skookerasbil
Platinum Member
- Thread starter
- #21
Nobody thinks drought has anything to do with climate change.![2up :2up: :2up:](/styles/smilies/2up.gif)
![2up :2up: :2up:](/styles/smilies/2up.gif)
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Bullshit, droughts are nothing new.But that is the problem. The droughts are plural, not a singular event. Again, doesn't fit your political agenda, so you are going to ignore the facts..And as Nature magazine explained in 2012, “climate attribution” — the attempt to link singular weather events to manmade global warming — “rests on a comparison of the probability of an observed weather event in the real world with that of the ‘same’ event in a hypothetical world without global warming.” As critics have observed, such attribution claims “are unjustifiably speculative, basically unverifiable and better not made at all.”Hansen et al. 1981Right, which goes back to the cause of the drought.Actually , since weather is a radical there is no known equation that will do...But when you have an area of drought there tends to be fewer severe storms....No matter what the scientist say. Or you...Or the climate fellows that waste their time...It is called weather, Moonglow. Don't shit your pants over it.
And as Nature magazine explained in 2012, “climate attribution” — the attempt to link singular weather events to manmade global warming — “rests on a comparison of the probability of an observed weather event in the real world with that of the ‘same’ event in a hypothetical world without global warming.” As critics have observed, such attribution claims “are unjustifiably speculative, basically unverifiable and better not made at all.”
Hansen, J., D. Johnson, A. Lacis, S. Lebedeff, P. Lee, D. Rind, and G. Russell, 1981: Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide. Science, 213, 957-966, doi:10.1126/science.213.4511.957.
The global temperature rose 0.2°C between the middle 1960s and 1980, yielding a warming of 0.4°C in the past century. This temperature increase is consistent with the calculated effect due to measured increases of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Variations of volcanic aerosols and possibly solar luminosity appear to be primary causes of observed fluctuations about the mean trend of increasing temperature. It is shown that the anthropogenic carbon dioxide warming should emerge from the noise level of natural climate variability by the end of the century, and there is a high probability of warming in the 1980s. Potential effects on climate in the 21st century include the creation of drought-prone regions in North America and central Asia as part of a shifting of climatic zones, erosion of the West Antarctic ice sheet with a consequent worldwide rise in sea level, and opening of the fabled Northwest Passage.
Pubs.GISS: Hansen et al. 1981: Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide
Dr. James Hansen made that prediction in 1981. And it has been spot on, except that he was expecting to Northwest Passage to open up in the latter half of this century. It opened the first time in 2007. And this year, a luxury liner did the passage.