FreeAndClear
Active Member
- Apr 23, 2018
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So here are the actual stats:
https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/...ublications/quick-facts/Non-Citizens_FY17.pdf
Non-citizens make up 40% of total federal crimes of that 73 percent are non violent immigration crimes. They are still crimes but nevertheless. So now let's see those figures in New York
Now of course that may not matter. Because of course that's 40% crimes too many. I just think that stats are going to be used we need to view it through the prism of what the crimes actually are. I understand that one murder may be too many as well. I understand the argument. I may not agree with it but I undertstand it.
I am actually all for setting up a system wherein we let in more immigrants while at the same time enforcing the illegal immigration laws more stringently.
What's your point???
I was clearly correct:
Let’s check:
Latest statistics from the US Sentencing Commission [ Topic]
Non-Citizens Federal Crimes:
22% of Murders
18% of Fraud
33% of Money Laundering
29% of Drug Trafficking
72% of Drug Possession
Get it????
Non-Citizens are FAR more likely to commit crimes that Americans are.
And these are only federal statistics.
I don't see these statistics on the site you listed. I sent you a different link with the statistics. It says non-citizens constitute 40 percent that's less than 50 which means they are not far more likely to commit a crime. I am just tyring to undertand your logic and the conclusion that you are drawing.
1. I provided the source. Read more carefully.
2. "It says non-citizens constitute 40 percent that's less than 50 which means they are not far more likely to commit a crime."
It appears that neither logic, nor mathematics is a forte of yours.
Illegals make up 60-80 million individuals in a nation three to four times that number. Your data amounts to either 20% or 25% of the population committing over 40% of the crimes......well over 50% of the crimes depending on their proportion of the population.
Re-think your numbers.
I checked the link it does not post the statistics that you are citing.
You believe that this country has 60-80 million illegals living in this country? Is that verifiable? Respectfully, where are these numbers coming from?
Let's say you are correct, why is the government entity The same one you cited earlier for your supposition states that it is actually 40% and not over 50%. if it is true there are 60-80 million illegals then why are they not counting them in their analysis? If their math is wrong, does that call all their math into question including the statistics you cited earlier?So here are the actual stats:
https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/...ublications/quick-facts/Non-Citizens_FY17.pdf
Non-citizens make up 40% of total federal crimes of that 73 percent are non violent immigration crimes. They are still crimes but nevertheless. So now let's see those figures in New York
Now of course that may not matter. Because of course that's 40% crimes too many. I just think that stats are going to be used we need to view it through the prism of what the crimes actually are. I understand that one murder may be too many as well. I understand the argument. I may not agree with it but I undertstand it.
I am actually all for setting up a system wherein we let in more immigrants while at the same time enforcing the illegal immigration laws more stringently.
What's your point???
I was clearly correct:
Let’s check:
Latest statistics from the US Sentencing Commission [ Topic]
Non-Citizens Federal Crimes:
22% of Murders
18% of Fraud
33% of Money Laundering
29% of Drug Trafficking
72% of Drug Possession
Get it????
Non-Citizens are FAR more likely to commit crimes that Americans are.
And these are only federal statistics.
I don't see these statistics on the site you listed. I sent you a different link with the statistics. It says non-citizens constitute 40 percent that's less than 50 which means they are not far more likely to commit a crime. I am just tyring to undertand your logic and the conclusion that you are drawing.
1. I provided the source. Read more carefully.
2. "It says non-citizens constitute 40 percent that's less than 50 which means they are not far more likely to commit a crime."
It appears that neither logic, nor mathematics is a forte of yours.
Illegals make up 60-80 million individuals in a nation three to four times that number. Your data amounts to either 20% or 25% of the population committing over 40% of the crimes......well over 50% of the crimes depending on their proportion of the population.
Re-think your numbers.
I checked the link it does not post the statistics that you are citing.
You believe that this country has 60-80 million illegals living in this country? Is that verifiable? Respectfully, where are these numbers coming from?
Let's say you are correct, why is the government entity The same one you cited earlier for your supposition states that it is actually 40% and not over 50%. if it is true there are 60-80 million illegals then why are they not counting them in their analysis? If their math is wrong, does that call all their math into question including the statistics you cited earlier?
1. "The GAO estimates “criminal aliens” were arrested, convicted and incarcerated for 25,064 homicides. If non-citizens committed them over seven years, the annual rate would be 14.2 per 100,000 non-citizens. If illegal aliens committed them over four years, the annual rate would be 58.0 per 100,000 illegal aliens. Either way you compute, those are high rates.
