You Too Can Predict The Winner!

[LoneLaugher]

All you have to do is answer 13 true/false questions with clarity and objectivity....and the ability to predict the winner of the 2016 presidential election will be yours.

This professor has predicted every presidential election since 1984. He’s still trying to figure out 2016.

I know for some....the clarity and objectivity part is where it gets tough.

But....why not try anyway?

 

[Carla_Danger]

What did you come up with?

 

[OKTexas]

At least at this point in time, according to his method, Trump is a shoe in.

 

[LoneLaugher]

What did you come up with?

What did you come up with?

1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6. Long-term economy: Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero

As of today.....Five False. Incumbent party wins.

1. F
2. T. I support Bernie. But he's not got a path to the nomination.
3. F
4. T Gary Johnson exists...but his campaign cannot be considered significant.
5. T
6. T
7. F Obama hasn't effected major policy change in second term.
8. T What we've had cannot be called "sustained"
9. T Obama is scandal free.
10. T No major foreign policy or military failure.
11. T The Iran nuke deal.
12. F Hillary isn't charismatic.
13. F Trump is charismatic.

 

[LoneLaugher]

At least at this point in time, according to his method, Trump is a shoe in.

Of course. You are able to judge objectively. That is why you will be shocked by the result.

 

[LoneLaugher]

Bump.

 

[Carla_Danger]

I came up with 6 false.

 

[LoneLaugher]

I came up with 6 false.

Which ones?

I sort of thought that this thread would be a bit more active. Oh well.

 

[Carla_Danger]

I came up with 6 false.

Which ones?

I sort of thought that this thread would be a bit more active. Oh well.

I put T for # 13 because I find his personality repulsive, but I suppose some could see Drumpf as charismatic.

 

[OKTexas]

At least at this point in time, according to his method, Trump is a shoe in.

Of course. You are able to judge objectively. That is why you will be shocked by the result.

You're right, I can judge objectively, way more than half his conditions are false, meaning the incumbent party will lose.

 

[Two Thumbs]

All you have to do is answer 13 true/false questions with clarity and objectivity....and the ability to predict the winner of the 2016 presidential election will be yours.

This professor has predicted every presidential election since 1984. He’s still trying to figure out 2016.

I know for some....the clarity and objectivity part is where it gets tough.

But....why not try anyway?

before I do the teat, I want it to be clear that I called hillary years ago

 

[LoneLaugher]

At least at this point in time, according to his method, Trump is a shoe in.

Of course. You are able to judge objectively. That is why you will be shocked by the result.

You're right, I can judge objectively, way more than half his conditions are false, meaning the incumbent party will lose.

Of course.

 

[Two Thumbs]

1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections. reps have more
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. both
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. no
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign. not yet
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. economically stagnant
6. Long-term economy: Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. future looks bleak
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. not this term
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term. dems created more than anything I have ever seen
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. false
10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. false
11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. false
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. false
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. false

not looking good for hillary

 

[LoneLaugher]

All you have to do is answer 13 true/false questions with clarity and objectivity....and the ability to predict the winner of the 2016 presidential election will be yours.

This professor has predicted every presidential election since 1984. He’s still trying to figure out 2016.

I know for some....the clarity and objectivity part is where it gets tough.

But....why not try anyway?

before I do the teat, I want it to be clear that I called hillary years ago

Why?

 

[TemplarKormac]

I know for some....the clarity and objectivity part is where it gets tough.

Well, for you it's flat out impossible.

 

[LoneLaugher]

1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections. reps have more
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. both
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. no
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign. not yet
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. economically stagnant
6. Long-term economy: Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. future looks bleak
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. not this term
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term. dems created more than anything I have ever seen
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. false
10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. false
11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. false
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. false
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. false

not looking good for hillary

We will see. Try it again sometime while being objective.

 

[LoneLaugher]

I know for some....the clarity and objectivity part is where it gets tough.

Well, for you it's flat out impossible.

Of course. You are absolutely right. You can point out my lack of objectivity with ease. You just choose not to. You must be too busy at work. LOL.

 

[TemplarKormac]

1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6. Long-term economy: Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

1. False
2. False
3. True
4. True (for now)
5. False (there are over 90+ million people out of the workforce)
6. False (our debt to GDP ratio is right around 105%)
7. True (Gay marriage, transgender rights)
8. False (Tension over wealth equality, identity politics)
9. False (Too many to list here)
10. False
11. False (refusing to directly engage the enemy will never result in any major military successes)
12. False
13. False (Trump is charismatic, even to a fault)

10 False. Challenging party wins.

 

[SwimExpert]

What did you come up with?

What did you come up with?

1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6. Long-term economy: Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero

As of today.....Five False. Incumbent party wins.

1. F
2. T. I support Bernie. But he's not got a path to the nomination.
3. F
4. T Gary Johnson exists...but his campaign cannot be considered significant.
5. T
6. T
7. F Obama hasn't effected major policy change in second term.
8. T What we've had cannot be called "sustained"
9. T Obama is scandal free.
10. T No major foreign policy or military failure.
11. T The Iran nuke deal.
12. F Hillary isn't charismatic.
13. F Trump is charismatic.

How do you say that 10 is true? Have you forgotten about the JV team known as ISIS?

 

[TemplarKormac]

I know for some....the clarity and objectivity part is where it gets tough.

Well, for you it's flat out impossible.

Of course. You are absolutely right. You can point out my lack of objectivity with ease. You just choose not to. You must be too busy at work. LOL.

Huh? If that was an attempt at a comeback, try again. It was terrible.