Obama Plays.. Unemployment Card...?

You are a perfect example of how CON$ are so full of hate that they are blinded to the truth and see only what they want to see.

When you clicked on the BLS link you saw that the jobs were listed under the EMPLOYED check box, but in your extreme hate EMPLOYED was blocked out from reaching your brain, thus the highlighted part of your post.

Yes...Typical lib spin. Because you cannot rebut the facts, you dredge up the old hate card.
Eddie, you're out of gas here.
I don't care about check boxes or cereal boxes. The BLS stats do not prove anything. They are an estimate based on straw polling of employers. The numbers are a guess.
And the BLS STILL does not calculate nor will it ever, the NET gain or loss of actual employed.
These BLS numbers mean very little in face of public perception. If the people generally feel good about jobs and the economy, they will vote for the incumbent. If they do not, which is the current perception, they will blame the incumbent.
Whether you want to accept this fact or not, jobs and the weak economy are going to be campaign issues which Obama is going to have to defend. This will be difficult.
So you can carry on spewing numbers that are designed to make Obama look good all day long. It's not going to change a thing. The American people are going to vote with their bank accounts and job prospects in mind.
Have you bothered to examine as to why Obama and his people are trying to get social issues out in front of the voters?
Again you show your complete ignorance of the facts due to your blinding hatred. The BLS surveys 60,000 HOUSEHOLDS!!!!

But thank you for admitting that the CON$ervoFascist plan is to lie about the economy in hope of controlling public perception with their CON$ervoFascist lies.

No one has to lie about the economy to know that we are in bad shape, even if we take Obama's numbers as he presents them it sucks. You are the one lying, trying to tell us the economy is doing so much better than even Obama says. There is a reason Obama is taking about all this other crap "war on women" "gay marriage" talking points for the clones :cuckoo:
 
Yes...Typical lib spin. Because you cannot rebut the facts, you dredge up the old hate card.
Eddie, you're out of gas here.
I don't care about check boxes or cereal boxes. The BLS stats do not prove anything. They are an estimate based on straw polling of employers. The numbers are a guess.
And the BLS STILL does not calculate nor will it ever, the NET gain or loss of actual employed.
These BLS numbers mean very little in face of public perception. If the people generally feel good about jobs and the economy, they will vote for the incumbent. If they do not, which is the current perception, they will blame the incumbent.
Whether you want to accept this fact or not, jobs and the weak economy are going to be campaign issues which Obama is going to have to defend. This will be difficult.
So you can carry on spewing numbers that are designed to make Obama look good all day long. It's not going to change a thing. The American people are going to vote with their bank accounts and job prospects in mind.
Have you bothered to examine as to why Obama and his people are trying to get social issues out in front of the voters?
Again you show your complete ignorance of the facts due to your blinding hatred. The BLS surveys 60,000 HOUSEHOLDS!!!!

But thank you for admitting that the CON$ervoFascist plan is to lie about the economy in hope of controlling public perception with their CON$ervoFascist lies.

No one has to lie about the economy to know that we are in bad shape, even if we take Obama's numbers as he presents them it sucks. You are the one lying, trying to tell us the economy is doing so much better than even Obama says. There is a reason Obama is taking about all this other crap "war on women" "gay marriage" talking points for the clones :cuckoo:
Of course you do!

Obama says the economy is recovering slowly, but America-haters cannot tolerate and any recovery at all. All America-hating CON$ervoFascist scum have is lies.
 

That would be an opinion, not "evidence".

And not even your own opinion - its someone else's, that you're just agreeing with, because you want to believe it.

Shadow Government Statistics : Home Page

Have you ever wondered why the CPI, GDP and employment numbers run counter to your personal and business experiences? The problem lies in biased and often-manipulated government reporting.
 
Actually, us conservatives wish that it was, but sadly...it is recovering at such a slow pace that noone can really notice a recovery at all. To turn it around on you...You wish!!!!! Because your messiah needs it to and it is just not happening. Happy November to you!!!

Yep obama needs the economy to recover
And CON$ervoFascists need this great country to fail to satisfy their all consuming hate.

The country will fail as long as obama is president.
 
Who issues the unemployment numbers the BLS?

