Procrustes Stretched
"intuition and imagination and intelligence"
- Dec 1, 2008
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Anyone looked at the current RCP 'no tossups' electoral map?
- Thread starter Missourian
- Start date
Procrustes Stretched
"intuition and imagination and intelligence"
- Dec 1, 2008
- 69,391
- 14,915
June - August
How have things changed? We still have a few months to go.
How have things changed? We still have a few months to go.
Procrustes Stretched
"intuition and imagination and intelligence"
- Dec 1, 2008
- 69,391
- 14,915
That's funny. I just referenced that election in another thread based on this map where RCP moved Minnesota to "toss up".
What are the best pollsters in America?
538's new pollster ratings, explained. Who's the best pollster in America?
abcnews.go.com
2024 Electoral Interactive Map
The ABC News 2024 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2024 Presidential Election.
abcnews.go.com
Procrustes Stretched
"intuition and imagination and intelligence"
- Dec 1, 2008
- 69,391
- 14,915
2024 Presidential Election Consensus Forecast - 270toWin
The consensus ratings from numerous forecasters for the 2024 presidential election.
www.270towin.com
JohnDB
Platinum Member
- Jun 16, 2021
- 8,738
- 5,430
Trump is at 250 ECV by this poll....even VA is in play. PA is Trump and so is GA....2024 Presidential Election Consensus Forecast - 270toWin
The consensus ratings from numerous forecasters for the 2024 presidential election.
Not looking good for wine mom Kamala.
Procrustes Stretched
"intuition and imagination and intelligence"
- Dec 1, 2008
- 69,391
- 14,915
Except when you add this:Trump is at 250 ECV by this poll....even VA is in play. PA is Trump and so is GA....
Not looking good for wine mom Kamala.
Battleground States
The CBS News/YouGov poll puts Trump and Harris in a complete deadlock in battleground states—
Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
—with both candidates maintaining 50 percent of the vote.
Battleground states play a key role in the presidential race, and polls from these states are often considered more telling than national averages, as the popular vote does not guarantee the White House. To become president, a candidate must secure 270 Electoral College votes, and battleground states can swing the election to either candidate.
the candidates completely tied at 50 percent in Pennsylvania and 49 percent in Wisconsin.
It shows Trump leading by a margin of 1 percentage point in Arizona, 50 percent to Harris' 49 percent, and 2 percentage points in Georgia and North Carolina, 50 percent to 48 percent.
My map based on the above
On the other hand, the model shows Harris leading in Nebraska, 50 percent to Trump's 47 percent, Nevada with 50 percent to Trump's 48 percent, and Michigan by 49 percent to 48 percent.
A recent New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters in battleground states shows Harris leading Trump in North Carolina and Arizona, while Trump holds a lead over Harris in Nevada and Georgia. In a survey of 655 likely voters in North Carolina conducted between August 9 and 14, it showed Harris leading Trump 49 to 47 percent. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points in this state poll.
In Arizona, among 677 likely voters from August 8 to 15, Harris garnered 50 percent of the vote to Trump's 45 percent. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points in the Arizona state poll.
In Nevada, Trump edged ahead by 1 percentage point among 661 likely voters from August 9 to 14, leading Harris 48 to 47 percent. The state poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.
Trump had the greatest margin in Georgia, with a poll of 661 likely voters found 50 percent would vote for Trump and 46 percent for Harris. The poll, conducted between August 9 and 14 has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.
Donald Trump gets some good signs from new poll amid Kamala Harris surge
A poll released on Sunday shows that Trump leads among voters who believe the economy and the U.S.-Mexico border are major factors in their voting decision.
www.newsweek.com
JohnDB
Platinum Member
- Jun 16, 2021
- 8,738
- 5,430
You and legacy media.Except when you add this:
Battleground States
The CBS News/YouGov poll puts Trump and Harris in a complete deadlock in battleground states—
Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
—with both candidates maintaining 50 percent of the vote.
Battleground states play a key role in the presidential race, and polls from these states are often considered more telling than national averages, as the popular vote does not guarantee the White House. To become president, a candidate must secure 270 Electoral College votes, and battleground states can swing the election to either candidate.
the candidates completely tied at 50 percent in Pennsylvania and 49 percent in Wisconsin.
It shows Trump leading by a margin of 1 percentage point in Arizona, 50 percent to Harris' 49 percent, and 2 percentage points in Georgia and North Carolina, 50 percent to 48 percent.
On the other hand, the model shows Harris leading in Nebraska, 50 percent to Trump's 47 percent, Nevada with 50 percent to Trump's 48 percent, and Michigan by 49 percent to 48 percent.
A recent New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters in battleground states shows Harris leading Trump in North Carolina and Arizona, while Trump holds a lead over Harris in Nevada and Georgia. In a survey of 655 likely voters in North Carolina conducted between August 9 and 14, it showed Harris leading Trump 49 to 47 percent. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points in this state poll.
In Arizona, among 677 likely voters from August 8 to 15, Harris garnered 50 percent of the vote to Trump's 45 percent. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points in the Arizona state poll.
In Nevada, Trump edged ahead by 1 percentage point among 661 likely voters from August 9 to 14, leading Harris 48 to 47 percent. The state poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.
Trump had the greatest margin in Georgia, with a poll of 661 likely voters found 50 percent would vote for Trump and 46 percent for Harris. The poll, conducted between August 9 and 14 has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.
Donald Trump gets some good signs from new poll amid Kamala Harris surge
A poll released on Sunday shows that Trump leads among voters who believe the economy and the U.S.-Mexico border are major factors in their voting decision.
Procrustes Stretched
"intuition and imagination and intelligence"
- Dec 1, 2008
- 69,391
- 14,915
There you go again, regurgitating a Trump Truth/HateYou and legacy media.
My map
Procrustes Stretched
"intuition and imagination and intelligence"
- Dec 1, 2008
- 69,391
- 14,915
btw, a forecast is not a poll.Trump is at 250 ECV by this poll....even VA is in play. PA is Trump and so is GA....
Not looking good for wine mom Kamala.
D'Oh!
- Jan 19, 2010
- 71,133
- 66,852
2024 Presidential Election Consensus Forecast - 270toWin
The consensus ratings from numerous forecasters for the 2024 presidential election.
Missourian
Diamond Member
- Aug 30, 2008
- 35,496
- 26,504
- Thread starter
- #31
Don't know wtf that is, Prolapsed Scrotum...but THIS is the current "No Toss Ups" map...
2024 Electoral College: No Toss-Up States | RealClearPolling
Still not looking too good for Commie Kamala and Timmy "Stolen Valor" Walz.
Last edited:
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