If blacks on a percentage basis had turned out in 2008 as they did in 2004 would Obama have won?
If they had turned out in 2012 as they turned out in 2004 would Obama had been re-elected?
If they turned out in 2016 as they turned out in 2012 would Trump have won?
If they had turned out in 2012 as they turned out in 2004 would Obama had been re-elected?
If they turned out in 2016 as they turned out in 2012 would Trump have won?