I read the abstract, the article is $15. Since it's not my subject, I don't think I'd get enough out of it to buy it. All I can say though is that even if as you say you are describing a data point, that doesn't make you an expert still in modern climate change any more than being an expert in roads makes you an expert on cars
I didn't say I was an expert in modern climate change. That said, I am an expert in determining paleoclimate from lithologic and paleobiological evidence, which does mean that I have more to say on climate change than most here.
Not really. That's like saying a historian understands physics because he wrote about the Michelson-Morley experiment.
If I were to take you into the field to an outcrop of Muldraugh limestone, what could you say about what it tells us about the climatic/environmental conditions at that locality at that particular time in Earth's geologic history? Anything at all? No? That's because you don't know anything about geology, how to read the rocks and fossils. I do. That is my expertize. Your expertize? Wasting everyone's time.
Actually, my father was a geologist, so I know quite a bit about geology. One thing I know is that knowing what the climate was like at a certain point in time doesn't mean you know what caused that climate. You can look at pollen and determine what plants were growing at the time to determine the climate, but that doesn't tell you jack shit about what caused that climate.
Of course it doesn't. You need more data spread out over time. Geology gives us that data.
Say a study of 1 million men shows that 2.765% of them are gay.
Now you have 50 men, you want to know how many of them are gay. Because of the small sample size, your margin of confidence is low.
If you expand your study to see how many out of 1.1 million men are gay, that doesn’t improve the accuracy of calculating accurately how many of the 50 are gay.
If your pool of 50 grows to 100, that does improve the odds of calculating more accurately how many of them are gay.
How do you not get this?