RCP: with no toss up states, Clinton 272, Trump 266

[candycorn]

He has to take Pennsylvania.

Or Michigan.......

He won’t.

The pollsters said the same thing about Bernie Sanders in Michigan....remember? They were fucking wrong and the Hildabeast lost. Last poll in Michigan two weeks ago was within the margin or error. Rut-row.....

Uh huh…

 

[toomuchtime_]

He has to take Pennsylvania.

Or Michigan.......

Or Colorado, which is very close, or Wisconsin or New Hampshire which would throw the election into the House of Representatives with a Republican majority.

Both belong to Ms. Clinton.

Almost nothing belongs to Clinton. If the debates are a draw, Trump will win with at least 274 electoral votes. If he wins he debates, he will win with over 300 votes. For Hillary to win the election, she has to soundly defeat Trump in the debates, and she has never soundly defeated anyone in debates.

 

[candycorn]

He has to take Pennsylvania.

Or Michigan.......

Or Colorado, which is very close, or Wisconsin or New Hampshire which would throw the election into the House of Representatives with a Republican majority.

Both belong to Ms. Clinton.

Almost nothing belongs to Clinton. If the debates are a draw, Trump will win with at least 274 electoral votes. If he wins he debates, he will win with over 300 votes. For Hillary to win the election, she has to soundly defeat Trump in the debates, and she has never soundly defeated anyone in debates.

Nice dissertation. Now, only if it were remotely true. You’re incredibly stupid and not just about politics.

Here are the facts. There may be 3-5% of voters who are truly undecided; totally up for grabs. The pollsters will tell you it is between 10 and 15% but that is a safe number that has been disproven over the last 4 contests. The 10% difference is those who lean one way or the other. So just consider them a push; 5% to each side. With 3-5% as the real target audience, there is little chance you’re going to sweep them as well. If you’re a truly undecided, you’re going to hear stuff you like for 90 minutes and stuff you don’t like for 90 minutes. Won’t matter. Vice-versa; if you’re leaning one way or the other, you’re not likely to be turned around unless there is some theatrics which there won’t be.

Your mind is made up by seeing saturation commercials that get more and more poignant up to election day.

Here is the kicker. The 3-5% are not all in battleground states. So your audience is likely somewhere in the neighborhood of 20-30 thousand people in Hamilton County, OH; 5,000 voters in Osceola County, about that many in neighboring Seminole-Orange County, and the largest prize of all for Clinton, Clark County and the burbs of Las Vegas.

 

[jillian]

The more she campaigns the worse she looks

no doubt that's true to wingers.

 

[jillian]

He has to take Pennsylvania.

Or Michigan.......

Or Colorado, which is very close, or Wisconsin or New Hampshire which would throw the election into the House of Representatives with a Republican majority.

Both belong to Ms. Clinton.

Almost nothing belongs to Clinton. If the debates are a draw, Trump will win with at least 274 electoral votes. If he wins he debates, he will win with over 300 votes. For Hillary to win the election, she has to soundly defeat Trump in the debates, and she has never soundly defeated anyone in debates.

why would the debates be a draw unless you hold donald to the standard to which you'd hold someone hosting a tv game show?

 

[HereWeGoAgain]

Hillary, do you hear the footsteps behind you??

If she did she'd probably mistake the sound for her laboring heart beat in her ears right before fainting...or passing out,whatever the case may be.

 

[jknowgood]

He has to take Pennsylvania.

Trump says Pennsylvania is rigged and the election is rigged....

Will he reverse what he said.....

How funny is that....
Trumps reversing his position....
heh hehhh hehh hehhh ehhhe hehh ehh ehhhehhh

Like that doesn't happen 10x a day....
Trump reversing his position...

I crack me self up.

If Trump wins will he not accept the result since it was rigged....

Get used to saying president Trump!

 

[Sun Devil 92]

He has to take Pennsylvania.

Actually, that isn't true.

 

[Sun Devil 92]

He has to take Pennsylvania.

Or Michigan.......

Or Colorado, which is very close, or Wisconsin or New Hampshire which would throw the election into the House of Representatives with a Republican majority.

