healthmyths
Platinum Member
- Sep 19, 2011
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- 10,507
It is both a reduction in ratio and increase in the number of retiree.Again, 5.4% of the population was over 65 in 1935, 9% of the population was over 65 in 1965, 15% of the population is over 65 today. Thus my 9 percent index.Your premise is wrong. We aren't living longer. More of us are living average. These are vastly different issues.
In 1940, a 65 year-old expected to live around 13 years in retirement. After cost increases of 15 to 25 fold, we live about 19 years in retirement. That is falling at this point because we are increasing the retirement age at this point. You are suggesting that we increase the retirement age of people who are already working 2 additional years to get roughly the same length of benefits.
We are most definitely living longer than our ancestors. We should be working longer.
Common. Fricking. Sense.
Can I bring up the obvious? In 1935, the program covered 1/2 of the work-force. By 1950, only 15% of those 65 and older were eligible for benefits. You can't compare ratios from the 1930s with today. It isn't apples and oranges. It is apples and auto parts.
That only adds more value to my point. A smaller and smaller percentage of workers supporting an ever increasing percentage of retirees.
Actually it only adds to your willingness to compare apples and auto parts. It takes 45 years for a person to go from entering the work force to retirement. Looking at the cost and numbers at the start is useless. The ratio of workers to retirees from 1980 is roughly where these ratio have any value at all - and that is very limited considering the rising in the costs. In the 1980s, the ratio was roughly 3.2-3.4 to 1. That ratio was sufficient to generate a $2.9 trillion surplus. So talking about the data from 1935 is simply a conclusion in search of data.
Social Security History
Is the Number of Workers per Social Security Retiree Declining?
I'm more than a bit curious about your assertion that the 1990s was a result of the dotcom bubble. Certainly that was there, but we're a service economy now. For gnp purposes it doesn't make any difference if we're service or manufacturing or what causes a recession or decline in yearly gnp. We had a soc sec tax surplus largely because we had not yet seen the increase in boomers retiring. See graph 1
G5000 is largely correct in terms of the % of workers living long enough to receive benefits. He is, imo, not so much correct in the viability of increasing the working age ... unless we expand disability programs.
Please read below FACT more people are NOT retiring at 65!
Why More Americans Are Working Past Age 65
The proportion of people age 65 and older in the workforce grew to 16.1 percent by 2010, up from 12.1 percent in 1990, according to a recent Census Bureau report. And the percentage of people between ages 65 and 69 who are working grew 9 percentage points to 30.8 percent in 2010.
These numbers are expected to further increase as baby boomers continue to reach retirement age.
A recent Conference Board survey found that 62 percent of people ages 45 to 60 plan to delay retirement, up from 42 percent in 2010. Here's a look at some of the reasons people are increasingly working during the traditional retirement years:
Health conditions are better managed than they were in the past and that makes it possible for workers, even with health limitations, to remain in the workplace," says Rix. There's also a growing realization that if you retire at age 65 and live until age 95, you will need to save enough to pay for 30 years of retirement.
https://money.usnews.com/money/reti...11/why-more-americans-are-working-past-age-65