Excellant Article on the Pandemic--written by the man who predicted it--Larry Brilliant

[EvilEyeFleegle]

I found this article to be informative and quite cogent...worth the read..as is this "what it is and how it got here guide...
What You Should Know About the Coronavirus

A quote..
How does it spread?
It’s likely to be transmitted in droplets from coughing or sneezes, and the virus has a two- to 14-day incubation period. That means people could be infectious for quite a while before symptoms like fever, cough, or shortness of breath emerge.

What are the particular symptoms of Covid-19?
In the confirmed cases so far, most people get a fever with a dry cough; smaller numbers of folks might experience shortness of breath, a sore throat, or a headache.

The article....The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming

A quote..
"Besides working with the World Health Organization in the effort to end smallpox, Brilliant, who is now 75, has fought flu, polio, and blindness; once led Google’s nonprofit wing, Google.org; co-founded the conferencing system the Well; and has traveled with the Grateful Dead.

We talked by phone on Tuesday. At the time, President Donald Trump’s response to the crisis had started to change from “no worries at all” to finally taking more significant steps to stem the pandemic. Brilliant lives in one of the six Bay Area counties where residents were ordered to shelter in place. When we began the conversation, he’d just gotten off the phone with someone he described as high government official, who asked Brilliant “How the fuck did we get here?” I wanted to hear how we’ll get out of here.

Larry Brilliant says he doesn’t have a crystal ball. But 14 years ago, Brilliant, the epidemiologist who helped eradicate smallpox, spoke to a TED audience and described what the next pandemic would look like. At the time, it sounded almost too horrible to take seriously. “A billion people would get sick," he said. “As many as 165 million people would die. There would be a global recession and depression, and the cost to our economy of $1 to $3 trillion would be far worse for everyone than merely 100 million people dying, because so many more people would lose their jobs and their health care benefits, that the consequences are almost unthinkable.”

 

[Street Juice]

I wanted to hear how we’ll get out of here.

Me too. Disappointingly, I didn't.

 

[Olde Europe]

I found this article to be informative and quite cogent...worth the read..as is this "what it is and how it got here guide...
What You Should Know About the Coronavirus

A quote..
How does it spread?
It’s likely to be transmitted in droplets from coughing or sneezes, and the virus has a two- to 14-day incubation period. That means people could be infectious for quite a while before symptoms like fever, cough, or shortness of breath emerge.

What are the particular symptoms of Covid-19?
In the confirmed cases so far, most people get a fever with a dry cough; smaller numbers of folks might experience shortness of breath, a sore throat, or a headache.

The article....The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming

A quote..
"Besides working with the World Health Organization in the effort to end smallpox, Brilliant, who is now 75, has fought flu, polio, and blindness; once led Google’s nonprofit wing, Google.org; co-founded the conferencing system the Well; and has traveled with the Grateful Dead.

We talked by phone on Tuesday. At the time, President Donald Trump’s response to the crisis had started to change from “no worries at all” to finally taking more significant steps to stem the pandemic. Brilliant lives in one of the six Bay Area counties where residents were ordered to shelter in place. When we began the conversation, he’d just gotten off the phone with someone he described as high government official, who asked Brilliant “How the fuck did we get here?” I wanted to hear how we’ll get out of here.

Larry Brilliant says he doesn’t have a crystal ball. But 14 years ago, Brilliant, the epidemiologist who helped eradicate smallpox, spoke to a TED audience and described what the next pandemic would look like. At the time, it sounded almost too horrible to take seriously. “A billion people would get sick," he said. “As many as 165 million people would die. There would be a global recession and depression, and the cost to our economy of $1 to $3 trillion would be far worse for everyone than merely 100 million people dying, because so many more people would lose their jobs and their health care benefits, that the consequences are almost unthinkable.”

Worth the read, indeed.

The world is not going to begin to look normal until three things have happened. One, we figure out whether the distribution of this virus looks like an iceberg, which is one-seventh above the water, or a pyramid, where we see everything.​

But we know, currently it's an iceberg. Testing is for those with (severe) symptoms only, and that is, at most, one out of five infected.

The number of confirmed cases is around 25k. (In reality, there is a backlog of tests that still need to be performed, which would have to be added.)

That means, there should be at least 75k more cases out there, people with no symptoms, or mild symptoms and sent home with out a test. So, we get to 100k in total.

That's already more than detected cases in China, and... in reality, it's far, far worse than that.

It takes about ten days (five to fourteen) to develop symptoms. So, the current snapshot of cases with symptoms depicts the situation of ten days ago. We also know, in a normal environment, the infection rate is such that the number of infected doubles about every 2.5 days. So, in ten days, the original number of infected doubles four times. Do the math: 100k doubled four times, and see what you get.

