Procrustes Stretched
"intuition and imagination and intelligence"
- Dec 1, 2008
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Allan Lichtman says "The outcome is up to you, so get out and vote." - shh...
The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction..
The system is a thirteen-point checklist that assesses the situation of the United States and political system ahead of a presidential election: when five or fewer items on the checklist are false, the incumbent party nominee is predicted to win the election, but when six or more items on the checklist are false, the challenging party nominee is predicted to win.[
www.nytimes.com
RFK Jr. dropping out helps the Democrats, not Trump. The economy is not on recession. Growth during Biden term is far ahead of last two admins.
Allen Lichtman, ("The race was tight but the keys were right"), the political historian renowned for his “Keys to the White House” model, has made preliminary predictions favoring Kamala Harris over Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential race. However, a deeper dive into Lichtman’s criteria suggests his conclusions may be biased.
and we have...
This here. It's all over the media. Trump has got to be losing it and getting more depressed. September 10 should be interesting.
The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction..
The system is a thirteen-point checklist that assesses the situation of the United States and political system ahead of a presidential election: when five or fewer items on the checklist are false, the incumbent party nominee is predicted to win the election, but when six or more items on the checklist are false, the challenging party nominee is predicted to win.[
Opinion | Harris or Trump? The Prophet of Presidential Elections Is Ready to Call the Race.
Allan Lichtman’s method for predicting election winners has an impressive track record.
RFK Jr. dropping out helps the Democrats, not Trump. The economy is not on recession. Growth during Biden term is far ahead of last two admins.
Allen Lichtman, ("The race was tight but the keys were right"), the political historian renowned for his “Keys to the White House” model, has made preliminary predictions favoring Kamala Harris over Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential race. However, a deeper dive into Lichtman’s criteria suggests his conclusions may be biased.
and we have...
This here. It's all over the media. Trump has got to be losing it and getting more depressed. September 10 should be interesting.
Kamala Harris will win election, predicts leading historian Allan Lichtman
Polling ‘Nostradamus’, said to have correctly forecast since 1984 all races except Gore’s loss, says Trump on track to lose
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