Both belong to Ms. Clinton.

CO does not belong to Mrs. Clinton.

Lying again.

Real Clear has it as a toss up. She has a "lead" but it isn't a great deal. What's more funny is that there appears to be almost 20% undecided.

Did your book of fairy tales get an ISBN number ?

 

[toomuchtime_]

He has to take Pennsylvania.

Or Michigan.......

Or Colorado, which is very close, or Wisconsin or New Hampshire which would throw the election into the House of Representatives with a Republican majority.

Both belong to Ms. Clinton.

Almost nothing belongs to Clinton. If the debates are a draw, Trump will win with at least 274 electoral votes. If he wins he debates, he will win with over 300 votes. For Hillary to win the election, she has to soundly defeat Trump in the debates, and she has never soundly defeated anyone in debates.

Nice dissertation. Now, only if it were remotely true. You’re incredibly stupid and not just about politics.

Here are the facts. There may be 3-5% of voters who are truly undecided; totally up for grabs. The pollsters will tell you it is between 10 and 15% but that is a safe number that has been disproven over the last 4 contests. The 10% difference is those who lean one way or the other. So just consider them a push; 5% to each side. With 3-5% as the real target audience, there is little chance you’re going to sweep them as well. If you’re a truly undecided, you’re going to hear stuff you like for 90 minutes and stuff you don’t like for 90 minutes. Won’t matter. Vice-versa; if you’re leaning one way or the other, you’re not likely to be turned around unless there is some theatrics which there won’t be.

Your mind is made up by seeing saturation commercials that get more and more poignant up to election day.

Here is the kicker. The 3-5% are not all in battleground states. So your audience is likely somewhere in the neighborhood of 20-30 thousand people in Hamilton County, OH; 5,000 voters in Osceola County, about that many in neighboring Seminole-Orange County, and the largest prize of all for Clinton, Clark County and the burbs of Las Vegas.

I get it, you've never quite figured out what the word, fact, means. The facts are these, while Trump supporters are for the most part quite enthusiastic about Trump, relatively few Clinton supporters are enthusiastic about Clinton and are only leaning toward her because they have bought into Clinton's lies about Trump. When they see the two together, many will see they have been had by Clinton, and either switch to Trump because they will see Trump has proposals how to deal with issues they care about and Clinton has nothing but slogans and slanders about Trump to offer them or they will vote for neither of them. Most of Trump's support is very firm, but little of Clinton's support is firm, it's not 3% to 5% or even 10% or 15% who are undecided by more like 25% since few of her supporters are committed to her because hey like or even know her policies. Clinton will have to win big in this debate if she hopes to stay in this race because many of the people who decided to vote for her based on her characterizations of Trump will reconsider after seeing the two of them together and of they seem to come out even in the debate she will lose many of these people and by the middle of next week Trump will be over 270.

You should seriously consider having some one with you when you watch the debate to keep you from hurting yourself.

 

[Sun Devil 92]

Or Michigan.......

Or Colorado, which is very close, or Wisconsin or New Hampshire which would throw the election into the House of Representatives with a Republican majority.

Both belong to Ms. Clinton.

Almost nothing belongs to Clinton. If the debates are a draw, Trump will win with at least 274 electoral votes. If he wins he debates, he will win with over 300 votes. For Hillary to win the election, she has to soundly defeat Trump in the debates, and she has never soundly defeated anyone in debates.

Nice dissertation. Now, only if it were remotely true. You’re incredibly stupid and not just about politics.

Here are the facts. There may be 3-5% of voters who are truly undecided; totally up for grabs. The pollsters will tell you it is between 10 and 15% but that is a safe number that has been disproven over the last 4 contests. The 10% difference is those who lean one way or the other. So just consider them a push; 5% to each side. With 3-5% as the real target audience, there is little chance you’re going to sweep them as well. If you’re a truly undecided, you’re going to hear stuff you like for 90 minutes and stuff you don’t like for 90 minutes. Won’t matter. Vice-versa; if you’re leaning one way or the other, you’re not likely to be turned around unless there is some theatrics which there won’t be.

Your mind is made up by seeing saturation commercials that get more and more poignant up to election day.