It's the most dangerous pandemic in our lifetime.​

The man isn't exaggerating. The elderly have a one-in-seven chance to die. That is so in an environment with a functioning healthcare system. That, however, is not guaranteed when most medical personnel is infected because of a lack (or the re-use) of protective gear, beds and ventilators running out - having run out long ago.

Take care!

 

[beautress]

I found this article to be informative and quite cogent...worth the read..as is this "what it is and how it got here guide...
What You Should Know About the Coronavirus

A quote..
How does it spread?
It’s likely to be transmitted in droplets from coughing or sneezes, and the virus has a two- to 14-day incubation period. That means people could be infectious for quite a while before symptoms like fever, cough, or shortness of breath emerge.

What are the particular symptoms of Covid-19?
In the confirmed cases so far, most people get a fever with a dry cough; smaller numbers of folks might experience shortness of breath, a sore throat, or a headache.

The article....The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming

A quote..
"Besides working with the World Health Organization in the effort to end smallpox, Brilliant, who is now 75, has fought flu, polio, and blindness; once led Google’s nonprofit wing, Google.org; co-founded the conferencing system the Well; and has traveled with the Grateful Dead.

We talked by phone on Tuesday. At the time, President Donald Trump’s response to the crisis had started to change from “no worries at all” to finally taking more significant steps to stem the pandemic. Brilliant lives in one of the six Bay Area counties where residents were ordered to shelter in place. When we began the conversation, he’d just gotten off the phone with someone he described as high government official, who asked Brilliant “How the fuck did we get here?” I wanted to hear how we’ll get out of here.

Larry Brilliant says he doesn’t have a crystal ball. But 14 years ago, Brilliant, the epidemiologist who helped eradicate smallpox, spoke to a TED audience and described what the next pandemic would look like. At the time, it sounded almost too horrible to take seriously. “A billion people would get sick," he said. “As many as 165 million people would die. There would be a global recession and depression, and the cost to our economy of $1 to $3 trillion would be far worse for everyone than merely 100 million people dying, because so many more people would lose their jobs and their health care benefits, that the consequences are almost unthinkable.”

Well, for what reason, we're fighting back the bloody CV-19 and we're gonna defeat that interloper! ~~ the good Lord willing, that is, and I'm thinking he's happy we bothered to fund scientists like Dr. Brilliant to give good advice from his lifetime of service and seeing what worked well in people who never contracted the disease he was following with a fine-toothed comb.

 

[beautress]

I found this article to be informative and quite cogent...worth the read..as is this "what it is and how it got here guide...
What You Should Know About the Coronavirus

A quote..
How does it spread?
It’s likely to be transmitted in droplets from coughing or sneezes, and the virus has a two- to 14-day incubation period. That means people could be infectious for quite a while before symptoms like fever, cough, or shortness of breath emerge.

What are the particular symptoms of Covid-19?
In the confirmed cases so far, most people get a fever with a dry cough; smaller numbers of folks might experience shortness of breath, a sore throat, or a headache.

The article....The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming

A quote..
"Besides working with the World Health Organization in the effort to end smallpox, Brilliant, who is now 75, has fought flu, polio, and blindness; once led Google’s nonprofit wing, Google.org; co-founded the conferencing system the Well; and has traveled with the Grateful Dead.

We talked by phone on Tuesday. At the time, President Donald Trump’s response to the crisis had started to change from “no worries at all” to finally taking more significant steps to stem the pandemic. Brilliant lives in one of the six Bay Area counties where residents were ordered to shelter in place. When we began the conversation, he’d just gotten off the phone with someone he described as high government official, who asked Brilliant “How the fuck did we get here?” I wanted to hear how we’ll get out of here.

Larry Brilliant says he doesn’t have a crystal ball. But 14 years ago, Brilliant, the epidemiologist who helped eradicate smallpox, spoke to a TED audience and described what the next pandemic would look like. At the time, it sounded almost too horrible to take seriously. “A billion people would get sick," he said. “As many as 165 million people would die. There would be a global recession and depression, and the cost to our economy of $1 to $3 trillion would be far worse for everyone than merely 100 million people dying, because so many more people would lose their jobs and their health care benefits, that the consequences are almost unthinkable.”

Worth the read, indeed.

The world is not going to begin to look normal until three things have happened. One, we figure out whether the distribution of this virus looks like an iceberg, which is one-seventh above the water, or a pyramid, where we see everything.​

But we know, currently it's an iceberg. Testing is for those with (severe) symptoms only, and that is, at most, one out of five infected.

The number of confirmed cases is around 25k. (In reality, there is a backlog of tests that still need to be performed, which would have to be added.)

That means, there should be at least 75k more cases out there, people with no symptoms, or mild symptoms and sent home with out a test. So, we get to 100k in total.

