Plasmaball
Gold Member
- Sep 9, 2010
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we should shut everything down for 3 peopleThree confirmed cases.I'm just doing some simple math here.
Ebola patient 1 was diagnosed on September 28th.
By the time today rolled around (17 days later) we have discovered 2 more people with confirmed ebola. Total of 3 ebola cases.
So, let's assume that those 2 additional cases each infect 2 more people within 17 days. That means that on November 3rd, 4 new cases will appear. Total of 7 cases.
Lets assume that each new ebola case continues to infect another 2 people every 17 days.
A year goes by.
At that rate, on September 22nd 2015 there will be 2,097,152 diagnosed and the US will have a combined total of 4,194,303 people that have been infected.
That is a lot of people.
In reality, if it was becoming a serious epidemic the US would probably start a much more restrictive quarantine policy much earlier than September 2015, so I suppose the numbers would be less than that. But still, if an entire city (or more than one) gets quarantined, it's not going to be pretty for people stuck in a quarantined location.
Just saying.
There have only been 2 confirmed cases so far, not 3.
Patient Duncan + two nurses = three.
Like I said, simple math.