Trump Winning Every Swing State According To Realclearpolling and Polymarket

[crossbody]

Who’s winning the election in Pennsylvania, swing states? Polls have changed, check now​

Maria Francis, USA TODAY NETWORK
Fri, October 25, 2024, 9:57 AM CDT

• realclearpolling shows the betting odds are in an even tie between Trump and Harris, while Pennsylvania shows odds favoring Trump by +0.6; Arizona shows odds +1.5 in favor of Trump; Georgia shows +2.2 in favor of Trump; Michiganshows +0.2 in favor of Trump; Nevada shows +0.7 in favor of Trump; North Carolina shows +0.8 in favor of Trump and Wisconsin shows +0.2 in favor of Trump. The odds in national polls have tied, while Trump maintains marginal lead in swing state compared to last week's polls results.
  
  
• Polymarket, a crypto-trading platform is expressing high odds by the betting public in the national race favoring Trump 64.3% over Harris 35.5%. Pennsylvaniashows Trump favored 61% over Harris's 39%. Arizona shows Trump favored 72% over Harris 29%. Georgia shows Trump favored 72% over Harris 29%. Michiganshows Trump favored 55% over Harris 46%. Nevada shows Trump favored 65% over Harris 35%. North Carolina shows Trump favored 68% over Harris 32%. Wisconsin shows Trump favored 56% over Harris 44%. All of the betting odds have shifted in favor of Trump compared to last week's polls results.
  
  The ABC and 270towin polls are skewed/titled to completely favor Harris only, so we do not go by any of their data. The betting sites are far more accurate than regular polling sites.
  
  
  

  Who’s winning the election in Pennsylvania, swing states? Polls have changed, check now

  Will Donald Trump or Kamala Harris be the next president? Swing states and the national polls have all changed. Here's what they show right now.

  www.yahoo.com

 

[crossbody]

How accurate have election odds or polls been in past presidential elections?​

The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866, according to the Conversation, a nonprofit news organization.

The track record on polling is more challenging as different pollsters asking different audiences can often draw higher margins for error.

According to Pew Research, confidence in the public opinion polling has suffered given the errors in the presidential elections of 2016 and 2020.

In both of these general elections, many polls underestimated the appeal of Republican Donald Trump.

 

[toobfreak]

realclearpolling shows the betting odds are in an even tie between Trump and Harris, while Pennsylvania shows odds favoring Trump by +0.6; Arizona shows odds +1.5 in favor of Trump; Georgia shows +2.2 in favor of Trump; Michiganshows +0.2 in favor of Trump; Nevada shows +0.7 in favor of Trump; North Carolina shows +0.8 in favor of Trump and Wisconsin shows +0.2 in favor of Trump. The odds in national polls have tied, while Trump maintains marginal lead in swing state compared to last week's polls results.​

I'm incredulous that it even remains so close to be in a dead heat, really, within the margin of error. It makes me wonder if they are keeping it polled that close so that Kammy can swoop in at 6AM the day after and suddenly win again?

Problem is that WAY MORE people are early voting this time, so that'll leave far fewer last minute mail-in ballots.

I bet Trump gets 80-85 million votes.

 

[Moonglow]

Who’s winning the election in Pennsylvania, swing states? Polls have changed, check now​

Maria Francis, USA TODAY NETWORK
Fri, October 25, 2024, 9:57 AM CDT

• realclearpolling shows the betting odds are in an even tie between Trump and Harris, while Pennsylvania shows odds favoring Trump by +0.6; Arizona shows odds +1.5 in favor of Trump; Georgia shows +2.2 in favor of Trump; Michiganshows +0.2 in favor of Trump; Nevada shows +0.7 in favor of Trump; North Carolina shows +0.8 in favor of Trump and Wisconsin shows +0.2 in favor of Trump. The odds in national polls have tied, while Trump maintains marginal lead in swing state compared to last week's polls results.
  
  
• Polymarket, a crypto-trading platform is expressing high odds by the betting public in the national race favoring Trump 64.3% over Harris 35.5%. Pennsylvaniashows Trump favored 61% over Harris's 39%. Arizona shows Trump favored 72% over Harris 29%. Georgia shows Trump favored 72% over Harris 29%. Michiganshows Trump favored 55% over Harris 46%. Nevada shows Trump favored 65% over Harris 35%. North Carolina shows Trump favored 68% over Harris 32%. Wisconsin shows Trump favored 56% over Harris 44%. All of the betting odds have shifted in favor of Trump compared to last week's polls results.
  
