william the wie
Gold Member
- Nov 18, 2009
- 16,667
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While I personally think Trump will pull an October surprise and sign an executive order to read in any and all defense lawyers and judges in the witch hunt and squeeze out a razor thin win in the house and win bigly in the senate that may not happen.
The pre-election floods and fires should also hurt a lot. Peak fire, left coast, and flood, industrial mid-west and Northeast, seasons have not yet been hit. They will hit maximum after the election. Given the traditional D failure to get to the polls if it is not perfect weather is likely to prevent the Ds from winning the house. But let's say I am wrong on both on the October surprise and liberals not getting out to vote than the Ds do win the house but will it matter?
What is happening is that the Blue wall is losing tax base at a compound rate and that is why I ask if it will matter if the Ds win the house?
If current migration and real estate value trends continue the self inflicted damage to the Ds in the Blue wall will leave the house Ds with little or no leverage. Sessions or his replacement will launch a criminal investigation the second any takings clause law suit is not paid off promptly and in full. That is not likely to be a long wait. Ds spending money they ain't got is a tradition that goes back to before the Civil War.
Without throwing the president several big bones the House Ds will make wonderful plea deals for state officials trying to avoid serious fines and jail terms. So, if the Ds win the House I don't think it will matter much.
The pre-election floods and fires should also hurt a lot. Peak fire, left coast, and flood, industrial mid-west and Northeast, seasons have not yet been hit. They will hit maximum after the election. Given the traditional D failure to get to the polls if it is not perfect weather is likely to prevent the Ds from winning the house. But let's say I am wrong on both on the October surprise and liberals not getting out to vote than the Ds do win the house but will it matter?
What is happening is that the Blue wall is losing tax base at a compound rate and that is why I ask if it will matter if the Ds win the house?
If current migration and real estate value trends continue the self inflicted damage to the Ds in the Blue wall will leave the house Ds with little or no leverage. Sessions or his replacement will launch a criminal investigation the second any takings clause law suit is not paid off promptly and in full. That is not likely to be a long wait. Ds spending money they ain't got is a tradition that goes back to before the Civil War.
Without throwing the president several big bones the House Ds will make wonderful plea deals for state officials trying to avoid serious fines and jail terms. So, if the Ds win the House I don't think it will matter much.
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