Predict the Electoral Vote

Trump wins 278 to 260. Republicans lose the House but gain the Senate 51-49.

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Just yesterday I saw a poll that said Harris 49%, Trump 44% for how likely voters will vote. VP Harris needs to start picking out her carpeting and drapes for the Oval Office. :113:

Polls do not take into account the electoral college. Many poll participants may be from Blue states like California or New York which means their vote do not reflect the way the electoral college will go.
 
At the moment, being lousy at predicting elections, I've got the swing states going this way:

Trump
Nevada
Arizona
Georgia
Pennsylvania

Harris
North Carolina
Wisconsin
Minnesota

So:
Trump 271
Harris 267
Michigan to Harris?

With Walz on the ticket, I don't have Minnesota on my swing state card any more.

Otherwise I think that's a pretty good prediction.

I have the same thing, but with NC going to Trump.
 
I heard the same tune in 2020.
In 2020, Biden was up 7.5 in the polls and even with that, 43,000 votes in the swing states would have swung the election to Trump.

Harris is up 1.9 and Trump is closing that even that tiny gap.

Hillary was up 3.5 on election day.

If the election was today, I'm confident Trump would win...just like 2016.

If Harris doesn't get some momentum quick...it's over.
 
In 2020, Biden was up 7.5 in the polls and even with that, 43,000 votes in the swing states would have swung the election to Trump.

Harris is up 1.9 and Trump is closing that even that tiny gap.

Hillary was up 3.5 on election day.

If the election was today, I'm confident Trump would win...just like 2016.

If Harris doesn't get some momentum quick...it's over.



How do you spell Dobbs.
 

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