GOP 68% Chance of Taking Back Senate

[konradv]

68% seems far-fetched. Nate Silver has the Republicans ending up with 50-51 seats with 50 being a loss considering that Biden would break any ties.

 

[Hoosier4Liberty]

68% seems far-fetched. Nate Silver has the Republicans ending up with 50-51 seats with 50 being a loss considering that Biden would break any ties.

Silver has it at 6 +/- 5 seats. 50-52 seats would be a fairer description of his estimate.

 

[Trinnity]

The chances of the R's taking the senate are north of 90%. /word

 

[JFK_USA]

68% seems far-fetched. Nate Silver has the Republicans ending up with 50-51 seats with 50 being a loss considering that Biden would break any ties.

I say it's 150% going to Republicans. I think Obama be impeached and all democrats deported. Murica!!!!

 

[RandallFlagg]

68% seems far-fetched. Nate Silver has the Republicans ending up with 50-51 seats with 50 being a loss considering that Biden would break any ties.

I say it's 150% going to Republicans. I think Obama be impeached and all democrats deported. Murica!!!!

I just got hard.........

 

[NYcarbineer]

Thanks to good news in North Carolina, Georgia, and Kentucky(Paul Broun/Phil Gingrey/Greg Brannon/Matt Bevin won't get nominated basically), the GOP looks very much poised to take back the US Senate in 2014.

To see explanations of how these simulations are done, refer back to my previous projections:
http://www.usmessageboard.com/polit...te-gop-at-62-chance-of-reclaiming-senate.html
http://www.usmessageboard.com/polit...p-remains-at-58-chance-to-reclaim-senate.html
http://www.usmessageboard.com/politics/337481-gop-has-60-chance-of-taking-back-senate-in-2014-a.html

Analysts' model predicts Romney win, model has been perfect since 1980

Analysis of election factors points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says | University of Colorado Boulder

 

[bedowin62]

there is a 100% chance left-wing losers will cry when Repubs make gains; and then make idiotic excuses that blame anybody but themselves for that happening