My final prediction...a more realistic assessment.

[Missourian]

Trump wins.

In the most recent aggregate polling Trump leads national polling.

Trump also leads in aggregate in most of the swing states.

Kamala only leads in Michigan and Wisconsin by less than 1%...states which in the last two elections Trump has over performed the aggregate polling by up to 5 points.

Clinton lead aggregate polling by 3.2 on election day and lost.

Biden lead in aggregate polling on election day by 7.2 and only won by 43,000.

If past is prologue, then Harris has very little likelihood of winning.

I won't allow any off topic or name calling in this thread...but since unlike others, I don't have any power to protect my threads...and even if I did, I wouldn't treat my own threads differently than any others...say whatever you want.

Since this is an opinion, it doesn't require links...but here are the links to the 2020 and 2016 polling.

Battleground 2020 polling... Special attention to Wisconsin...

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

www.realclearpolitics.com

Battleground 2016 polling... Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-clinton-top-battleground-states/

 

[Missourian]

Here is the link to Trump's national aggregate polling lead and swing state polls.

Trump leads sewing states by +1 and nationally by 0.2...

2024 Latest Election Polls and Political Insights | RealClearPolling

Explore up-to-date 2024 election polls on RealClearPolling. Gain valuable insights into the evolving political landscape and stay ahead of the latest trends.

www.realclearpolling.com

 

[Missourian]

Clinton Trump 2016 final polling versus final results...

2016 General Election Polls: Trump vs. Clinton | RealClearPolling

Explore poll data from the 2016 General Election, focusing on the Trump vs. Clinton matchup. Gain valuable insights into key trends and electoral dynamics with RealClearPolling.

www.realclearpolling.com

 

[Crepitus]

Trump wins.

In the most recent aggregate polling Trump leads national polling.

Trump also leads in aggregate in most of the swing states.

Kamala only leads in Michigan and Wisconsin by less than 1%...states which in the last two elections Trump has over performed the aggregate polling by up to 5 points.

Clinton lead aggregate polling by 3.2 on election day and lost.

Biden lead in aggregate polling on election day by 7.2 and only won by 43,000.

If past is prologue, then Harris has very little likelihood of winning.

I won't allow any off topic or name calling in this thread...but since unlike others, I don't have any power to protect my threads...and even if I did, I wouldn't treat my own threads differently than any others...say whatever you want.

Since this is an opinion, it doesn't require links...but here are the links to the 2020 and 2016 polling.

Battleground 2020 polling... Special attention to Wisconsin...

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

www.realclearpolitics.com

Battleground 2016 polling... Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-clinton-top-battleground-states/

Prepare for disappointment.

All current trends point to a Harris victory.

 

[Missourian]

You see how Trump over-performed by 1.1 and 3 points respectively about aggregate polling in 2016 (above) and 2020 (below)...

2020 General Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling

Explore poll data on the 2020 General Election between Trump and Biden. Gain insights into key trends and electoral dynamics.

www.realclearpolling.com

 

[Mac-7]

Trump wins.

In the most recent aggregate polling Trump leads national polling.

Trump also leads in aggregate in most of the swing states.

Kamala only leads in Michigan and Wisconsin by less than 1%...states which in the last two elections Trump has over performed the aggregate polling by up to 5 points.

Clinton lead aggregate polling by 3.2 on election day and lost.

Biden lead in aggregate polling on election day by 7.2 and only won by 43,000.

If past is prologue, then Harris has very little likelihood of winning.

I won't allow any off topic or name calling in this thread...but since unlike others, I don't have any power to protect my threads...and even if I did, I wouldn't treat my own threads differently than any others...say whatever you want.

Since this is an opinion, it doesn't require links...but here are the links to the 2020 and 2016 polling.

Battleground 2020 polling... Special attention to Wisconsin...

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

www.realclearpolitics.com

Battleground 2016 polling... Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-clinton-top-battleground-states/

Before the mail in ballot scam I used to ask how many dead people were coming out on election day to vote democrat?