That's already more than detected cases in China, and... in reality, it's far, far worse than that.

It takes about ten days (five to fourteen) to develop symptoms. So, the current snapshot of cases with symptoms depicts the situation of ten days ago. We also know, in a normal environment, the infection rate is such that the number of infected doubles about every 2.5 days. So, in ten days, the original number of infected doubles four times. Do the math: 100k doubled four times, and see what you get.

It's the most dangerous pandemic in our lifetime.​

The man isn't exaggerating. The elderly have a one-in-seven chance to die. That is so in an environment with a functioning healthcare system. That, however, is not guaranteed when most medical personnel is infected because of a lack (or the re-use) of protective gear, beds and ventilators running out - having run out long ago.

Take care!

A one-in-seven chance? Well, that's a six-in-seven chance to live if one gets the disease. When warm weather comes, the disease wanes, so my vespers tonight will be to ask for good weather from on high across this great land, but may it be wet enough to grow the kind of crops that fight disease--every day veggies like the cruciferous family and the root grown and the berry and fruit families. America would show the microorganisms a healthy front by eating from the seven groups--fruits, vegetables, grains, nuts, dairy, eggs, meats, spices, mushrooms, and high-antioxidant foods in each group such as berries, dark leafed veggies, and all from Artichokes to Zucchini. An apple a day keeps the doctor away and very disappointed microbes trying to invade a human being lose the battle when apples, oranges, bananas, and berries are eaten daily. Yay! Carrots, beets, radishes, and sweet potatoes, not to mention skin-on baked potatoes and potato salad including celery bits and celery seed along with well-done boiled eggs with mustard, mayonnaise, and sweetie pickle relish added. Curried chicken with almonds, vegetables, and a variety of dark leafy spinach and spring mix and small seedless red grapes with strawberry dressing is particularly strong fighter against viruses of all makes and models, as well as hearing from friends when getting together is to be avoided in cold weather until the sun shines and kills off the viruses that love to eat us to death... stay well, stay within your dietary needs with the best fresh foods you can afford, and let's bring that old cv-19 virus that's killing our neighboring countries to its end by wise living. Good night, everyone. Stay well, be kindly to others, send flowers to your parents, cards to your children and friends letting them know you're thinking of them in times of separation we must face to defeat CV-19. I've enjoyed the sharing going on in this thread with people sharing ideas and links to people with answers that benefit all of us. Thanks all of you!

 

[georgephillip]

I found this article to be informative and quite cogent...worth the read..as is this "what it is and how it got here guide...
What You Should Know About the Coronavirus

Your link:

"It's very funny because we did a movie, Contagion—

"We're all watching that movie now.


"People say Contagion is prescient.

"We just saw the science.

"The whole epidemiological community has been warning everybody for the past 10 or 15 years that it wasn't a question of whether we were going to have a pandemic like this.

"It was simply when.

"It's really hard to get people to listen.

"I mean, Trump pushed out the admiral on the National Security Council, who was the only person at that level who's responsible for pandemic defense. With him went his entire downline of employees and staff and relationships. And then Trump removed the [early warning] funding for countries around the world."

 

[g5000]

When warm weather comes, the disease wanes

Don't count on that. The disease did not abate at all during Australia's summer.

 

[beautress]

When warm weather comes, the disease wanes

Don't count on that. The disease did not abate at all during Australia's summer.

Thank you for that, g5000. Guess it will be the summertime blues for a summertime flu.

 

[Baron]

I found this article to be informative and quite cogent...worth the read..as is this "what it is and how it got here guide...
What You Should Know About the Coronavirus

A quote..
How does it spread?
It’s likely to be transmitted in droplets from coughing or sneezes, and the virus has a two- to 14-day incubation period. That means people could be infectious for quite a while before symptoms like fever, cough, or shortness of breath emerge.

What are the particular symptoms of Covid-19?
In the confirmed cases so far, most people get a fever with a dry cough; smaller numbers of folks might experience shortness of breath, a sore throat, or a headache.

The article....The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming

A quote..
"Besides working with the World Health Organization in the effort to end smallpox, Brilliant, who is now 75, has fought flu, polio, and blindness; once led Google’s nonprofit wing, Google.org; co-founded the conferencing system the Well; and has traveled with the Grateful Dead.

We talked by phone on Tuesday. At the time, President Donald Trump’s response to the crisis had started to change from “no worries at all” to finally taking more significant steps to stem the pandemic. Brilliant lives in one of the six Bay Area counties where residents were ordered to shelter in place. When we began the conversation, he’d just gotten off the phone with someone he described as high government official, who asked Brilliant “How the fuck did we get here?” I wanted to hear how we’ll get out of here.

