Every poll on 538 has Harris winning.

[Freedomisneverfree]

So now you're trying to excuse the fact that you are stalking me across the board.

Again, boring.

Not anymore FART STAIN!

 

[justoffal]

That is a nonsensical statement. All samples are legitimate. But weighting them by party and population makes them more representative.

Just as you would be crying foul if they sampled democrats 2 to 1 and DIDNT weight the results.

Nah..... I'm fully aware of what polling companies do when they take a shit sample.

There are all kinds of magic tricks like weighting, percentage comparisons and so forth that they use to excuse themselves from going out and actually taking a quality sample.

This is especially true of an online poll like the ones I mentioned. Having said that there is definitely a trend in Harris's favor being established by an aggregate of polls that cannot be ignored. The more polls they take and the greater the sample becomes the more indicative it becomes.

 

[Fort Fun Indiana]

Nah..... I'm fully aware of what polling companies do when they take a shit sample.

No such thing, sorry. Since we have data on the entire pool from which the sample is drawn.

 

[Fort Fun Indiana]

There are all kinds of magic tricks like weighting,

Okay, you can stop there. That's not a trick. It's a necessary part of scientific polling. And it's very simple mathematics.

 

[Crepitus]

LOL, I'm not bitter at all. You aren't in my league. I'm also not a Rump guy. You still trust your Gov. I don't no matter who is running it.

Dude, I already owned your ass so hard you ran to the mods for protection.

I'm way above your league.

 

[Crepitus]

Not anymore FART STAIN!

Oh, is that your sock?

It would definitely explain a lot.

 

[justoffal]

Okay, you can stop there. That's not a trick. It's a necessary part of scientific polling. And it's very simple mathematics.

Lol.....I admire you faith in the process.

Unfortunately shit in equals shit out. No amount of polishing or tuning can fix it.

It may accidentally identify a trend....making it even more dangerous.

Statistics is probably the only branch of math that is more likely to be bullshit then anything else.

 

[Fort Fun Indiana]

Lol.....I admire you faith in the process.

Unfortunately shit in equals shit out. No amount of polishing or tuning can fix it.

It may accidentally identify a trend....making it even more dangerous.

Statistics is probably the only branch of math that is more likely to be bullshit then anything else.

Faith is belief without evidence.

Yet the polling is accurate. Margin of error is usually like 4 or 5%. It can be even less, when you look at the aggregate. That's useful. It's what makes it a useful tool.

 

[mamooth]

NC and GA are tossups, while Harris leads in every other swing state.

And that's 270+ for Harris.

And that's before the convention bounce.

 

[0311]

Every recent poll has her up on tRump by up to 8 points.

trump has gotta be fit to be tied.

National : President: general election : 2024 Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

MAGA only believe poll's where Cheeto Benito is ahead.

 

[Lastamender]

MAGA only believe poll's where Cheeto Benito is ahead.

Trump is ahead. The media and the pollsters are lying. And EVERYBODY knows that.