See, you don't even know that, how are you claiming the data is manipulated?
Why do you keep dodging the question of how the numbers are supposedly manipulated?

Who issues the numbers of the bls? that's not a dodge on my part but yours.

BLS does, of course. But you knew that. What's your point except to assert that the President can make them say what he wants. But how? He doesn't know what the numbers are until release.
 
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Shadow Government Statistics : Home Page

Have you ever wondered why the CPI, GDP and employment numbers run counter to your personal and business experiences? The problem lies in biased and often-manipulated government reporting.
We can actually test some things here. Mr. Williams claims that he is taking the U-6 measurement and adding in people who would be classified as Discouraged except that they haven't looked for work in over a year and adding them, and only them, in raises the UE rate to 22.3% for April. He doesn't do his own collection and relies entirely on BLS data.

So...our terms:
Unemployed: wants to work, available to work, actively looked for work previous 4 weeks.
Labor Force: Employed + Unemployed
Marginally Attached (includes Discouraged): wants to work, available to work, actively looked in previous 12 months but not previous 4 weeks. Discouraged stop looking due to the specific reason of believing they'd be unsuccessful.
Part Time for Economic Reasons: wants to and can work 35+ hours but worked < 35 hours due to slack business or couldn't find full time work.

Unemployed (U) = 12,500,000
Labor Force (L) = 154,365,000
Marginally Attached (M) = 2,363,000 (968,000 Discouraged)
Part Time for Economic Reasons (P) = 7,853,000
All data can be found at www.bls.gov/new.release/empsit.toc.htm and I'm using seasonally adjusted except for Marginally Attached.

So the U-6 is (U+M+P)/(L+M) = (12,500,000+2,363,000+7,853,000)/(154,365,000+2363,000) = 22,716,000/156,728,000 = 14.5%

Now we add in X, Mr Williams' claimed Discouraged over 1 year:
(22,716,000+X)/(156,728,000+X) = 0.223
Solve for X and we get 15,746,000 as the number of people he's adding in. He's claiming there are 15,746,000 people who want to work, are available to work, but quit looking over a year ago because they don't believe they'll find work.

hmmmm one problem. Looking at Tabke A-1 we see that there are only 6,366,000 people not already counted as Unemployed who say they want to work. Subtracting the Marginally Attached from that category, we have him adding 11,743,000 people more than those who say they want to work. How does that work? 11.7 million people who say they don't want to work but really do and quit searching due to discouragement? Seriously?
 
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Shadow Government Statistics : Home Page

Have you ever wondered why the CPI, GDP and employment numbers run counter to your personal and business experiences? The problem lies in biased and often-manipulated government reporting.
We can actually test some things here. Mr. Williams claims that he is taking the U-6 measurement and adding in people who would be classified as Discouraged except that they haven't looked for work in over a year and adding them, and only them, in raises the UE rate to 22.3% for April. He doesn't do his own collection and relies entirely on BLS data.

So...our terms:
Unemployed: wants to work, available to work, actively looked for work previous 4 weeks.
Labor Force: Employed + Unemployed
Marginally Attached (includes Discouraged): wants to work, available to work, actively looked in previous 12 months but not previous 4 weeks. Discouraged stop looking due to the specific reason of believing they'd be unsuccessful.
Part Time for Economic Reasons: wants to and can work 35+ hours but worked < 35 hours due to slack business or couldn't find full time work.

Unemployed (U) = 12,500,000
Labor Force (L) = 154,365,000
Marginally Attached (M) = 2,363,000 (968,000 Discouraged)
Part Time for Economic Reasons (P) = 7,853,000
All data can be found at www.bls.gov/new.release/empsit.toc.htm and I'm using seasonally adjusted except for Marginally Attached.

So the U-6 is (U+M+P)/(L+M) = (12,500,000+2,363,000+7,853,000)/(154,365,000+2363,000) = 22,716,000/156,728,000 = 14.5%

Now we add in X, Mr Williams' claimed Discouraged over 1 year:
(22,716,000+X)/(156,728,000+X) = 0.223
Solve for X and we get 15,746,000 as the number of people he's adding in. He's claiming there are 15,746,000 people who want to work, are available to work, but quit looking over a year ago because they don't believe they'll find work.

hmmmm one problem. Looking at Tabke A-1 we see that there are only 6,366,000 people not already counted as Unemployed who say they want to work. Subtracting the Marginally Attached from that category, we have him adding 11,743,000 people more than those who say they want to work. How does that work? 11.7 million people who say they don't want to work but really do and quit searching due to discouragement? Seriously?
All the data can be found at obama's labor department got it.
 
