JoeTheEconomist
VIP Member
- Sep 4, 2015
- 531
- 62
- Thread starter
- #221
. Whose retiring ? No one I know, and what about the death to life ratio going on in the program ? Any stats on that, and how does that shape and reshape the programs viability ? Nothing is fluid about it, and that could be where the deceptiveness lay in the numbers, and now the deceptiveness is looking to be increased by raising the age in so that more people will die before drawing on it ?Again, 5.4% of the population was over 65 in 1935, 9% of the population was over 65 in 1965, 15% of the population is over 65 today. Thus my 9 percent index.
We are most definitely living longer than our ancestors. We should be working longer.
Common. Fricking. Sense.
Can I bring up the obvious? In 1935, the program covered 1/2 of the work-force. By 1950, only 15% of those 65 and older were eligible for benefits. You can't compare ratios from the 1930s with today. It isn't apples and oranges. It is apples and auto parts.
That only adds more value to my point. A smaller and smaller percentage of workers supporting an ever increasing percentage of retirees.
There are two key stats. The likelihood of a 30 year-old (ie someone who has attained eligibility) of reaching retirement age, and the life expectancy of the retiree at retirement age. Both are increasing, but no one is looking at these measures. The problem with Social Security is more Americans are living average. This is kryptonite to SS.
Let's use some facts directly from the Trustees' Report https://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2017/tr2017.pdf
A) Under the Trustees’ intermediate assumptions, Social Security’s total income is projected to exceed its total cost through 2021, as it has for every year since 1982. The 2016 excess of total income over cost for the year was $35 billion
NOTE: this is based on 2016 SS revenue... Remember ... 2016 was the last year of the anti-business,anti-American President!
Federal tax revenue for 2017 was $192 billion more than 2016. Who Really Pays Uncle Sam's Bills?
Plus we didn't have a president that discouraged businesses by telling them to go bankrupt, or want to put 1,400 companies out of business, reducing federal revenue by $100B a year while throwing 450,000 people out of work.
B) With more people working more FICA payments by both employees and what again most people including many on this board don't seem to know is that the EMPLOYER matches!
It is truly sad that Obama and his anti-business attitude DIDN"T seem to comprehend that EMPLOYERS match employees payments into FICA! Maybe if he had to pay as an
employer that tax he'd appreciate the concept of higher employment and lower operating costs!
Yes your facts are correct, but your understanding of them is not quite right. That projection includes 2016 revenue but it is base on the projected revenue for the next two decades. The 2017 report expects wages to grow 5% for the next few years - so the Trustees have already factored in a pro-business policies in Washington. Trump really changes nothing.