Anyone looked at the current RCP 'no tossups' electoral map?

[Missourian]

Comment: No need to "make my own" this election...the 'no tossups' map is perfect without my input...

2024 Electoral College: No Toss-Up States | RealClearPolling

Still five months to go...but this looks promising so far.

Keep up the good work people!

Keep the pressure on. Don't let up.

 

[JackOfNoTrades]

Comment: No need to "make my own" this election...the 'no tossups' map is perfect without my input...View attachment 964762

2024 Electoral College: No Toss-Up States | RealClearPolling

Still five months to go...but this looks promising so far.

Keep up the good work people!

Keep the pressure on. Don't let up.

Don't..Bet..The..Farm..On..It!!

You were saying the same things in 2020...how'd that work out for ya??

Psst.....open land doesn't vote.

 

[Thunderbird]

Trump can win with ideas like this: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/06/19/no_tax_on_tips_151119.html

 

[rightwinger]

Looks like another “Red Tsunami” for Republicans

 

[Missourian]

Don't..Bet..The..Farm..On..It!!

You were saying the same things in 2020...how'd that work out for ya??

Psst.....open land doesn't vote.

Is Joe passing his poor memory on to his supporter?

Slow Joe was consistently up by an average of 6 to 7% in 2020, during the "keep Joe in the basement" campaign.

But eventually he had to emerge all bleary eyed and saw his shadow.

The shadow of the worst president of the modern era.

Biden records worst approval rating in history for president at this point in first term: Gallup

President Biden notched the lowest approval rating, 38.7%, of any president at this point in their first term in office, according to Gallup.

www.washingtontimes.com

Your failing mental health aside...this is SIGNIFICANTLY better than 2020.

 

[rightwinger]

RCP is never wrong…

Just ask President Hillary Clinton

 

[JackOfNoTrades]

Looks like another “Red Tsunami” for Republicans

You mean another "Red Period"?? ...or "Red Puddle"?

 

[Thunderbird]

MN and VA might go Trump as well.

 

[JackOfNoTrades]

Is Joe passing his poor memory on to his supporter?

Slow Joe was consistently up by an average of 6 to 7% in 2020, during the "keep Joe in the basement" campaign.

View attachment 964776

But eventually he had to emerge all bleary eyed and saw his shadow.

The shadow of the worst president of the modern era.

Biden records worst approval rating in history for president at this point in first term: Gallup

President Biden notched the lowest approval rating, 38.7%, of any president at this point in their first term in office, according to Gallup.

www.washingtontimes.com

Your failing mental health aside...this is SIGNIFICANTLY better than 2020.

And he beat Trump like a rented mule.

Sorry. Not sure what you are driving at here. I haven't quoted any polls leading up to 2020. Just sentiment.
Bring it home, slugger!

 

[Missourian]

Sorry. Not sure what you are driving at here. I haven't quoted any polls leading up to 2020. Just sentiment.
Bring it home, slugger!

I think sentiment is against you this time around.

Have you thought about running Kamala instead?

 

[JackOfNoTrades]

I think sentiment is against you this time around.

Have you thought about running Kamala instead?

Nope. We are left with the two choices in front of us.

Unless the fates decide otherwise, that is the choice we all (as voters) face.
Best if you just deal in reality.

 

[Rambunctious]

Don't..Bet..The..Farm..On..It!!

You were saying the same things in 2020...how'd that work out for ya??

Psst.....open land doesn't vote.

Nervous laughter?....

 

[Missourian]

Nope. We are left with the two choices in front of us.

Unless the fates decide otherwise, that is the choice we all (as voters) face.
Best if you just deal in reality.

I'm really glad you brought this to my attention.

With minimal effort I was able to find the same "no toss ups" map in the Way back Machine from June 2020!

RealClearPolitics - 2020 Election Maps - Battle for White House

Battle for White House

web.archive.org

 

[Missourian]

RCP is never wrong…

Just ask President Hillary Clinton

It's just a guide My Man.

Hillary was consistently up 3% on average in 2016.

It could have actually been the fact that everyone predicted a Clinton win that reduced her turnout. Who knows.

Bottom line is it's never a good idea to count your chickens before the final tally.

Always run your ground game like you expect to come up short.

 

[rightwinger]

I'm really glad you brought this to my attention.

With minimal effort I was able to find the same "no toss ups" map in the Way back Machine from June 2020!

View attachment 964784

RealClearPolitics - 2020 Election Maps - Battle for White House

Battle for White House

web.archive.org

So it was off by 46EVs

I still won’t take it very seriously

 

[Missourian]

So it was off by 46EVs

I still won’t take it very seriously

Yeah, I know, polls are never right when you're losing.

Been there Brother.

 

[rightwinger]

Yeah, I know, polls are never right when you're losing.

Been there Brother.

Hillary had a 90 percent chance of winning, right up till the election

I will wait till November to get worked up

 

[Missourian]

Hillary had a 90 percent chance of winning, right up till the election

I will wait till November to get worked up

Chalk that up to piss poor analysis and confirmation bias.

How can 538 give a 77% probability of winning PA with less than 4% separating the two candidates?

The margin of error is around 3% and most polls oversample Democrats.

Pennsylvania | 2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

Pennsylvania predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Unfortunately there is no snapshot of the no toss ups map prior to 2020.

 

[jackflash]

Comment: No need to "make my own" this election...the 'no tossups' map is perfect without my input...View attachment 964762

2024 Electoral College: No Toss-Up States | RealClearPolling

Still five months to go...but this looks promising so far.

Keep up the good work people!

Keep the pressure on. Don't let up.

I came out with 233 Biden, 305 for Trump which is less than the poli-map I include below;

The "Mappers" Are Showing A Slow But Steady Climb For U Know Who!

For the "Blue Bells" the political map below is for them like Ronaldo Ray-Gun(ZAAAP!) coming back from the grave. I am sure the Bidenites will try to dismiss it as Red-Ball propaganda as the Trumpsters will say quite the opposite. Considering the steady info feed updates that this map receives...

www.usmessageboard.com

This Biden/Trump contest appears to be HEAVILY in Trump's favor & MAY end up being the most lopsided presidential contest since the Reagan/Mondale contest. The statist left really screwed up with their "One World Without Borders" fiasco, which may end up tubing the DNC as a functional political organization for the future.

1984 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[Missourian]

I came out with 233 Biden, 305 for Trump which is less than the poli-map I include below;

The "Mappers" Are Showing A Slow But Steady Climb For U Know Who!

For the "Blue Bells" the political map below is for them like Ronaldo Ray-Gun(ZAAAP!) coming back from the grave. I am sure the Bidenites will try to dismiss it as Red-Ball propaganda as the Trumpsters will say quite the opposite. Considering the steady info feed updates that this map receives...

www.usmessageboard.com

This Biden/Trump contest appears to be HEAVILY in Trump's favor & MAY end up being the most lopsided presidential contest since the Reagan/Mondale contest. The statist left really screwed up with their "One World Without Borders" fiasco, which may end up tubing the DNC as a functional political organization for the future.

1984 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

That's funny. I just referenced that election in another thread based on this map where RCP moved Minnesota to "toss up".