See, you don't even know that, how are you claiming the data is manipulated?
Why do you keep dodging the question of how the numbers are supposedly manipulated?

Who issues the numbers of the bls? that's not a dodge on my part but yours.

BLS does, of course. But you knew that. What's your point except to assert that the President can make them say what he wants. But how? He doesn't know what the numbers are until release.



How do you know when the numbers are given too obama? you ACTUALLY THINK THEY KEEP THE NUMBERS CONCEALED FROM HIM UNTIL THEY ARE RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC?
 
Who issues the numbers of the bls? that's not a dodge on my part but yours.

BLS does, of course. But you knew that. What's your point except to assert that the President can make them say what he wants. But how? He doesn't know what the numbers are until release.



How do you know when the numbers are given too obama? you ACTUALLY THINK THEY KEEP THE NUMBERS CONCEALED FROM HIM UNTIL THEY ARE RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC?

And is Obama actually doing the manipulation? NO...he is directing his minions to do it.
 
Shadow Government Statistics : Home Page

Have you ever wondered why the CPI, GDP and employment numbers run counter to your personal and business experiences? The problem lies in biased and often-manipulated government reporting.
We can actually test some things here. Mr. Williams claims that he is taking the U-6 measurement and adding in people who would be classified as Discouraged except that they haven't looked for work in over a year and adding them, and only them, in raises the UE rate to 22.3% for April. He doesn't do his own collection and relies entirely on BLS data.

So...our terms:
Unemployed: wants to work, available to work, actively looked for work previous 4 weeks.
Labor Force: Employed + Unemployed
Marginally Attached (includes Discouraged): wants to work, available to work, actively looked in previous 12 months but not previous 4 weeks. Discouraged stop looking due to the specific reason of believing they'd be unsuccessful.
Part Time for Economic Reasons: wants to and can work 35+ hours but worked < 35 hours due to slack business or couldn't find full time work.

Unemployed (U) = 12,500,000
Labor Force (L) = 154,365,000
Marginally Attached (M) = 2,363,000 (968,000 Discouraged)
Part Time for Economic Reasons (P) = 7,853,000
All data can be found at www.bls.gov/new.release/empsit.toc.htm and I'm using seasonally adjusted except for Marginally Attached.

So the U-6 is (U+M+P)/(L+M) = (12,500,000+2,363,000+7,853,000)/(154,365,000+2363,000) = 22,716,000/156,728,000 = 14.5%

Now we add in X, Mr Williams' claimed Discouraged over 1 year:
(22,716,000+X)/(156,728,000+X) = 0.223
Solve for X and we get 15,746,000 as the number of people he's adding in. He's claiming there are 15,746,000 people who want to work, are available to work, but quit looking over a year ago because they don't believe they'll find work.

hmmmm one problem. Looking at Tabke A-1 we see that there are only 6,366,000 people not already counted as Unemployed who say they want to work. Subtracting the Marginally Attached from that category, we have him adding 11,743,000 people more than those who say they want to work. How does that work? 11.7 million people who say they don't want to work but really do and quit searching due to discouragement? Seriously?
All the data can be found at obama's labor department got it.

That's where Williams is getting his numbers from, and then he makes his "additions" that no one else can duplicate.

But here's an interesting thing....Gallup also does a UE rate. They can't seasonally adjust and they can only do phones and use 18+ as their age so we don't expect them to exactly match BLS, but look at the chart...the BLS margin of error at 95% confidence is 0.24 percentage points, and the gallup error is 1 percentage point at 95% confidence. So I put together a graph of the Gallup data roughly matching the BLS reference week, and lo and behold, there is no statistically significant difference between the two.

How can that be explained if BLS manipulates the data?
 

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BLS does, of course. But you knew that. What's your point except to assert that the President can make them say what he wants. But how? He doesn't know what the numbers are until release.