  The ABC and 270towin polls are skewed/titled to completely favor Harris only, so we do not go by any of their data. The betting sites are far more accurate than regular polling sites.
  
  
  

  Who’s winning the election in Pennsylvania, swing states? Polls have changed, check now

  Will Donald Trump or Kamala Harris be the next president? Swing states and the national polls have all changed. Here's what they show right now.

  www.yahoo.com

I can get a better result than them by licking my finger and holding it up in the air to see which way the wind blows.

 

[MarathonMike]

The only reason Kamala has a prayer is because of Fetal Murder Rights that is apparently the number one issue for many voters.

 

[Freedomisneverfree]

 

[Vrenn]

Who’s winning the election in Pennsylvania, swing states? Polls have changed, check now​

Maria Francis, USA TODAY NETWORK
Fri, October 25, 2024, 9:57 AM CDT

• realclearpolling shows the betting odds are in an even tie between Trump and Harris, while Pennsylvania shows odds favoring Trump by +0.6; Arizona shows odds +1.5 in favor of Trump; Georgia shows +2.2 in favor of Trump; Michiganshows +0.2 in favor of Trump; Nevada shows +0.7 in favor of Trump; North Carolina shows +0.8 in favor of Trump and Wisconsin shows +0.2 in favor of Trump. The odds in national polls have tied, while Trump maintains marginal lead in swing state compared to last week's polls results.

realclearpolling is shown as a neutral reporting site. But it's actual figures are taken from many different polls. tRump has already let the cat out of the bag that the MAGAts are paying some to report a favorable number for him and some aren't even bothering to poll, they just make it up.

• 
  
  
• Polymarket, a crypto-trading platform is expressing high odds by the betting public in the national race favoring Trump 64.3% over Harris 35.5%. Pennsylvaniashows Trump favored 61% over Harris's 39%. Arizona shows Trump favored 72% over Harris 29%. Georgia shows Trump favored 72% over Harris 29%. Michiganshows Trump favored 55% over Harris 46%. Nevada shows Trump favored 65% over Harris 35%. North Carolina shows Trump favored 68% over Harris 32%. Wisconsin shows Trump favored 56% over Harris 44%. All of the betting odds have shifted in favor of Trump compared to last week's polls results.
  
  The ABC and 270towin polls are skewed/titled to completely favor Harris only, so we do not go by any of their data. The betting sites are far more accurate than regular polling sites.
  
  
  

  Who’s winning the election in Pennsylvania, swing states? Polls have changed, check now

  Will Donald Trump or Kamala Harris be the next president? Swing states and the national polls have all changed. Here's what they show right now.

  www.yahoo.com

And this one polls directly off the media sites. They even claim that youtube is an accurate count.

Fact is, polls have become worthless.

 

[Freedomisneverfree]

 

[Freedomisneverfree]

Madison Square Garden is PACKED with people for Trump!

 

[Freedomisneverfree]

 

[MarathonMike]

Fact is, polls have become worthless.

Yeah, right about the time they all flipped negative on your defective candidate.

 

[Freedomisneverfree]

 

[justoffal]

How accurate have election odds or polls been in past presidential elections?​

The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866, according to the Conversation, a nonprofit news organization.

The track record on polling is more challenging as different pollsters asking different audiences can often draw higher margins for error.

According to Pew Research, confidence in the public opinion polling has suffered given the errors in the presidential elections of 2016 and 2020.

In both of these general elections, many polls underestimated the appeal of Republican Donald Trump.

Geez It's pretty bad when the bookies are a lot better at this than the pollsters.

 

[Freedomisneverfree]

 

[Freedomisneverfree]

 

[Freedomisneverfree]

 

[Freedomisneverfree]

 

[Lisa558]

I'm incredulous that it even remains so close to be in a dead heat, really, within the margin of error. It makes me wonder if they are keeping it polled that close so that Kammy can swoop in at 6AM the day after and suddenly win again?

Problem is that WAY MORE people are early voting this time, so that'll leave far fewer last minute mail-in ballots.

I bet Trump gets 80-85 million votes.

85,000,001. Don’t forget to count MY vote!

 

[Freedomisneverfree]

 

[Freedomisneverfree]