Toro
Diamond Member
So polls are relevant again.
Okay, got it.
.
The "science" of polling is like the "science" of Astrology.....dubious at best. Fraudulent at worst.
I trust one poll and one poll only. It will be conducted on November 8th.
Here's an excellent article that explains why the polls are no longer reliable.....Why the polls get it wrong
You are skeptical of polling because your boy is getting hammered in the polls.
If Birfer Trump was up 5-7 into of being down 5-7, you wouldn't be posting these articles.
From your article.
We should consider the source before trusting a poll, much like we do stock market tips or sports picks. Polling organizations that are members of American Assn. for Public Opinion Research's Transparency Initiative provide a standard level of technical disclosure about their methods for anyone who is interested in getting into the weeds.
Totally agree.
The guys from 538 also agree.
And in their model, using polls which abide by these principles, Birfer Trump is losing by even worse than the RCP averages.