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I guess I just don’t see how that would have significant impact in either direction.This SCOTUS situation is a game changer. It changes the narrative to something that is much more favorable to Trump. I think the Orange man is favored as long as this is a top line unresolved issueRepublicans LOVE to talk about Hillary’s polling lead but ultimate loss in 2016. It’s all they have I guess. There are some key takeaways about Biden’s current lead, though.
His polling average (49.3%) is closer to the magic 50% average both nationally and in key states than Hillary at this point in the election (44%) in 2016.
More:
Biden’s polling lead nears magic number
The former vice president is above or close to majority support in enough states to win the Electoral College.www.politico.com
“It’s the same story in many of the battleground states: Biden is at or within 2 points of majority support in enough states to lock down an Electoral College victory, compared to Clinton’s low-to-mid-40s scores in mid-September 2016 in the same states, some of which she would end up losing as late-deciding voters went decisively for Trump.”
In most of the 13 swing states identified by POLITICO — those rated as toss ups or just leaning toward one party in our Election Forecast — Biden is not only outperforming Clinton in terms of the margin between him and Trump, his average vote share is also greater than Clinton’s was at this point four years ago.