Procrustes Stretched
"intuition and imagination and intelligence"
We have the science telling us that a scenario involving a ‘Worst-Case’ Disaster for Antarctic Ice" is probably less likely to occur than previously thought. I think of probabilities, possibilities, predictions, suggestions, theories and see anti-science people, who claim to not be anti-science, coming out to attack the science and especially the scientists themselves, all because political partisans and ideologues fear the science and what it suggests.
Myself, I usually, almost always go with the science. Exceptions? Cases like the supposed science surrounding cigarette smoking, tobacco products and relationships to cancer and other health issues.
snippets:
As all this ice tumbles into the ocean, and assuming that nations’ emissions of heat-trapping gases climb to extremely high levels, Antarctica could contribute more than a foot to worldwide sea-level rise before the end of the century.
This calamitous chain of events is still hypothetical, yet scientists have taken it seriously enough to include it as a “low-likelihood, high-impact” possibility in the United Nations’ latest assessment of future sea-level increase.
Now, though, a group of researchers has put forth evidence that the prospect may be more remote than previously thought. As humans burn fossil fuels and heat the planet, West Antarctica’s ice remains vulnerable to destruction in many forms. But this particular form, in which ice cliffs collapse one after the other, looks less likely, according to the scientists’ computer simulations.
“We’re not saying that we’re safe,” said Mathieu Morlighem, a professor of earth science at Dartmouth College who led the research. “The Antarctic ice sheet is going to disappear; this is going to happen. The question is how fast.”
Myself, I usually, almost always go with the science. Exceptions? Cases like the supposed science surrounding cigarette smoking, tobacco products and relationships to cancer and other health issues.
‘Worst-Case’ Disaster for Antarctic Ice Looks Less Likely, Study Finds
Global warming is putting the continent’s ice at risk of destruction in many forms. But one especially calamitous scenario might be a less pressing concern, a new study found.snippets:
As all this ice tumbles into the ocean, and assuming that nations’ emissions of heat-trapping gases climb to extremely high levels, Antarctica could contribute more than a foot to worldwide sea-level rise before the end of the century.
This calamitous chain of events is still hypothetical, yet scientists have taken it seriously enough to include it as a “low-likelihood, high-impact” possibility in the United Nations’ latest assessment of future sea-level increase.
Now, though, a group of researchers has put forth evidence that the prospect may be more remote than previously thought. As humans burn fossil fuels and heat the planet, West Antarctica’s ice remains vulnerable to destruction in many forms. But this particular form, in which ice cliffs collapse one after the other, looks less likely, according to the scientists’ computer simulations.
“We’re not saying that we’re safe,” said Mathieu Morlighem, a professor of earth science at Dartmouth College who led the research. “The Antarctic ice sheet is going to disappear; this is going to happen. The question is how fast.”
