The poll game continues

[eagle7_31]

Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll

This will be going back and forth until the debates, the first in particular. With Trump being a wild card and most anyone outside the hard core dem base who would not take the Hildebeast's word if she night's dark and days light this is going to be a roll coaster ride. Of course BO will try and manipulate circumstances where ever he can, domestic or overseas.

 

[konradv]

Try 6.5 points.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

 

[Dekster]

The polls that had clinton up so high were largely taken latter last week/weekend. I saw something yesterday that said it was swinging back on some snap polls over the week. I really have issues with Reuters uneven confidence measures instead of margins of error so I generally ignore them.

 

[eagle7_31]

Try 6.5 points.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Like I said a roller coaster.

 

[konradv]

Try 6.5 points. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Like I said a roller coaster.

That you did, 3.5 points in 13 minutes. Wild Ride!

 

[konradv]

The polls that had clinton up so high were largely taken latter last week/weekend. I saw something yesterday that said it was swinging back on some snap polls over the week. I really have issues with Reuters uneven confidence measures instead of margins of error so I generally ignore them.

That's why I only look at Silver these days. He's been the most consistent and doesn't just use a single poll in his projections.

 

[Rexx Taylor]

but keep in mind, they seem to be only polling in the hundreds, meanwhile 20 thousand people are rushing to see the Donald

 

[Zander]

Nate Silver, boy Genius!!! Donald Trump CANNOT WIN!!!

Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
Donald Trump’s Six Stages Of Doom
Nate Silver: Trump Has About 5% Chance Of Winning
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart

 

[konradv]

but keep in mind, they seem to be only polling in the hundreds, meanwhile 20 thousand people are rushing to see the Donald

Let's see, scientific polling vs. a mob of yahoos.

 

[konradv]

Nate Silver, boy Genius!!! Donald Trump CANNOT WIN!!!
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
Donald Trump’s Six Stages Of Doom
Nate Silver: Trump Has About 5% Chance Of Winning
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart

Primaries. It's a whole new ball game. You're talking the pre-season. As far as calling the last two general elections are concerned, Silver is an MVP.

 

[Zander]

but keep in mind, they seem to be only polling in the hundreds, meanwhile 20 thousand people are rushing to see the Donald

Lets see, scientific polling vs. a mob of yahoos.

Lemmee see...a social misfit who uses other peoples polls, run through a screen, that has been DEAD FUCKING WRONG about a certain nominee....

Or ANYTHING else.

 

[Lumpy 1]

The LA Times/ USC poll has Hillary up by 1 .. 45 to 44

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

 

[Indeependent]

What low IQ Globalist Libs don't get is that "playing" the Polls against Trump will only cause those who support him to go out and vote.

 

[Zander]

Nate Silver, boy Genius!!! Donald Trump CANNOT WIN!!!
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
Donald Trump’s Six Stages Of Doom
Nate Silver: Trump Has About 5% Chance Of Winning
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart

Primaries. It's a whole new ball game. You're talking the pre-season. As far as calling the last two general elections are concerned, Silver is an MVP.

He's a partisan hack who's limitations were exposed in the primaries. Look at his record in totality..he sucks ass.

 

[jillian]

Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll

This will be going back and forth until the debates, the first in particular. With Trump being a wild card and most anyone outside the hard core dem base who would not take the Hildebeast's word if she night's dark and days light this is going to be a roll coaster ride. Of course BO will try and manipulate circumstances where ever he can, domestic or overseas.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

and that would be president obama to you.

 

[jillian]

Nate Silver, boy Genius!!! Donald Trump CANNOT WIN!!!
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
Donald Trump’s Six Stages Of Doom
Nate Silver: Trump Has About 5% Chance Of Winning
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart

Primaries. It's a whole new ball game. You're talking the pre-season. As far as calling the last two general elections are concerned, Silver is an MVP.

He's a partisan hack who's limitations were exposed in the primaries. Look at his record in totality..he sucks ass.

no...you're a partisan hack.

 

[Dekster]

The polls that had clinton up so high were largely taken latter last week/weekend. I saw something yesterday that said it was swinging back on some snap polls over the week. I really have issues with Reuters uneven confidence measures instead of margins of error so I generally ignore them.

That's why I only look at Silver these days. He's been the most consistent and doesn't just use a single poll in his projections.

I am not a fan of aggregate polling but it is really hard to know who to trust. I usually like Sabato but he is saying there are no toss up states and Clinton will win 347-191. A completely insane prediction in early August, especially saying there are no toss ups and putting them all the swing states to Clinton.

 

[owebo]

The polls that had clinton up so high were largely taken latter last week/weekend. I saw something yesterday that said it was swinging back on some snap polls over the week. I really have issues with Reuters uneven confidence measures instead of margins of error so I generally ignore them.

Reuters changed their methodology of their polls last week as hitlery was losing in them...they did it in such a way, it changed all their historic polling too.....

 

[Zander]

Nate Silver, boy Genius!!! Donald Trump CANNOT WIN!!!
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
Donald Trump’s Six Stages Of Doom
Nate Silver: Trump Has About 5% Chance Of Winning
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart

Primaries. It's a whole new ball game. You're talking the pre-season. As far as calling the last two general elections are concerned, Silver is an MVP.

He's a partisan hack who's limitations were exposed in the primaries. Look at his record in totality..he sucks ass.

no...you're a partisan hack.

You're a wingnut who lives in a bubble.

 

[toomuchtime_]

Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll

This will be going back and forth until the debates, the first in particular. With Trump being a wild card and most anyone outside the hard core dem base who would not take the Hildebeast's word if she night's dark and days light this is going to be a roll coaster ride. Of course BO will try and manipulate circumstances where ever he can, domestic or overseas.

We saw in 2008 and again in the recent primaries that Clinton is a poor debater, but we have also seen how the Democratic leadership managed to rig the primaries to cheat Sanders out of a fair shot at the nomination and we have seen the FBI pressured to let Clinton skip being indicted for her crimes, so it is not hard to believe that the Democratic leadership with help from the WH, knowing what a poor debater Clinton is, managed to schedule the debates opposite NFL games and will try to pressure the moderators to go soft on Clinton. Obama remembers how Clinton crumbled under the pressure of the debates in 2008 and will do everything he can to rig these debates so that Clinton might come through with as little damage as possible.