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Once Roosevelt closed the gold window we were effectively off the gold standard. Go read Friedman's book Money Mischief for a good account of the bimetallic system we originally had, the british version of real gold standard, and the ersatz standard that came around after the Civil War.
Life was hardly ideal under a gold standard either. Farmers were starved for cash,thus the push for free silver in the late 19th century.
That we have had inflation since 1971 is not news. Nor does it support your contention that this system wil not make it another 7 years.
Farmers were starved for cash because the govt. decided to quit minting silver. Their main unit of exchange. So again, it was government involvement in monetary policy that created that problem.
I'm fully aware and well versed in the history of money, banking and monetary policy in the US. And again, I didn't say we wouldn't make it into 2020, I said we'll be lucky. I stand by that statement.
Negative yeilds on 10 yr. maturities, 96% of purchasing power destroyed, interest rates will HAVE to go up, although it's going to obviously be forced...which will cause another bubble burst with a central bank now completely out of ammo...and a mountain of unrepayable debt.
It's not sustainable. You're welcome to feel differently about that, but in the world of mathematics, I'd call calamity in the US dollar inevitable.
No. I don't think government is the right entity for currency control. the free market should determine what medium of exchange is best. Ini the end, I'm more than confident that human actors will choose a medium that enhances their wealth and store of value over one that is deliberately destroyed.So your solution to the Fed is more gov't control of the currency?
True. And this was also frowned upon heavily. The largest culprits in clipping were, yep! Governance. Whather a king or otherwise.You can't get away from gov't involvement in currency, I dont care what the medium is. In the old days currency was literally debased--less gold in the alloy or coins clipped around the edge.
What makes the situation dangerous is run away interest rates. Rates have been held at rock bottom for a long time. This is being accomplished by means that will, without any doubt (even the fed res. admits it), a bubble burst. The federal reserve will not have the ammunition left to deal with such another burst and it could very well lead to a run on the dollar. in which the results should seem rather obvious.Interest rates will certainly go up. They already have. I dont think that's disaster.
There are many, many factors that are very different from the early 90s to today in monetary policy and finance. Most notably, leverage.I remember buying my first house with a 10 5/8% rate on an adjustable. This was 1990. We all survived.
The Wall Street Journal examined predictions about growth, jobs and inflation. The publication found Yellen's predictions were the most accurate overall. She was her high-school valedictorian who earned economics degrees at Brown and Yale. She is married to George Akerlof, a Nobel prize-winning economist and professor emeritus at the University of California, Berkeley. Her son, Robert Akerlof, is an assistant professor at the University of Warwick.
Yellens critics have often cited a statement she made in early April: I believe progress on reducing unemployment should take center stage for Fed policymakers even if maintaining that progress might result in inflation slightly and temporarily exceeding 2 percent the Feds target rate.
But many economists say Yellens other public remarks, long experience at the Fed and record suggest she is nothing like the inflation dove the critics portray. After reading 42 of Yellens public speeches, Stephen Oliner of the University of California, Los Angeles, concluded that she very closely toed the Feds traditional tough line on inflation.
Harry Holzer said I was in the Clinton administration with her when unemployment was 4 percent, and she was very aware of inflation, Shes not a mindless stimulator.
While at Berkeley she worked with her husband, George Akerlof, who won the Nobel Prize in economics in 2001. Their work laid out a theory, now widely accepted among economists, about why many firms tend not to cut wages during periods of high unemployment their desire to maintain the productivity of their workers trumps the short-term benefit that lower wages might bring. The stickiness of wages, in turn, helps explain why unemployment can persist and why government intervention in the market can help lessen it.
Yellen has emphasized in recent years the devastating and prolonged effects of the recession on workers and the need for the central bank to take aggressive action to combat the high jobless rate.
All of which suggests Yellin will look at UE figures long before she looks at inflation figures. Which is just what critics charge.
She will not be the strong independent voice the Fed needs. She will be another left wing Obama moonbat pouring dollars into a faltering economy until we look like the fucking Weimar Republic.
I agree.
Another thousand years. Tops
Yeah, no. We'll be lucky to make into 2020.
We've lived under the Fed for over 100 years. We've lived without an effective gold standard for 75. What is going to happen in 7 years?
Once Roosevelt closed the gold window we were effectively off the gold standard. Go read Friedman's book Money Mischief for a good account of the bimetallic system we originally had, the british version of real gold standard, and the ersatz standard that came around after the Civil War.
Life was hardly ideal under a gold standard either. Farmers were starved for cash,thus the push for free silver in the late 19th century.
That we have had inflation since 1971 is not news. Nor does it support your contention that this system wil not make it another 7 years.
Farmers were starved for cash because the govt. decided to quit minting silver. Their main unit of exchange. So again, it was government involvement in monetary policy that created that problem.
I'm fully aware and well versed in the history of money, banking and monetary policy in the US. And again, I didn't say we wouldn't make it into 2020, I said we'll be lucky. I stand by that statement.
Negative yeilds on 10 yr. maturities, 96% of purchasing power destroyed, interest rates will HAVE to go up, although it's going to obviously be forced...which will cause another bubble burst with a central bank now completely out of ammo...and a mountain of unrepayable debt.
It's not sustainable. You're welcome to feel differently about that, but in the world of mathematics, I'd call calamity in the US dollar inevitable.
All of which suggests Yellin will look at UE figures long before she looks at inflation figures. Which is just what critics charge.
She will not be the strong independent voice the Fed needs. She will be another left wing Obama moonbat pouring dollars into a faltering economy until we look like the fucking Weimar Republic.
Yeah - That is why gold has been going down since her announcement.![]()
the market should like that...now if we can get rid of shutdown and the debt limit we could go to the mooooon!!!!
Janet Yellen to be named Fed chair on Wednesday: White House
the market should like that...now if we can get rid of shutdown and the debt limit we could go to the mooooon!!!!
Janet Yellen to be named Fed chair on Wednesday: White House
Feel sorry for her as she will probably be at the helm when they stop pumping all that unbacked moola into the economy.
Bernake will be retired and living the good life.