What is your speculation on the net effect of RFK Jr endorsing Trump today?

[MarathonMike]

This is how I see it. I think maybe half of RFK supporters won't vote or will vote for RFK anyway as a protest vote. Trump will get the majority of those who will vote and Kamala will get the rest. So for instance in Arizona where RFK Jr had 5 percent I think Trump gets around a 1 percent net gain. What do you think the net result will be?

 

[CosmicRocker]

This is how I see it. I think maybe half of RFK supporters won't vote or will vote for RFK anyway as a protest vote. Trump will get the majority of those who will vote and Kamala will get the rest. So for instance in Arizona where RFK Jr had 5 percent I think Trump gets around a 1 percent net gain. What do you think the net result will be?

RFK had himself removed from AZ ballot and battleground states, Nevada may be too late
I think they'll vote, if they still support him after his drop in the polls then they are committed.

It's also another person besides Trump and Vance to campaign for Trump - intangible
1-2% gain is significant in battleground states

 

[theHawk]

RFK had himself removed from AZ ballot and battleground states, Nevada may be too late
I think they'll vote, if they still support him after his drop in the polls then they are committed.

It's also another person besides Trump and Vance to campaign for Trump - intangible
1-2% gain is significant in battleground states

He was never on the ballot in AZ. He removed himself as a write in candidate.

 

[Calypso Jones]

hmm. I thinnnnnnk.... he will bring voters to Trump...and those voters will be HIS supporters and some will be people who HATE the Kennedy dynasty....yes,,,that is what i said, and some will be people who recognize that this DEM commie flake demon party is not the party of their parents/grandparents. Gain for trump.... i'm not sure how substantial but definite loss for the dems.

Still...RFKjr IS a democrat and not to be trusted. He is STILL a democrat with ingrained beliefs, that's not gonna change. He is nutz and has done some pretty ugly things to wife number 1 alive and dead. In the end, he will turn again. He may even be as power mad as Jeb bush and think he has a chance through a backdoor if there is a tie perhaps between Trump and Harris. Seen that thought and as far out as it seems...hell...anything can happen in this world at this point.

 

[SweetSue92]

This is how I see it. I think maybe half of RFK supporters won't vote or will vote for RFK anyway as a protest vote. Trump will get the majority of those who will vote and Kamala will get the rest. So for instance in Arizona where RFK Jr had 5 percent I think Trump gets around a 1 percent net gain. What do you think the net result will be?

I was thinking this before I heard his speech. Now I think Trump might do a little better than getting 1% net gain, but not ALL of RFK Jr's voters as some are saying.

Also--

What RFK Jr said has legs...and will keep resonating.

 

[toobfreak]

What is your speculation on the net effect of RFK Jr endorsing Trump today?​

At least a permanent 1-2% bump for Trump and more bad news for the Kamalists.

 

[there4eyeM]

Those who were prepared to vote for Kennedy are unlikely to vote for Harris (why would anyone?). They might well not want to vote for Trump (why would anyone?). Many probably will still vote "other" someway and the rest may not bother to exercise a precious, but increasingly futile, right.

 

[toobfreak]

Those who were prepared to vote for Kennedy are unlikely to vote for Harris (why would anyone?).

Obviously, unless our elections are a total flim flam now, millions will want to vote for Harris. But I've heard Kennedy say some things which at least did not sound totally off the horizon of reason.
A real bummer for democrats if he, Trump and Nicki all team up.

They might well not want to vote for Trump (why would anyone?).

Why would anyone not want to? Because of doubts about his personal past life long since passed which has nothing at all to do with his work in office today? So they would see Harris take the office instead? Has anyone bothered looking at Harris' past life???

Many probably will still vote "other"

The other what? Might as well just not vote at all.

 

[there4eyeM]

There is no one to vote "for", only "against".

 

[toobfreak]

There is no one to vote "for"

Sure there is.

 

[there4eyeM]

Sure there is.

View attachment 1000541

That's only a vote against Harris.

 

[sparky]

Swing voters are formidable this time 'round , much for reasons RFK nailed in his endorsement of Trump

Juxtaposed to the Dems having no game, can't stand on record, and have nothing more than put downs i's say it's in the bag

~S~

 

[Care4all]

Seems unlikely that RFK Jr voters would now decide to vote for Trump....when they already decided NOT to vote for Trump because he was too old, or too vile and chose to vote RFK. If they had any liking for trump at all, seems to me, they never would have been RFK supporters.

The liberal RFK supporter chose him because of Biden's age....with Kamala now, they returned to the democratic party..... I've read....about 4% points of his once garnering of 10% of the vote left and Harris got the bump.

Now with the 5 or 6% conservatives left of his 10% of the general supporters .....the situation is different because Trump is still a grumpy OLD man....there is no one new and younger replacing Trump for RFK voters to change their minds and now vote republican.... the previously rejected, old man Trump is still there....?

 

[The Duke]

Seems unlikely that RFK Jr voters would now decide to vote for Trump....when they already decided NOT to vote for Trump because he was too old, or too vile and chose to vote RFK. If they had any liking for trump at all, seems to me, they never would have been RFK supporters.

The liberal RFK supporter chose him because of Biden's age....with Kamala now, they returned to the democratic party..... I've read....about 4% points of his once garnering of 10% of the vote left and Harris got the bump.

Now with the 5 or 6% conservatives left of his 10% of the general supporters .....the situation is different because Trump is still a grumpy OLD man....there is no one new and younger replacing Trump for RFK voters to change their minds and now vote republican.... the previously rejected, old man Trump is still there....?

You really pretzeled that one up.
I say it solidifies the "for America" vs. the "Tear America Down" candidates.

 

[JGalt]

CNN's Erin Burnett says "Now you might say, that's not a big deal... Actually, if that's the case, it is HUGE — it is everything."

Of course, we all know CNN is "fake news", right?

 

[Harpy Eagle]

Cannot see it moving the needle at all. People that supported RFKjr were 3rd party voters and will probably find a different 3rd party to vote for

 

[The Duke]

Cannot see it moving the needle at all. People that supported RFKjr were 3rd party voters and will probably find a different 3rd party to vote for

Babu says no!

 

[Harpy Eagle]

Babu says no!
View attachment 1000565

Pretty sad for you all that your hopes and dreams all rely on voters from RFK saving your god and putting him over the finish line first.

 

[Care4all]

You really pretzeled that one up.

I know! but I didn't do it on purpose! It was just hard to put my gut instinct thoughts in to words!

Basically, RFK in a key state was getting 10% of the national vote according to polling...

When Harris replaced Biden, the next poll showed RFK garnering only 5.7% of the polled voters, and Harris's corresponding percentages from polled voters went up.

The RFK democratic/liberal supporters of his, left....and went to the Harris camp when she came on the scene.

There is no incentive for Republican/conservative supporters of RFK, even with him quitting, to now go to Trump.....Trump is still Trump, the person they rejected when going with their RFK support.

 

[The Duke]

Pretty sad for you all that your hopes and dreams all rely on voters from RFK saving your god and putting him over the finish line first.

Wow, so much stupid in 1 post. Think I'll just let that stink bomb lie where it is.