Five Months Out, Donald Trump Has A Clear Lead

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Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead​

America’s presidential race is no coin flip, says our forecast​

Jun 12th 2024

Joe Biden's job-approval rating stands at 39%, putting him roughly in a tie for lowest of any president at this point in his term in the history of American polling. In all six states that could prove decisive he trails by between one and six percentage points. In the two where he is closest, Wisconsin and Michigan, Democratic candidates’ margins have under-performed the final polls by an average of six points in the past two elections. Even if he wins both, Mr Biden would still need one more swing state to secure the 270 electoral votes necessary for re-election.

These numbers suggest that the race is hardly a “toss-up”. True, the five months remaining before the vote give Mr Biden time to make up ground, and the polls may underestimate his true support. But it is also possible that his deficit could widen, and that the candidate to benefit from any polling error could be Donald Trump.

Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead

America’s presidential race is no coin flip, says our forecast

www.economist.com

 

[airplanemechanic]

Hmm, not so fast.

Joe Biden retakes lead from Donald Trump for first time in a month

A new poll delivered good news to Biden in the race for the White House.

www.newsweek.com

 

[Hellbilly]

Hmm, not so fast.

Joe Biden retakes lead from Donald Trump for first time in a month

A new poll delivered good news to Biden in the race for the White House.

www.newsweek.com

Don’t spoil his dream…he’s in the middle of it.

 

[Donald H]

He's going to have to stop the nonsense about sharks and batteries. Watch his speech to see the reaction of the handpicked audience behind him.

He better listen to the advise of his handlers on not allowing that shit!

Biden's dementia is only going to take Trump so far? Americans are going to start looking for the lesser of two evils, and forget about the consequences of Biden's/Dems' war against Russia.

 

[JackOfNoTrades]

Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead​

America’s presidential race is no coin flip, says our forecast​

Jun 12th 2024

Joe Biden's job-approval rating stands at 39%, putting him roughly in a tie for lowest of any president at this point in his term in the history of American polling. In all six states that could prove decisive he trails by between one and six percentage points. In the two where he is closest, Wisconsin and Michigan, Democratic candidates’ margins have under-performed the final polls by an average of six points in the past two elections. Even if he wins both, Mr Biden would still need one more swing state to secure the 270 electoral votes necessary for re-election.

These numbers suggest that the race is hardly a “toss-up”. True, the five months remaining before the vote give Mr Biden time to make up ground, and the polls may underestimate his true support. But it is also possible that his deficit could widen, and that the candidate to benefit from any polling error could be Donald Trump.

Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead

America’s presidential race is no coin flip, says our forecast

www.economist.com

Again, don't know what reality you people live in, but it's neck and neck. And in the three states Trump took in 2016 to win, it's a statistical dead heat.

And that doesn't bode well for Trump.

 

[Donald H]

Again, don't know what reality you people live in, but it's neck and neck. And in the three states Trump took in 2016 to win, it's a statistical dead heat.

And that doesn't bode well for Trump.

And there's no evidence to show that the evening up is on account of Biden making gains. Shit like the shark and battery story and others like it are likely becoming the major factor on why Biden can even keep it close!

Trump is going to have to try an antiwar tactic, even though it's very risky. The potential for him on reminding Americans of MAD is huge.

 

[JackOfNoTrades]

And there's no evidence to show that the evening up is on account of Biden making gains. Shit like the shark and battery story and others like it are likely becoming the major factor on why Biden can even keep it close!

Trump is going to have to try an antiwar tactic, even though it's very risky. The potential for him on reminding Americans of MAD is huge.

Trump is going to lose. Prepare yourself. The majority of voters do not want to see this asshole in the WH for another four years.
One disaster was enough.

 

[Missourian]

Again, don't know what reality you people live in, but it's neck and neck. And in the three states Trump took in 2016 to win, it's a statistical dead heat.

And that doesn't bode well for Trump.

Fake news.

Clinton was up by four and lost.

Biden was up by seven and 80,000 votes would have shifted the election to Trump.

"Neck and Neck" is a Trump victory.

 

[martybegan]

Again, don't know what reality you people live in, but it's neck and neck. And in the three states Trump took in 2016 to win, it's a statistical dead heat.

And that doesn't bode well for Trump.

Lying to us we can handle, but lying to yourself just sets you up for a meltdown after Election Day.

 

[1srelluc]

Battleground states are all that matter......Now the dems are finding that there are more of them to defend than they thought.....Trump is only behind by a point in Virginia.

 

[Meathead]

Trump is going to lose. Prepare yourself. The majority of voters do not want to see this asshole in the WH for another four years.
One disaster was enough.

The majority of Americans are concerned about the economy, Russian warships in Cuba and Biden's open border policy. None work to Biden's advantage, nor does Biden's obvious senility.

 

[john doe 101]

Fake news.

Clinton was up by four and lost.

Biden was up by seven and 80,000 votes would have shifted the election to Trump.

"Neck and Neck" is a Trump victory.

Biden has to win Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. That's it game over trump.