Now the question is how many disinterested citizens and non citizens are going to vote without knowing they voted?

And still for the democrats

 

[Arlette]

Harris is gonna win cause there are a lot more good people than that Trumpen dreck.

 

[Missourian]

Wisconsin polling 2020... Trump over-performs by 6 points...

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

www.realclearpolitics.com

2016 Battleground polling...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-clinton-top-battleground-states/

Trump won every swing state except Nevada.

2016 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org

 

[1srelluc]

Top Battlegrounds – RCP Average

www.realclearpolling.com

Steady if small gains for Trump over the last month. The trend is for Trump.

 

[RoshawnMarkwees]

Does this take into account all of the phantom votes democrats will create to win?

 

[TroglocratsRdumb]

It is hard to predict because we don't know how effective the Democrat voter fraud machine will be.
And the Republican voters tend to not respond to the Pollsters.

 

[Missourian]

Prepare for disappointment.

All current trends point to a Harris victory.

"Current trends" haven't even garnered her a national lead in aggregate polling.

2024 Latest Election Polls and Political Insights | RealClearPolling

Explore up-to-date 2024 election polls on RealClearPolling. Gain valuable insights into the evolving political landscape and stay ahead of the latest trends.

www.realclearpolling.com

That's from one second ago.

Kamala needs a lead of +4 to have a Biden 2020 chance of winning.

She's not even close.

 

[AzogtheDefiler]

Harris is gonna win cause there are a lot more good people than that Trumpen dreck.

Another one vilifying half the country. What an awful person you are

 

[MarathonMike]

Trump wins.

In the most recent aggregate polling Trump leads national polling.

Trump also leads in aggregate in most of the swing states.

Kamala only leads in Michigan and Wisconsin by less than 1%...states which in the last two elections Trump has over performed the aggregate polling by up to 5 points.

Clinton lead aggregate polling by 3.2 on election day and lost.

Biden lead in aggregate polling on election day by 7.2 and only won by 43,000.

If past is prologue, then Harris has very little likelihood of winning.

I won't allow any off topic or name calling in this thread...but since unlike others, I don't have any power to protect my threads...and even if I did, I wouldn't treat my own threads differently than any others...say whatever you want.

Since this is an opinion, it doesn't require links...but here are the links to the 2020 and 2016 polling.

Battleground 2020 polling... Special attention to Wisconsin...

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

RealClearPolitics - Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona

www.realclearpolitics.com

Battleground 2016 polling... Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-clinton-top-battleground-states/

Trump leading nationally to me is the most shocking number of all. That's like an 8 million vote turnaround.

 

[Missourian]

Harris is gonna win cause there are a lot more good people than that Trumpen dreck.

There is a chance Harris wins.

But Trump has been the devil for Democrats for 8 years...

These polls reflect a reality that Americans agree less with that narrative today then they did in 2016 or 2020.

In 2020 on election day Biden was up +7.2 in aggregate polling.

He won Wisconsin and Georgia by 10,000 votes each and PA by 23,000 votes.

Just sayin'...

 

[MarathonMike]

Another one vilifying half the country. What an awful person you are

Another emotionally unstable Trump hater. The Democrats are very good at manipulating them.

 

[Lisa558]

Another one vilifying half the country. What an awful person you are

You should hear the antisemitic remarks she’s made about Jews.

 

[Arlette]

There is a chance Harris wins.

But Trump has been the devil for Democrats for 8 years...

These polls reflect a reality that Americans agree less with than opinion today then they did in 2016 or 2020.

America is ready to put Trump behind 'em. Too much turmoil. Trump fatigue is gonna do that old cob in.

 

[Missourian]

America is ready to put Trump behind 'em. Too much turmoil. Trump fatigue is gonna do that old cob in.

Apparently not, since he's still leading nationally and Harris is going worse than every other Democrat in 20 years.

 

[AzogtheDefiler]

You should hear the antisemitic remarks she’s made about Jews.

She is likely a crazy cat lady who is overweight, ugly as sin and dumber than a tree stump