How do you know when the numbers are given too obama? you ACTUALLY THINK THEY KEEP THE NUMBERS CONCEALED FROM HIM UNTIL THEY ARE RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC?

And is Obama actually doing the manipulation? NO...he is directing his minions to do it.


I"ve been saying obama's labor department for a very long time.
 
Who issues the numbers of the bls? that's not a dodge on my part but yours.

BLS does, of course. But you knew that. What's your point except to assert that the President can make them say what he wants. But how? He doesn't know what the numbers are until release.



How do you know when the numbers are given too obama? you ACTUALLY THINK THEY KEEP THE NUMBERS CONCEALED FROM HIM UNTIL THEY ARE RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC?
Because that's what the proceedures and laws are. The week of release the BLS office that produces the Employment Situation goes on lock-down, with no one except those working directly with the data are authorized in the office space without escort. The day before release, when all the numbers have been crunched, the program office meets with the BLS press officer and the commissioner to go over the release, the commissioner signs off and the report is sent to publications. BY LAW, the only other person authorized a pre-publication copy is the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers and he can share it with the President. But he only gets it the night before release. Statistical Policy Directive No. 3 para 5

The President does not necessarily get it until public release. But in any case, there's no time to make any changes.
 
BLS does, of course. But you knew that. What's your point except to assert that the President can make them say what he wants. But how? He doesn't know what the numbers are until release.



How do you know when the numbers are given too obama? you ACTUALLY THINK THEY KEEP THE NUMBERS CONCEALED FROM HIM UNTIL THEY ARE RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC?

And is Obama actually doing the manipulation? NO...he is directing his minions to do it.

And your evidence is????????
 
BLS does, of course. But you knew that. What's your point except to assert that the President can make them say what he wants. But how? He doesn't know what the numbers are until release.



How do you know when the numbers are given too obama? you ACTUALLY THINK THEY KEEP THE NUMBERS CONCEALED FROM HIM UNTIL THEY ARE RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC?
Because that's what the proceedures and laws are. The week of release the BLS office that produces the Employment Situation goes on lock-down, with no one except those working directly with the data are authorized in the office space without escort. The day before release, when all the numbers have been crunched, the program office meets with the BLS press officer and the commissioner to go over the release, the commissioner signs off and the report is sent to publications. BY LAW, the only other person authorized a pre-publication copy is the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers and he can share it with the President. But he only gets it the night before release. Statistical Policy Directive No. 3 para 5

The President does not necessarily get it until public release. But in any case, there's no time to make any changes.

Since when do politician;s hold too the law?
 
How do you know when the numbers are given too obama? you ACTUALLY THINK THEY KEEP THE NUMBERS CONCEALED FROM HIM UNTIL THEY ARE RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC?

And is Obama actually doing the manipulation? NO...he is directing his minions to do it.

And your evidence is????????

After you show the evidence to BigReb's questions YOU seem to be skirting at every turn.

Get it?
 
How do you know when the numbers are given too obama? you ACTUALLY THINK THEY KEEP THE NUMBERS CONCEALED FROM HIM UNTIL THEY ARE RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC?
Because that's what the proceedures and laws are. The week of release the BLS office that produces the Employment Situation goes on lock-down, with no one except those working directly with the data are authorized in the office space without escort. The day before release, when all the numbers have been crunched, the program office meets with the BLS press officer and the commissioner to go over the release, the commissioner signs off and the report is sent to publications. BY LAW, the only other person authorized a pre-publication copy is the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers and he can share it with the President. But he only gets it the night before release. Statistical Policy Directive No. 3 para 5

The President does not necessarily get it until public release. But in any case, there's no time to make any changes.

Since when do politician;s hold too the law?
But you have no evidence that the laws and policies are actually being broken. You're just asserting that they must be.

And again, how dou get past the time factor? There's not enough time to manipulate the data.
 
After you show the evidence to BigReb's questions YOU seem to be skirting at every turn.

Get it?
Nope. Evidence for what? That something is not happening? How does that work?

I rest my case. :eusa_hand:

You have no case. BigReb is claiming the data is manipulated, while refusing to say how, with his only "evidence" being that they are government numbers. This makes sense to you?
 

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