Missourian
Diamond Member
- Aug 30, 2008
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I was cleaning out my Bookmarked Sites today and ran across this from February 24, 2016...keep in mind, this was after only five primaries (Nevada was the day before)...
I'm thinking Nat Silver is way out and Helmut Norpoth is in as the absolutely go to guy in Presidential Election prediction.
A political science professor who claims his statistical model has correctly predicted the results of every election except for one in the last 104 years has forecast that the odds of Donald Trump becoming America’s next president currently range from 97 percent to 99 percent.
The professor is Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University, reports The Statesman, the campus newspaper at the public bastion on New York’s Long Island.
Specifically, Norpoth predicts that Trump has a 97 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton and a 99 percent chance of beating Bernie Sanders.
Read more: Professor: Odds Of President Trump Range BETWEEN 97% AND 99%
The professor is Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University, reports The Statesman, the campus newspaper at the public bastion on New York’s Long Island.
Specifically, Norpoth predicts that Trump has a 97 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton and a 99 percent chance of beating Bernie Sanders.
Read more: Professor: Odds Of President Trump Range BETWEEN 97% AND 99%