -
Democrat Violence has pushed reasonable voters away from Democrats 5% to 10%
RNC increased AA support about 9%
Silent Trump voters giving inaccurate polling answers may swing vote an additional 5% to 6%
All is well.