Has Powell and Co ushered in a possible recession?

[hadit]

Yields on the long bonds dropped precipitously today, a continuation of a decline from their peak following the inflationary spiral caused by the post COVID supply chain shock, when jobless claims came in higher than expected. Consumer oriented companies have been reporting a slowdown in spending for over a month now. Manufacturing ISM came in lower than expected.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell Thursday, as fresh data stoked concerns over the state of the U.S. economy.

The 30-stock Dow dropped 313 points, or nearly 0.8%. The S&P 500 shed 0.3%, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.4%.

Initial jobless claims rose to 249,000 for the week ended in July 27, higher than a Dow Jones forecast of 235,000. The ISM manufacturing index came in at 46.8, adding to a broader picture of slowing economic activity.

That data follows the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged and Chair Jerome Powell signaling a September rate is on the table. Yields fell Thursday as investors digested Powell’s comments, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield reaching its lowest level since Feb. 2.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/31/stock-market-today-live-updates.html

Fed chair Powell says a rate cut is on the table for Sept. Meaning the Fed is once again behind the curve. He has essentially said a recession is acceptable if that's what is necessary to get inflation to the Fed's 2% target. He'd rather put you out of your job than have you pay a little more for good and services.

Job growth totals 114,000 in July, much less than expected, as unemployment rate rises to 4.3%
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/02/job...nemployment-rate-rises-to-4point3percent.html

Once again the Fed got it wrong. It left rates too high too long.

Who will be blamed? Harris.

And why should she not be? She's the de facto head of the Quid Pro Quo administration and the usual suspects have been gleefully proclaiming this to be the Biden economy, so you can't escape it. Will you throw Quid Pro under the bus?