Obama's intrade price jumps almost 10 points after convention.

[OohPooPahDoo]

Intrade - Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012

Its at 67.5% now. Was 58% the day the convention started.

 

[DiamondDave]

When this becomes a real vote or real part of the electoral college, I will say it means something more than just entertainment

 

[Old Rocks]

Given Romney's comments on one half of Americans, the situation in Egypt and Libya, and what constitutes a middle class income, you can add another ten points to that in the coming week.

 

[OohPooPahDoo]

When this becomes a real vote or real part of the electoral college, I will say it means something more than just entertainment

Its information relayed by a free and open market. I fail to understand why you do not realize the power of the market.

 

[Toro]

I agree. Prediction markets aren't perfect, nor do they predict the actual result - they really should be called probability markets - but they are generally more accurate than polls.

 

[Liability]

Probability "markets" are no more reliable than a Democrat sponsored poll of registered voters stacked with a disproportionate amount of dims.

More or less.

 

[Liability]

It's like that time that Reagan got his ass kicked by the mighty President Peanut.

Oh wait....

 

[driveby]

Intrade - Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012

Its at 67.5% now. Was 58% the day the convention started.

You should bet your entire bottle cap collection.....

 

[OohPooPahDoo]

Probability "markets" are no more reliable than a Democrat sponsored poll of registered voters stacked with a disproportionate amount of dims.

More or less.

? Why ? Because people with money want to pay more for a future than they think its worth?

 

[Liability]

Probability "markets" are no more reliable than a Democrat sponsored poll of registered voters stacked with a disproportionate amount of dims.

More or less.

? Why ? Because people with money want to pay more for a future than they think its worth?

Because it's betting on something as mercurial as politics in America.

 

[OohPooPahDoo]

Probability "markets" are no more reliable than a Democrat sponsored poll of registered voters stacked with a disproportionate amount of dims.

More or less.

? Why ? Because people with money want to pay more for a future than they think its worth?

Because it's betting on something as mercurial as politics in America.

So because its a volatile market, there's more Democratic money in it than Republican.


Got it.

 

[Liability]

? Why ? Because people with money want to pay more for a future than they think its worth?

Because it's betting on something as mercurial as politics in America.

So because its a volatile market, there's more Democratic money in it than Republican.


Got it.

Not even remotely what I said, you fucking babbling idiot.

You don't track conversations very well. You just reply to the voices in your head.

Helpful hint: they're idiots, like you, too.

 

[Toro]

Because it's betting on something as mercurial as politics in America.

So because its a volatile market, there's more Democratic money in it than Republican.


Got it.

Not even remotely what I said, you fucking babbling idiot.

You don't track conversations very well. You just reply to the voices in your head.

Helpful hint: they're idiots, like you, too.

Markets are idiotic?