The Economy Shank in the First Quarter of 2025

[excalibur]

I have been posting for nearly a year.

Posting what for nearly a year, you may ask.

That we wree in Biden stagflation. Said it several times.

I have been proven correct.

Of course, the MSM and Democrats will try and spin this as something, something, something, Trump.

But as I have also pointed out over the years, a new President has zero impact on first quarter GDP in his first year of his term, and basically little on the 2nd quatrer as well, as economic policy is baked in many months prior to that President being sworn in.

Recent U.S. economic data shows mixed signals. While the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell slightly in March 2025, other indicators like GDP and the Producer Price Index (PPI) experienced contractions. However, payroll employment and average hourly earnings saw positive growth.



Key Economic Indicators (March 2025):

• Consumer Price Index (CPI): -0.1%
• Producer Price Index (PPI) - Final Demand: -0.4%
• U.S. Import Price Index: -0.1%
• Real Gross Domestic Product: -0.3%
• Unemployment Rate: 4.2%
• Payroll Employment: +228,000
• Average Hourly Earnings: +$0.09
  

Other Relevant Data:

• Personal Income: Increased $116.8 billion (0.5% monthly rate) in March.
• Disposable Personal Income (DPI): Increased $102.0 billion (0.5%) in March.
• Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE): Increased $134.5 billion (0.7%) in March.
• Federal Government Outlays: Fell 5.1%.
• Industrial Production Index: -0.3%
• Trading Economics: Reports GDP growth at -0.3% in Q1 2025.

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

www.bea.gov

 

[excalibur]

Since 2022.

The latest CPI print showed an increase to 8.3% and was a shock to markets which universally expected a drop. This is the nature of stagflation – Even with falling demand prices continue to climb or remain high for extended periods. The stagflation event of the 1970s lasted for a decade until the Fed jacked rates to 21% and then employment crumbled in the early 1980s.​

Thread 'Escalation: Recent Events Suggest Mounting Economic Danger'

Sep 18, 2022

Much of this mess is laid at the doorstep of Biden and the EU.

When Trump repeatedly warned the EU about Russian energy the world-war-starting Germans laughed.

Then came Biden with his idiotic energy policies hamstringing America.

...

The European Energy Crisis​

This is an event that I have been predicting since the Russian invasion of Ukraine and now it is upon us. I wrote about it extensively in my recent article ‘Europe Is Facing Energy Disaster And It’s Going To Bleed Over Into The US’ so I won’t rehash all that information here. What I do want to point out is...​

• excalibur
• Replies: 5
• Forum: Current Events

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[1srelluc]

The DOW flushed out the chumps early and ended being up 141.75.

 

[TheGreatSatan]

The DOW flushed out the chumps early and ended being up 141.75.

The era of the intentional collapse of America is over.

 

[TheGreatSatan]

I have been posting for nearly a year.

Posting what for nearly a year, you may ask.

That we wree in Biden stagflation. Said it several times.

I have been proven correct.

Of course, the MSM and Democrats will try and spin this as something, something, something, Trump.

But as I have also pointed out over the years, a new President has zero impact on first quarter GDP in his first year of his term, and basically little on the 2nd quatrer as well, as economic policy is baked in many months prior to that President being sworn in.

Recent U.S. economic data shows mixed signals. While the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell slightly in March 2025, other indicators like GDP and the Producer Price Index (PPI) experienced contractions. However, payroll employment and average hourly earnings saw positive growth.



Key Economic Indicators (March 2025):

• Consumer Price Index (CPI): -0.1%
• Producer Price Index (PPI) - Final Demand: -0.4%
• U.S. Import Price Index: -0.1%
• Real Gross Domestic Product: -0.3%
• Unemployment Rate: 4.2%
• Payroll Employment: +228,000
• Average Hourly Earnings: +$0.09
  

Other Relevant Data:

• Personal Income: Increased $116.8 billion (0.5% monthly rate) in March.
• Disposable Personal Income (DPI): Increased $102.0 billion (0.5%) in March.
• Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE): Increased $134.5 billion (0.7%) in March.
• Federal Government Outlays: Fell 5.1%.
• Industrial Production Index: -0.3%
• Trading Economics: Reports GDP growth at -0.3% in Q1 2025.

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

www.bea.gov

If Kamala won, the fake numbers were going to keep Americans asleep till things got so bad, the crash would be instant and surprising. Americans wouldn't be ready for it. Now Americans have awoken to the fact that democrats are traitors working to intentionally collapse America and understand that Trump is saving America from the WEF/Democrats.

If America collapsed, the world would fall into massive wars.

America is BACK!!!

 

[excalibur]