task0778
Diamond Member
- Mar 10, 2017
- 12,630
- 11,782
Amid a lot of other stories in the press, a good one from Connecticut got a lost in the shuffle: The state held a special election of five state legislative slots, and Republicans unexpectedly won two of them. All five vacancies were a result of newly elected Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont appointing legislators to state roles.
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Now, this state is deep blue. Are these special elections look as though they're referendums on the Democrats, who took a large swath of power in the last midterm. So this "unexpected" result in Connecticut could be a harbinger of things to come in the 2020 election.
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But it's also of a piece with a different metric: That these tiny little special elections, which got so much press in 2017 and 2018 because they yielded Democratic upsets in traditionally Republican enclaves such as Alabama - inevitably led to the Democratic Party's retaking of the House by 2018. It was true enough then, and now we are seeing the trend reverse - this time toward Republicans. If a lot of these little special elections keep yielding "unexpected" Republican results, it's likely a sign the Democrats are going to be out on their ear in the House in 2020.
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Here's another thing: Connecticut has been run by Democrats for a long, long, time. That's led to the inevitable result of liberal Democratic rule: High taxes and unbearable regulation. The Patch, in January, reported that Connecticut is the third-highest state for residential flight:
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When you consider that there are plenty of other high-tax one-party solid blue states, it suggests that there is a breaking point among voters, they have their limits. California isn't precisely like Connecticut, owing to its Silicon Valley plutocrats and its gargantuan illegal immigrant population, but it suggests there's an 'enough' factor somewhere. Maybe Californians will have limits at some point, too. Victor Davis Hanson argues that there will be a breaking point here because California only needs to lose a couple billionaires to other states to see its tax base collapse.
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Here's another thing that's good news for Republicans in this electoral result: The local Connecticut Mirror reports that the districts that flipped were blue collar districts, the very voters Democrats have lately been trying to write off, even as the election of President Trump in 2016 showed their power. Kind of stupid of them, in light of Connecticut. Because if they can lose parts of Connecticut in a low-turnout special election, think what they can lose in a purple state, or a red state.
https://www.americanthinker.com/blo...ction_brings_2_gop_pickups.html#ixzz5h1s835If
Ok, maybe this is a one-off that means nothing. BUT - it's certainly possible that in many districts across the country the far-left turn the Dems are in the process of making could bite them in the butt come Nov 2020. It's JMO, but I'd bet money (if I had any) that if we had another national election today, the Dems would lose the House.
.
Now, this state is deep blue. Are these special elections look as though they're referendums on the Democrats, who took a large swath of power in the last midterm. So this "unexpected" result in Connecticut could be a harbinger of things to come in the 2020 election.
.
But it's also of a piece with a different metric: That these tiny little special elections, which got so much press in 2017 and 2018 because they yielded Democratic upsets in traditionally Republican enclaves such as Alabama - inevitably led to the Democratic Party's retaking of the House by 2018. It was true enough then, and now we are seeing the trend reverse - this time toward Republicans. If a lot of these little special elections keep yielding "unexpected" Republican results, it's likely a sign the Democrats are going to be out on their ear in the House in 2020.
.
Here's another thing: Connecticut has been run by Democrats for a long, long, time. That's led to the inevitable result of liberal Democratic rule: High taxes and unbearable regulation. The Patch, in January, reported that Connecticut is the third-highest state for residential flight:
.
When you consider that there are plenty of other high-tax one-party solid blue states, it suggests that there is a breaking point among voters, they have their limits. California isn't precisely like Connecticut, owing to its Silicon Valley plutocrats and its gargantuan illegal immigrant population, but it suggests there's an 'enough' factor somewhere. Maybe Californians will have limits at some point, too. Victor Davis Hanson argues that there will be a breaking point here because California only needs to lose a couple billionaires to other states to see its tax base collapse.
.
Here's another thing that's good news for Republicans in this electoral result: The local Connecticut Mirror reports that the districts that flipped were blue collar districts, the very voters Democrats have lately been trying to write off, even as the election of President Trump in 2016 showed their power. Kind of stupid of them, in light of Connecticut. Because if they can lose parts of Connecticut in a low-turnout special election, think what they can lose in a purple state, or a red state.
https://www.americanthinker.com/blo...ction_brings_2_gop_pickups.html#ixzz5h1s835If
Ok, maybe this is a one-off that means nothing. BUT - it's certainly possible that in many districts across the country the far-left turn the Dems are in the process of making could bite them in the butt come Nov 2020. It's JMO, but I'd bet money (if I had any) that if we had another national election today, the Dems would lose the House.
