Dante
Chriis Murphy "cerebral and serious"
What many people are missing regarding the 2020 and 2024 US House races: Narrowing of the Efficiency Gap
Hereās another assumption punctured by the 2024 election: that gerrymandering and Democratic vote-clustering give Republicans a structural advantage in the battle for control of the House of Representatives.
For more than two decades, the House was consistently biased in Republicansā favor. Votes cast for GOP candidates translated into congressional seats more efficiently than did votes for Democrats. In 2012, most dramatically, Republicans won a majority of more than 30 seats with a minority of the aggregate nationwide vote. Political observers debated whether this skew was ānaturalā ā a by-product of the countryās political geography ā or the result of Republican gerrymandering. But few doubted that the House was, in fact, tilted to the right.
Now, that fixture of American politics is gone. In the 2022 and 2024 elections, according to standard measures of partisan bias, the House exhibited no pro-Republican lean at all. Of course, Republicans won narrow majorities in 2022 and 2024. But they did so because they won narrow pluralities of the total House vote. For the first time in a generation, both Republicansā control of the chamber and their slim governing margins accurately reflected votersā preferences.
It's amazing how little people actually pay attention to the nuts and bolts of elections. We can look at the most recent election in House races 2024. The narratives that Democrats got swamped is patently false. It's amusing that some media have things a bit skewed. More amusing is people who attack the media as unreliable and biased, quote that same media on perceived GOP gains and Dem losses.
Despite talk of drop-off in blue states, Democratsā most impressive gains came in New York (4th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts) and California (13th, 27th and 45th Congressional Districts). How did they do it?
November 9, 2024
Hereās another assumption punctured by the 2024 election: that gerrymandering and Democratic vote-clustering give Republicans a structural advantage in the battle for control of the House of Representatives.
For more than two decades, the House was consistently biased in Republicansā favor. Votes cast for GOP candidates translated into congressional seats more efficiently than did votes for Democrats. In 2012, most dramatically, Republicans won a majority of more than 30 seats with a minority of the aggregate nationwide vote. Political observers debated whether this skew was ānaturalā ā a by-product of the countryās political geography ā or the result of Republican gerrymandering. But few doubted that the House was, in fact, tilted to the right.
Now, that fixture of American politics is gone. In the 2022 and 2024 elections, according to standard measures of partisan bias, the House exhibited no pro-Republican lean at all. Of course, Republicans won narrow majorities in 2022 and 2024. But they did so because they won narrow pluralities of the total House vote. For the first time in a generation, both Republicansā control of the chamber and their slim governing margins accurately reflected votersā preferences.
It's amazing how little people actually pay attention to the nuts and bolts of elections. We can look at the most recent election in House races 2024. The narratives that Democrats got swamped is patently false. It's amusing that some media have things a bit skewed. More amusing is people who attack the media as unreliable and biased, quote that same media on perceived GOP gains and Dem losses.
Despite talk of drop-off in blue states, Democratsā most impressive gains came in New York (4th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts) and California (13th, 27th and 45th Congressional Districts). How did they do it?
Democrats did better than Harris downballot, providing glimmer of hope
Democrats minimized Senate losses and created possible gains in House, leaving key questions: Why did Harris and GOP candidates underperform?November 9, 2024
