- Mar 7, 2014
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I'm curious to know where the logistics come from for the two month defeat of Russia?
Ukraine is not much different than Vietnam in terms of the military and political objectives announced by the US in the late1950's with Soviet and Chinese involvement with the Vietnamese. Yes, the terrain is very different but it puts Russia in the advantageous position of fighting a defensive war.
Will the US position carriers in the Adriatic Sea? The US would need overwhelming airpower to defeat the Russians in two months. That might imply air strikes on Russian soil to defeat their air force.
Yes, the Russians have good defenses, they've had time to build them. But the reason why the Ukrainians can't defeat those defenses is because they also need to hold their own defenses.
Look at WW1.
Defenses galore. The US got involved and the war ended within months. The US was putting troops on the ground in Spring 1918, it was building up and up over the summer and by November the Germans were being forced to do something because they couldn't hope to fight against everyone AND the fresh US troops and equipment.
Russia is rather precarious. It has borders all over the place, Finland, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia that are problematic. Russia simply couldn't hope to fight in the Ukraine AND deal with that. Russia couldn't fight back, because then it would lead to NATO getting involved which more doubles the troop capacity.
The US would get air superiority in terms of aircraft pretty soon. It's air force is far superior. Drones would be an issue, they always are. But the US would be able to produce drones an a rate of at least what the Russians are getting, if not much, much more. If it's willing to spend the money.
Do you know how many times Putin has basically said to the US "Please, don't get involved" but done it in the typical Russian style of "You do this, we get fucking angry, yes?"