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Why are all the lefties ignoring Libya? it's the elephant in the room.
Explain....
How many Americans were killed in Libya last week?
What? Hasn't the CIA published the pics??
I'm shocked!
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Why are all the lefties ignoring Libya? it's the elephant in the room.
Explain....
How many Americans were killed in Libya last week?
Why are all the lefties ignoring Libya? it's the elephant in the room.
Obama won in 2008 due to a disharmonic convergence of the Financial Crisis, Bush Fatigue, War Fatigue, and McCain's uninspiring campaign...and the fact that his virtual lack of a record enabled him to spin a fantasy regarding how he would heal the planet.
This time around, he'll be running on a record, and it's quite ugly to many of the moderates who supported him in 2008.
No more ugly than Bush's record for 2004.
Obama won in 2008 due to a disharmonic convergence of the Financial Crisis, Bush Fatigue, War Fatigue, and McCain's uninspiring campaign...and the fact that his virtual lack of a record enabled him to spin a fantasy regarding how he would heal the planet.
This time around, he'll be running on a record, and it's quite ugly to many of the moderates who supported him in 2008.
No more ugly than Bush's record for 2004.
Bush was controversial, but his policies were not causing a dramatic increase in the "misery index". Unemployment was 5.4%; there was 3%ish inflation, but with high employment levels - the impact was somewhat mitigated.
You can ridicule the misery index as much as you'd like, but it is a very good indicator. And Obama's is quite dismal.
Obama will never ever get that freshness and enthusiasm back,
Obama will never ever get that freshness and enthusiasm back,
He doesn't need it back.
Being an incumbant USA President means you really gotta fuck up to lose reelection.
Carter and Bush Sr. are the only ones to accomplish this since Hoover.
Obama will never ever get that freshness and enthusiasm back,
He doesn't need it back.
Being an incumbant USA President means you really gotta fuck up to lose reelection.
Carter and Bush Sr. are the only ones to accomplish this since Hoover.
Obama is the Jimmy Carter of the 21st century. I have faith he'll fuck up. Like he's already done.
He doesn't need it back.
Being an incumbant USA President means you really gotta fuck up to lose reelection.
Carter and Bush Sr. are the only ones to accomplish this since Hoover.
Obama is the Jimmy Carter of the 21st century. I have faith he'll fuck up. Like he's already done.
Well, it could happen: Carter, Obama, Reagan, Bush Jr., and Clinton all had about the same popularity after their 800th day in office (see the interactive chart).
However, based on the odds above (1:5) you're prediction isn't very likely.
If we add Bush Sr into the mix, the odds get even worse: He was VERY popular after 800 days, yet still managed to lose to Clinton.
Obama is the Jimmy Carter of the 21st century. I have faith he'll fuck up. Like he's already done.
Well, it could happen: Carter, Obama, Reagan, Bush Jr., and Clinton all had about the same popularity after their 800th day in office (see the interactive chart).
However, based on the odds above (1:5) you're prediction isn't very likely.
If we add Bush Sr into the mix, the odds get even worse: He was VERY popular after 800 days, yet still managed to lose to Clinton.
I put absolutely NO stock is predictions like this. It is all on a case by case basis. You have to give actual reasons rather than "this is what's happened before."
In the case of Clinton etc, people are reluctant to change unless things are pretty bad. Here, things are pretty bad. Obama has basically lost every election since his own. Governors of VA and NJ, Scot Brown, 2010. He has a losing track record.
Well, it could happen: Carter, Obama, Reagan, Bush Jr., and Clinton all had about the same popularity after their 800th day in office (see the interactive chart).
However, based on the odds above (1:5) you're prediction isn't very likely.
If we add Bush Sr into the mix, the odds get even worse: He was VERY popular after 800 days, yet still managed to lose to Clinton.
I put absolutely NO stock is predictions like this. It is all on a case by case basis. You have to give actual reasons rather than "this is what's happened before."
In the case of Clinton etc, people are reluctant to change unless things are pretty bad. Here, things are pretty bad. Obama has basically lost every election since his own. Governors of VA and NJ, Scot Brown, 2010. He has a losing track record.
Um...you realise Obama didn't run for Gov. of NJ or VA, right?
If "everything is pretty bad" then it hasn't effected his popularity...Yet.
I'm not saying it won't, but I'm certain that those opposing Bush (Jr), Reagan, and Clinton all thought, "Things were pretty bad" into their 800th day of office, yet they were all re-elected.
You really cannot do any more than look at these 1:5 odds of losing this far out from November, 2012.
Here are the Vegas Odds, and factors effecting them, favoring Obama's re-election as of YESTERDAY:
2012 Presidential Betting Odds - Odds on US Presidency
No more ugly than Bush's record for 2004.
Bush was controversial, but his policies were not causing a dramatic increase in the "misery index". Unemployment was 5.4%; there was 3%ish inflation, but with high employment levels - the impact was somewhat mitigated.
You can ridicule the misery index as much as you'd like, but it is a very good indicator. And Obama's is quite dismal.
Um...then why isn't he less popular?
Taking bets.
Who's in?
I have a hunch he's going to win.
In 2004 many people were very dissatisfied with Bush as President. Many people believed that the economic appearance of the time was what it turned out to be, which was a temporarily inflated facade on an unstable machine. People recognized that the deficits of the time were in reality larger than the numbers being presented, because the cost of the Afghanistan and Iraq invasions were not being reflected.
I'll grant you the bully part. I bully people who start shit.
But I am far from "little".
America, four years ago when we took office our economy was spiraling out of control and losing hundreds of thousands of jobs every month. Today, we are gaining jobs every month. Thanks to bipartisan efforts in Congress our budget deficit left by the previous administration has been reduced each of the last two years. We are finally on the right track after our nation suffered it's worst financial crisis since the Great Depression just four short years ago.
........
Love it...
Who ya got that is capable of beating Obama?
Explain....
How many Americans were killed in Libya last week?