Here is the kicker. The 3-5% are not all in battleground states. So your audience is likely somewhere in the neighborhood of 20-30 thousand people in Hamilton County, OH; 5,000 voters in Osceola County, about that many in neighboring Seminole-Orange County, and the largest prize of all for Clinton, Clark County and the burbs of Las Vegas.

I get it, you've never quite figured out what the word, fact, means. The facts are these, while Trump supporters are for the most part quite enthusiastic about Trump, relatively few Clinton supporters are enthusiastic about Clinton and are only leaning toward her because they have bought into Clinton's lies about Trump. When they see the two together, many will see they have been had by Clinton, and either switch to Trump because they will see Trump has proposals how to deal with issues they care about and Clinton has nothing but slogans and slanders about Trump to offer them or they will vote for neither of them. Most of Trump's support is very firm, but little of Clinton's support is firm, it's not 3% to 5% or even 10% or 15% who are undecided by more like 25% since few of her supporters are committed to her because hey like or even know her policies. Clinton will have to win big in this debate if she hopes to stay in this race because many of the people who decided to vote for her based on her characterizations of Trump will reconsider after seeing the two of them together and of they seem to come out even in the debate she will lose many of these people and by the middle of next week Trump will be over 270.

You should seriously consider having some one with you when you watch the debate to keep you from hurting yourself.

As funny as this little narrative is, I think Hillary will work to make sure Trump does not get a chance to zing her.

NIETHER one of them is on message regarding some real tough issues.

 

[toomuchtime_]

He has to take Pennsylvania.

Or Michigan.......

Or Colorado, which is very close, or Wisconsin or New Hampshire which would throw the election into the House of Representatives with a Republican majority.

Both belong to Ms. Clinton.

Almost nothing belongs to Clinton. If the debates are a draw, Trump will win with at least 274 electoral votes. If he wins he debates, he will win with over 300 votes. For Hillary to win the election, she has to soundly defeat Trump in the debates, and she has never soundly defeated anyone in debates.

why would the debates be a draw unless you hold donald to the standard to which you'd hold someone hosting a tv game show?

People will watch because this whole campaign is about Trump who has amazed everyone from the first moment he announced for the nomination to right now. Clinton has spent 36 times as much as Trump so far in this election campaign and yet she holds only a slight lead.

 

[toomuchtime_]

He has to take Pennsylvania.

Or Michigan.......

Or Colorado, which is very close, or Wisconsin or New Hampshire which would throw the election into the House of Representatives with a Republican majority.

Both belong to Ms. Clinton.

CO does not belong to Mrs. Clinton.

Lying again.

Real Clear has it as a toss up. She has a "lead" but it isn't a great deal. What's more funny is that there appears to be almost 20% undecided.

Did your book of fairy tales get an ISBN number ?

In fact, her lead is within the margin of error of the polls which means it is a statistical tie.

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

The more she campaigns the worse she looks

The first debate is a big one. If Trump can look more controlled than Hillary,......

He has been better since Roger ailes was hired

I've heard this assertion from others in recent days. I've never heard the reasoning behind it.

 

[Sun Devil 92]

He has to take Pennsylvania.

Or Michigan.......

Or Colorado, which is very close, or Wisconsin or New Hampshire which would throw the election into the House of Representatives with a Republican majority.

Both belong to Ms. Clinton.

CO does not belong to Mrs. Clinton.

Lying again.

Real Clear has it as a toss up. She has a "lead" but it isn't a great deal. What's more funny is that there appears to be almost 20% undecided.

Did your book of fairy tales get an ISBN number ?

In fact, her lead is within the margin of error of the polls which means it is a statistical tie.

Well, yes and no.

It is close, but Trump has work to do there.

And if Hillary wants to keep it she will need to work at it.

She has to work Denver basically.

He'll need most of the rest of the state to turn out for him big time.

 

[Avatar4321]

The more she campaigns the worse she looks

The first debate is a big one. If Trump can look more controlled than Hillary,......

He has been better since Roger ailes was hired

I've heard this assertion from others in recent days. I've never heard the reasoning behind it.