Larry Brilliant says he doesn’t have a crystal ball. But 14 years ago, Brilliant, the epidemiologist who helped eradicate smallpox, spoke to a TED audience and described what the next pandemic would look like. At the time, it sounded almost too horrible to take seriously. “A billion people would get sick," he said. “As many as 165 million people would die. There would be a global recession and depression, and the cost to our economy of $1 to $3 trillion would be far worse for everyone than merely 100 million people dying, because so many more people would lose their jobs and their health care benefits, that the consequences are almost unthinkable.”

Covid-19 is a fake!

 

[beautress]

I found this article to be informative and quite cogent...worth the read..as is this "what it is and how it got here guide...
What You Should Know About the Coronavirus

A quote..
How does it spread?
It’s likely to be transmitted in droplets from coughing or sneezes, and the virus has a two- to 14-day incubation period. That means people could be infectious for quite a while before symptoms like fever, cough, or shortness of breath emerge.

What are the particular symptoms of Covid-19?
In the confirmed cases so far, most people get a fever with a dry cough; smaller numbers of folks might experience shortness of breath, a sore throat, or a headache.

The article....The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming

A quote..
"Besides working with the World Health Organization in the effort to end smallpox, Brilliant, who is now 75, has fought flu, polio, and blindness; once led Google’s nonprofit wing, Google.org; co-founded the conferencing system the Well; and has traveled with the Grateful Dead.

We talked by phone on Tuesday. At the time, President Donald Trump’s response to the crisis had started to change from “no worries at all” to finally taking more significant steps to stem the pandemic. Brilliant lives in one of the six Bay Area counties where residents were ordered to shelter in place. When we began the conversation, he’d just gotten off the phone with someone he described as high government official, who asked Brilliant “How the fuck did we get here?” I wanted to hear how we’ll get out of here.

Larry Brilliant says he doesn’t have a crystal ball. But 14 years ago, Brilliant, the epidemiologist who helped eradicate smallpox, spoke to a TED audience and described what the next pandemic would look like. At the time, it sounded almost too horrible to take seriously. “A billion people would get sick," he said. “As many as 165 million people would die. There would be a global recession and depression, and the cost to our economy of $1 to $3 trillion would be far worse for everyone than merely 100 million people dying, because so many more people would lose their jobs and their health care benefits, that the consequences are almost unthinkable.”

Covid-19 is a fake!

Please explain to me: why are people dying with a specific organism overtaking their bodily survival systems as evidenced by botanical inspection? Dyes may differ, but the Corona virus is represented in simplistic drawings as well:

This Is What The COVID-19 Virus Looks Like Under The Microscope

What the deadly coronavirus actually looks like

​

 

[Baron]

I found this article to be informative and quite cogent...worth the read..as is this "what it is and how it got here guide...
What You Should Know About the Coronavirus

A quote..
How does it spread?
It’s likely to be transmitted in droplets from coughing or sneezes, and the virus has a two- to 14-day incubation period. That means people could be infectious for quite a while before symptoms like fever, cough, or shortness of breath emerge.

What are the particular symptoms of Covid-19?
In the confirmed cases so far, most people get a fever with a dry cough; smaller numbers of folks might experience shortness of breath, a sore throat, or a headache.

The article....The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming

A quote..
"Besides working with the World Health Organization in the effort to end smallpox, Brilliant, who is now 75, has fought flu, polio, and blindness; once led Google’s nonprofit wing, Google.org; co-founded the conferencing system the Well; and has traveled with the Grateful Dead.

We talked by phone on Tuesday. At the time, President Donald Trump’s response to the crisis had started to change from “no worries at all” to finally taking more significant steps to stem the pandemic. Brilliant lives in one of the six Bay Area counties where residents were ordered to shelter in place. When we began the conversation, he’d just gotten off the phone with someone he described as high government official, who asked Brilliant “How the fuck did we get here?” I wanted to hear how we’ll get out of here.

Larry Brilliant says he doesn’t have a crystal ball. But 14 years ago, Brilliant, the epidemiologist who helped eradicate smallpox, spoke to a TED audience and described what the next pandemic would look like. At the time, it sounded almost too horrible to take seriously. “A billion people would get sick," he said. “As many as 165 million people would die. There would be a global recession and depression, and the cost to our economy of $1 to $3 trillion would be far worse for everyone than merely 100 million people dying, because so many more people would lose their jobs and their health care benefits, that the consequences are almost unthinkable.”

Covid-19 is a fake!

Please explain to me: why are people dying with a specific organism overtaking their bodily survival systems as evidenced by botanical inspection? Dyes may differ, but the Corona virus is represented in simplistic drawings as well:

This Is What The COVID-19 Virus Looks Like Under The Microscope

What the deadly coronavirus actually looks like

​

Italians for example don't separate corona dead from another ones.Therefore the statistic is higher