Billy000
Democratic Socialist
- Nov 10, 2011
- 32,076
- 12,825
1) There's no guarantee that a democrat/republican will vote democrat/republican.
2) We don't know how independents are voting at this point
3) In most states, the largest number of votes cast are on the actual election day.
4) There is a demographic divide on who votes early and who doesn't. For instance, elderly people overwhelming vote early instead of on election day and the elderly typically vote republican. This is part of the reason why repubs are ahead in early voting.
5) Polls already account for early voting anyway.
6) Regardless of election outcome, republicans always have a lead in early voting.
Politics Podcast: No, The Model Doesn’t Care About The Early Vote
2) We don't know how independents are voting at this point
3) In most states, the largest number of votes cast are on the actual election day.
4) There is a demographic divide on who votes early and who doesn't. For instance, elderly people overwhelming vote early instead of on election day and the elderly typically vote republican. This is part of the reason why repubs are ahead in early voting.
5) Polls already account for early voting anyway.
6) Regardless of election outcome, republicans always have a lead in early voting.
Politics Podcast: No, The Model Doesn’t Care About The Early Vote