1srelluc
Diamond Member
Do you think investors are going to throw money at a place that just burned down from decades of mismanagement, unavailable insurance, years of red tape, and building requirements that are going to make nuclear safety officers jealous?
I think, despite the above, it'll be a feeding frenzy for institutional investors (think Blackrock) and the very wealthy.
From a FL poster:
It is unlikely that it will be rebuilt in anything resembling "the way it was".
Based on our experience here in Florida, as soon as they clear the debris there will be "For Sale" signs on every 3rd lot, and as those signs come down, others will pop up.
As for commercial, 80% of that will be on the market before the embers cool, as "builders/developers" and "real estate investors" tend to be different groups of folks.
After over two years, large sections of Estero Island/Fort Myers Beach still have vacant lots all over the place.
Also, this is when the local governments move all sorts of projects they crave that were too $/hard through eminent domain from the "dream" to "doable" category.
Throw in California's exponentially stricter building regulations and policies combined with a restrictive permitting system and higher costs plus all the dreams the bureaucrats have about increasing population density and creating "walkable", "15 minute" cities, and we can see trouble brewing on the horizon.
Since California does not have the kind of State and County-level governments nor the type of courts that are willing or capable of enforcing laws or even cost discipline to put the kibosh on the "good idea fairy" the reconstruction risks becoming an absolute and total shit-show.
I think, despite the above, it'll be a feeding frenzy for institutional investors (think Blackrock) and the very wealthy.
From a FL poster:
It is unlikely that it will be rebuilt in anything resembling "the way it was".
Based on our experience here in Florida, as soon as they clear the debris there will be "For Sale" signs on every 3rd lot, and as those signs come down, others will pop up.
As for commercial, 80% of that will be on the market before the embers cool, as "builders/developers" and "real estate investors" tend to be different groups of folks.
After over two years, large sections of Estero Island/Fort Myers Beach still have vacant lots all over the place.
Also, this is when the local governments move all sorts of projects they crave that were too $/hard through eminent domain from the "dream" to "doable" category.
Throw in California's exponentially stricter building regulations and policies combined with a restrictive permitting system and higher costs plus all the dreams the bureaucrats have about increasing population density and creating "walkable", "15 minute" cities, and we can see trouble brewing on the horizon.
Since California does not have the kind of State and County-level governments nor the type of courts that are willing or capable of enforcing laws or even cost discipline to put the kibosh on the "good idea fairy" the reconstruction risks becoming an absolute and total shit-show.