Polls and political markets before and after 1st Republican debate

[catatomic]

OK... it starts in less than two hours. Here are the values...

predictit Republican nominee Trump 58 Ramaswamy 21 DeSantis 15 Christie 8 Scott 7 Haley 4 Youngkin 4 Pence 2

fivethirtyeight Republican poll of polls Trump 52.1 DeSantis 15.2 Ramaswamy 9.7 Pence 4.3 Scott 3.6 Haley 3.4 Christie 3.3

Real Clear Politics national: Trump 55.4 DeSantis 14.3 Ramaswamy 7.2 Pence 4.0

Real Clear Politics betting average Republican nominee Trump 60.7 Ramaswamy 13.5 DeSantis 10.0 Scott 3.3

 

[catatomic]

Mmm... first hour... sometimes slimy, but I liked it.

 

[catatomic]

predictit Donald Trump 58 Ron De Santis 17 Vivek Ramaswamy 16 Nikki Haley 6 Chris Christie 5 Tim Scott 4



amazing that in a few minutes one person against 9 can change so many minds.

 

[catatomic]

OK... 5 days minus 1 hour afterwards.

Here are the change amounts. Do the operation to get the current value.

predictit Republican nominee Trump 58+4 Ramaswamy 21-4 DeSantis 15+1 Christie 8-5 Scott 7-4 Haley 4+4 Youngkin 4+0 Pence 2+0

fivethirtyeight Republican poll of polls Trump 52.1 -2.2 DeSantis 15.2 -0.3 Ramaswamy 9.7 +0.4 Pence 4.3+0.7 Scott 3.6+0 Haley 3.4+2 Christie 3.3+0.5

Real Clear Politics national: Trump 55.4-2.4 DeSantis 14.3-1.3 Ramaswamy 7.2+0.3 Pence 4.0 replaced with Haley 5.0

Real Clear Politics betting average Republican nominee Trump 60.7+0.5 Ramaswamy 13.5-2 DeSantis 10.0+1 Scott 3.3 replaced with Haley 4.2