pinqy
Gold Member
Do we count Nixon/Ford as an 8-year period? That was a net loss in manufacturingYou mean aside from the previous 8 years, and the 8 years before that? There were many many 8 year periods of net loss on manufacturing. A quick look at the graph shows thatWe had a net loss of manufacturing jobs under Obama, which had never happened before in any previous eight-year period.
Since the U-6 only goes back to 1994, “historically high” doesn’t mean much.The U-6 rate stayed historically high until the last year or so of Obama's presidency, when businesses knew he would soon be replaced.
Ok so your claim is the chang in wages was not due to supply and demand, but only dislike/distrust of Obama.Wages have risen dramatically over the last 18 months, whereas wages were stagnant/flat-lined for six of Obama's eight years--again, until businesses knew they only had less than two years until he would be out of office.
when Obama took office there were about 5 unemployed for every job opening
That went to 4 unemployed for every 3 job opening when he left office,
And for the last year there have been more job openings than unemployed.
I think supply and demand explain the increase in wages pretty well. You disagree?
No one president had ever presided over a net loss in manufacturing jobs before Obama. I wasn't talking about any random 8-year period but 8-year periods of two presidential terms of the same president.
Reagan had a net loss on manufacturing, and so did both Bushes
Compared to over 70 years of the U-3? No.Can't you just put on your big boy pants and admit that the U-6 has looked much better under Trump than it did under Obama? 1994 was 25 years ago. That's a pretty long time to measure something, wouldn't you say?
Where are you thinking I denied the U-6was better under Trump? As with the U-3, the U-6 hadn’t been going up under Obama and isn’t going down any faster under a Trump. Continuation of a trend,
I did admit that. I specifically said wages have been going up. I was disagreeing with your made-up reason why wages have been going up.Similarly, why can't you guys just admit--sheesh, just admit the fact--that wages are doing much better under Trump than they did under Obama? This fact won't go away just because it makes you guys uncomfortable.
I have no idea. What poll or study are you citing?Oh, you really, really don't think that many businesses began to be more active in hiring and expanding during Obama's last two years precisely because they knew he would be out of office come January 2017?
Of course they do. But is that the current case?You don't think many businesses consider such a major factor as the business/economic views and policies of the president when deciding when and how to invest?? REALLY?
What evidence supports your claim?
I don't say this was the only factor, but I do say that for many businesses it was a huge factor.
No, you said it was the reason. Not “a reason” not “a major factor,” but the reason. The only one offered.
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