By comparison, the FBI reports the murder rates for the entire U.S. from 2003 through 2009 varied from 5.0 to 5.8 per 100,000 inhabitants for an average rate of 5.5. To be clear, 5.5 is much lower than either 14.2 or 58.0.
Or look at the total number of homicides in those years. Per the FBI, there were 67,642 murders in the U.S. from 2005 through 2008, and 115,717 from 2003 through 2009. Per the GAO, criminal aliens committed 25,064 of them. That means they committed 22% to 37% of all murders in the U.S., while being only 3.52% to 8.25% of the population.
Conclusion: criminal and illegal aliens commit murder at much higher rates than all inhabitants of the U.S. – at least 3 to 10 times higher."
Illegal Aliens Murder at a Much Higher Rate Than US Citizens Do
2. There are between 50 million and 80 million illegal aliens living in this country.
3. James H. Walsh, formerly an Associate General Counsel of the Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) in the United States Department of Justice, writes
"... the U.S. Census Bureau routinely undercounts and then adjusts upward total census numbers of Hispanics and other foreign nationals residing in the United States––counting only, of course, those willing to be counted. For the year 2000, the Census Bureau reported a total U.S. population count of “about 275 million” men, women, and children.
When the states and local governments challenged that number as an undercount, the total was corrected upward to 281.4 million, with no clear count of illegal aliens. The Hispanic 2000 census count was 32.8 million, but on re-count the Census Bureau adjusted this number upward to 35.3 million, a 13 percent increase."
How many illegal aliens reside in the United States? | CAIRCO - Colorado Alliance for Immigration Reform | issues legislation projects research
Increased the totals by 13%!!!
Now....hold on tight....this is gonna involve mathematics, so I may lose you here:
Soooo....if we apply that same 'adjustment' to the fabled 11 million....over a decade of so....we have almost 40 million.
But wait!!!
There's more!
4. Another way to arrive at the numbers of illegals in the country is to base it on the number of apprehensions and escapes.
"The average number of recorded apprehensions of illegal aliens in the United States now hovers at 1.2 million a year [in 2007]. A DHS report, Border Apprehensions: 2005, documented 1.3 million apprehensions in 2005. For the 10-year period (1996–2005), the highest number of apprehensions, 1.8 million, occurred in 2000, and the lowest, 1 million, in 2003. These DHS statistics contradict persistent statements by other government agencies that only 400,000 to 500,000 illegal aliens enter the country each year.
Journeymen Border Patrol agents (on the job five years or more) estimate that a minimum of five illegal aliens enter the United States for each apprehension, and more likely seven. That informed estimate would raise the total number of illegal aliens entering the United States in 2003 to 8 million men, women, and children.
He concludes that:
My estimate of 38 million illegal aliens residing in the United States is calculated, however, using a conservative annual rate of entry (allowing for deaths and returns to their homelands) of three illegal aliens entering the United States for each one apprehended. My estimate includes apprehensions at the Southern Border (by far, the majority), at the Northern Border, along the Pacific, Atlantic, and Gulf of Mexico coasts, and at seaports and airports.
5. Taking the DHS average of 1.2 million apprehensions per year and multiplying it by 3 comes to 3.6 million illegal entries per year; then multiplying that number by 10 for the 1996–2005 period, my calculations come to 36 million illegal entries into the United States. Add to this the approximately 2 million visa overstays during the same period, and the total is 38 million illegal aliens currently in the United States."
How many illegal aliens reside in the United States? | CAIRCO - Colorado Alliance for Immigration Reform | issues legislation projects research
....and that number is over a decade old!!!!!!
Gettin' nervous?
6. But other Border Patrol agents estimate that a minimum of five illegal aliens enter the United States for each apprehension, and more likely seven......which would give a total of nearly 80 million illegals occupying our country.
The number of illegals would be at least.....at least.....60-80 million at this time.....permanently residing right here is this country.
(1) while a 13 percent increase in Hispanics would certainly be a 13 percent increase you are automatically arguing that is the exact increase in the number of illegal aliens. You have no basis for this argument. And yes that wouldbe about 42 mil if you were correct
(2) The same mathematical conflation arises with your point. The estimations are based on conjecture. You take a number that may or may not be correct you forget repeat apprehension and then the number explodes to some ridiculous number
I do agree though with your overall point, it's not 11 mil, it's more but your math is faulty not because the calculations are wrong but because the underlying numbres are made up out of whole cloth.