Sweet_Caroline
Gold Member
- Jun 15, 2013
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José, Coyote, et al,
This all, actually, ties together; not exactly the path I was headed down, but it got there just the same.
(COMMENT)While I accept that as the better way, I also feel that the folks should shut up about the Palistinians commemerating their "martyrs" when Israel has done the same thing. Were they to truly want moral improvement, they should adjust their historical narratives and commerations. Perhaps the "right" thing would be to admit that yes, their heros were terrorists, but lets learn from that and celebrate a better way of life instead of terrorists.
There are two important concepts here that both sides (Brand "X" and "Y") need to appreciate. History and key events, are a summation of a compilation of cultural actions. (Yeah - what does that mean?)
The Analogy: In science, one of the key breakthrough that will for ever be indelibly imprinted on humanity was that of Sir Isaac Newton. His Mechanics and Mathematics are still with us today; YET, he didn't get it quite right. It wasn't until Albert Einstein that we saw a better picture. But Newton was so close, that we still venerate him today as one of the Greatest Minds ever to emerge out of humanity. Incidentally, many believe that both Newton and Einstein has something in common; they exhibited symptoms of Asperger's Syndrome (Newton more than Einstein). The trail of scientific discovery is the story of a trail of major contributors who didn't quite get it right, but we celebrate because of the contribution they made.
Politically and Militarily, history shows us that we commemorate those that successively make contributions towards some imperative; whether they were Brand "X" or "Y", moving us ever closer to some distant objective that the society under change can't quite bring into focus.
Second is that, in most cases, nations, states, cultures and societies --- which operate as a collective based on common cause and loyalty --- seldom make decisions on the basis of a moral imperative. They make most decisions based on the probability that a given course of action will have an outcome that functionally approximates the goal or objective set at the outset. I can tell you from personal experience, for most rational people, a firefight is not about some great moral issue of the day. It is about survival and winning the moment, the summation of which wins the battle, the summation of battle wins will lead you victory and the end of the conflict (ultimately peace). But the technique, whether it is a conventional air/sea/land strategy, engagement via proxy combatants, an insurgency operation, or asymmetric (4th Generation) warfare, or a nuclear strike scenario (or some combination thereof), is truly a functional decision based on any number of factors that have to be taken into consideration if there is to be a reasonable expectation of reaching the goal or objective. And this is no less true when considering the use of "terrorism as a tactic" as it is in the consideration of a "nuclear strike." And therein is the danger and the importance in the evolution of averting conflict in favor of peaceful settlements. It become a matter of functional tradecraft.
Rarely is it the case that either Brand "X" or Brand "Y" will take a seat at the conference table and negotiate for peace in good faith if either or both believe that they have a reasonable expectation of functionally defeating the other; assuming they have the will to sustain the conflict.
KEY: The paradigm is not driven by some higher moral value, but the functional ability to achieve the goal or objective. And to achieve a peaceful solution, something has to be introduced that inverts this paradigm.
In most conflicts (certainly not all) this is achieved by:
In this case, what we are suggesting is the development of a strategy that will approximate peace and cooperation between the belligerents in common cause. This is rare and requires a dramatic shift in the approach that both sides take in regards to the other. This is exceptionally difficult to accomplish.
- Breaking the will to continue the struggle; or,
- Achieving a point in which their is no expectation of success; or,
- Invalidating the original goal and objective; fruitless confrontation.
(COMMENT)
Again, rarely are major decisions made on the basis that it is: "the right thing to do." While I applaud your idea behind the abandonment of "terrorism" as a viable tactic, such a shift takes a considerable amount of coordination, popular support and time to implement. It is extremely hard to demonstrate to the opposite number and requires something dramatic to achieve the surprise and political shock value that would shift the way in which the opposite number perceives its former combatant.
The idea of inducing compromise by means of "unilateral action to disengage" is an advanced concept that bares risk and complexity in its implementation. Not saying that it cannot be done, but usually --- unilateral disengagement is done by the stronger of the two belligerents.
Rather (just an opinion), I suggest a coordinated disengagement that is executed in baby steps, given the duration of the conflict and the time it is going to take for the two concerned populations to adjust. It might start with the lifting of roadblock and travel restrictions coupled with an announce and program within the occupied population to avoid confrontations and demonstrations. This is going to require a much improved civil affair component and the soft hand of counterintelligence to maintain fingers on the pulse of the communities (both sides). In the mean time, behind the scenes, the Occupation Settlements are going to have to be gradually prepared (mentally and physically) to expect they will be dismantled. (Which requires a relocation program planned well in advance.)
There is no question that such an effort would require extraordinary tolerance on the part of the Occupation Force; as well as a strong and disciplined Palestinian Police to maintain law and order - and an internal security surveillance program to neutralize elements within the population that are slow to change and adapt. It is unreasonable to assume that in a population that has been under occupation restrictions for so long, that there will not be moments of weakness, confrontations erupt, and minor incidents escalate out of control from time to time. But a phased disengagement is preferable. And if the initial phase looks promising, external assistance will resume on a scale not attainable in the past.
(EPILOG)
Now, do I have a reasonable expectation that any of this will occur. No! At least not under the leadership current to either belligerent. While it might be said that one belligerent is more advanced than the other, it appears that both sides have been traumatized by six decades of conflict; and are both ruled by leaders that have not transitioned into the 21st Century. While Israel may have a superior advantage in commerce, industry and technology --- it is most clear that the leadership is rooted in 20th Century concepts and envision a model of Israel that has long since been overtaken by events; and they simply won't let it go and adapt. The Palestinian is simply an unknown quantity, even unto itself. While Palestine suffers similarly as Israel, being rooted in a model of Palestine that has long since been overtaken by events; it is also influence by adverse external influences that may retard its advancement even further. It is a fractured society on the mend.
Most Respectfully,
R
In this case, what we are suggesting is the development of a strategy that will approximate peace and cooperation between the belligerents in common cause. This is rare and requires a dramatic shift in the approach that both sides take in regards to the other. This is exceptionally difficult to accomplish.
Indeed, and there are those who are taking that initiative in a non violent way.
[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w56AP_cjDYw]Rafeef, Ben and Mbuyiseni on Israeli Apartheid Week - 22.2.12 - YouTube[/ame]
Can you precis this 16 minute video. Most of us don't have time or inclination to watch videos that long in duration.