Trump has been alot more controlled in what he has said. He hasn't looked totally crazy since ailes was hired. At least that's what I've noticed. Don't know behind the scene stuff.

 

[toomuchtime_]

Or Colorado, which is very close, or Wisconsin or New Hampshire which would throw the election into the House of Representatives with a Republican majority.

Both belong to Ms. Clinton.

Almost nothing belongs to Clinton. If the debates are a draw, Trump will win with at least 274 electoral votes. If he wins he debates, he will win with over 300 votes. For Hillary to win the election, she has to soundly defeat Trump in the debates, and she has never soundly defeated anyone in debates.

Nice dissertation. Now, only if it were remotely true. You’re incredibly stupid and not just about politics.

Here are the facts. There may be 3-5% of voters who are truly undecided; totally up for grabs. The pollsters will tell you it is between 10 and 15% but that is a safe number that has been disproven over the last 4 contests. The 10% difference is those who lean one way or the other. So just consider them a push; 5% to each side. With 3-5% as the real target audience, there is little chance you’re going to sweep them as well. If you’re a truly undecided, you’re going to hear stuff you like for 90 minutes and stuff you don’t like for 90 minutes. Won’t matter. Vice-versa; if you’re leaning one way or the other, you’re not likely to be turned around unless there is some theatrics which there won’t be.

Your mind is made up by seeing saturation commercials that get more and more poignant up to election day.

Here is the kicker. The 3-5% are not all in battleground states. So your audience is likely somewhere in the neighborhood of 20-30 thousand people in Hamilton County, OH; 5,000 voters in Osceola County, about that many in neighboring Seminole-Orange County, and the largest prize of all for Clinton, Clark County and the burbs of Las Vegas.

I get it, you've never quite figured out what the word, fact, means. The facts are these, while Trump supporters are for the most part quite enthusiastic about Trump, relatively few Clinton supporters are enthusiastic about Clinton and are only leaning toward her because they have bought into Clinton's lies about Trump. When they see the two together, many will see they have been had by Clinton, and either switch to Trump because they will see Trump has proposals how to deal with issues they care about and Clinton has nothing but slogans and slanders about Trump to offer them or they will vote for neither of them. Most of Trump's support is very firm, but little of Clinton's support is firm, it's not 3% to 5% or even 10% or 15% who are undecided by more like 25% since few of her supporters are committed to her because hey like or even know her policies. Clinton will have to win big in this debate if she hopes to stay in this race because many of the people who decided to vote for her based on her characterizations of Trump will reconsider after seeing the two of them together and of they seem to come out even in the debate she will lose many of these people and by the middle of next week Trump will be over 270.

You should seriously consider having some one with you when you watch the debate to keep you from hurting yourself.

As funny as this little narrative is, I think Hillary will work to make sure Trump does not get a chance to zing her.

NIETHER one of them is on message regarding some real tough issues.

In his speeches, if not on his twitter account, Trump has stayed pretty much on message. I expect Trump to stay pretty much on message without taking the bait from Hillary, but Hillary has no message other than her characterization of Trump so she will spend her time either defending against tough questions if she is asked any or against criticisms from Trump or making exotic claims about his character that will look silly if he remains calm.

 

[toomuchtime_]

The more she campaigns the worse she looks

The first debate is a big one. If Trump can look more controlled than Hillary,......

He has been better since Roger ailes was hired

I've heard this assertion from others in recent days. I've never heard the reasoning behind it.

No major blunders like attacking the Hispanic judge or the father of the Muslim soldier. Without these he would likely be in the lead right now.

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

The more she campaigns the worse she looks

The first debate is a big one. If Trump can look more controlled than Hillary,......

He has been better since Roger ailes was hired

I've heard this assertion from others in recent days. I've never heard the reasoning behind it.

No major blunders like attacking the Hispanic judge or the father of the Muslim soldier. Without these he would likely be in the lead right now.

Hillary's campaign with the help of the media is smoke and mirrors. Absent cheating, she has no shot of winning.

 

[Vigilante]

All Trump needs to do is keep what he has and win only one more of these 5 states...Co., NH, PA, VA, or Wi. That should be easy.