Looks like Thom Tillis (R-NC) will be a one-term Senator

[Polishprince]

Almost always siding with the wishes of toxic President Donald "Mr. Make Matters Worse" Trump sure isn't helping Tillis:

New NBC/Marist poll offers more encouraging news for Biden and Cunningham • NC Newsline

2020 election; NBC News/Marist poll shows Joe Biden and Cal Cunningham running well-ahead of Donald Trump and Thom Tillis

pulse.ncpolicywatch.org

Looks like aye? You mean like it looked like Hitlery was going to win in 2016, looks like that?

Dumb fuck.

The only thing TOXIC in America is DEMOCRATS, and the vast, VAST majority of Americans are learning that more every day.

It also looked like Obama was going to win in 2008 and 2012 and.....he did!

Romney and McCain were both satisfied to be Losers- and no one was really surprised when they met expectations.

 

[007]

Almost always siding with the wishes of toxic President Donald "Mr. Make Matters Worse" Trump sure isn't helping Tillis:

New NBC/Marist poll offers more encouraging news for Biden and Cunningham • NC Newsline

2020 election; NBC News/Marist poll shows Joe Biden and Cal Cunningham running well-ahead of Donald Trump and Thom Tillis

pulse.ncpolicywatch.org

Looks like aye? You mean like it looked like Hitlery was going to win in 2016, looks like that?

Dumb fuck.

The only thing TOXIC in America is DEMOCRATS, and the vast, VAST majority of Americans are learning that more every day.

It also looked like Obama was going to win in 2008 and 2012 and.....he did!

Looked like Hitlery was going to win and... she got her ass kicked!

 

[rightwinger]

Maybe he can share a cab to the airport with AOC.

AOC isn't going anywhere. You're stuck with her for a while.

With Sky High unemployment in New York City, how will AOC's decision to tell Amazon to buzz off and take their good paying jobs out of the city go over with the voters?

AOCs seat is safe. She won the primary with 70 percent of the vote. The Republicans are barely running against her.

 

[007]

Almost always siding with the wishes of toxic President Donald "Mr. Make Matters Worse" Trump sure isn't helping Tillis:

New NBC/Marist poll offers more encouraging news for Biden and Cunningham • NC Newsline

2020 election; NBC News/Marist poll shows Joe Biden and Cal Cunningham running well-ahead of Donald Trump and Thom Tillis

pulse.ncpolicywatch.org

/——/ Another fake poll of 818. From your link after a lot of digging:
In the Presidential race Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 50-46, up from a 48-46 spread a couple weeks ago. So they found 407 who hate Trump and they had to over sample democRATs.

PPP interviewed 818 North Carolina voters on July 7th and 8th. The margin of error is +/-3.4%. Full results here:
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 38%
Republican ...................................................... 32%
Independent .................................................... 30%
Q8 If you are white, press 1.
If African-American,
press 2. If White............73%
African-American ............................................ 21%
Other..........................................6%

I went for a little drive the other day over to this big produce stand by the highway, huge place, great produce, petting zoo for kids, about 13 miles away, ANYWAY, I counted 17 TRUMP signs in front of people's houses. This is probably DOUBLE what I saw last time. What was even more odd though was, I didn't see one, NOT ONE, Biden sign... nothing, zip, nadda.

These polls are about as worthless as a democrat at a pro America rally.

 

[007]

Maybe he can share a cab to the airport with AOC.

AOC isn't going anywhere. You're stuck with her for a while.

With Sky High unemployment in New York City, how will AOC's decision to tell Amazon to buzz off and take their good paying jobs out of the city go over with the voters?

AOCs seat is safe. She won the primary with 70 percent of the vote. The Republicans are barely running against her.

Her district is a shit hole. Piglosi herself said they could have ran a BEER CAN in that district and it would have won, or some such equally worthless item.

 

[rightwinger]

Almost always siding with the wishes of toxic President Donald "Mr. Make Matters Worse" Trump sure isn't helping Tillis:

New NBC/Marist poll offers more encouraging news for Biden and Cunningham • NC Newsline

2020 election; NBC News/Marist poll shows Joe Biden and Cal Cunningham running well-ahead of Donald Trump and Thom Tillis

pulse.ncpolicywatch.org

/——/ Another fake poll of 818. From your link after a lot of digging:
In the Presidential race Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 50-46, up from a 48-46 spread a couple weeks ago. So they found 407 who hate Trump and they had to over sample democRATs.

PPP interviewed 818 North Carolina voters on July 7th and 8th. The margin of error is +/-3.4%. Full results here:
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 38%
Republican ...................................................... 32%
Independent .................................................... 30%
Q8 If you are white, press 1.
If African-American,
press 2. If White............73%
African-American ............................................ 21%
Other..........................................6%

What looks fake?

 

[rightwinger]

Maybe he can share a cab to the airport with AOC.

AOC isn't going anywhere. You're stuck with her for a while.

With Sky High unemployment in New York City, how will AOC's decision to tell Amazon to buzz off and take their good paying jobs out of the city go over with the voters?

AOCs seat is safe. She won the primary with 70 percent of the vote. The Republicans are barely running against her.

Her district is a shit hole. Piglosi herself said they could have ran a BEER CAN in that district and it would have won, or some such equally worthless item.

Link

 

[007]

Maybe he can share a cab to the airport with AOC.

AOC isn't going anywhere. You're stuck with her for a while.

With Sky High unemployment in New York City, how will AOC's decision to tell Amazon to buzz off and take their good paying jobs out of the city go over with the voters?

AOCs seat is safe. She won the primary with 70 percent of the vote. The Republicans are barely running against her.

Her district is a shit hole. Piglosi herself said they could have ran a BEER CAN in that district and it would have won, or some such equally worthless item.

Link

You've seen it, we've all seen it. Quit playing stupid... if... you're playing.

 

[rightwinger]

Maybe he can share a cab to the airport with AOC.

AOC isn't going anywhere. You're stuck with her for a while.

With Sky High unemployment in New York City, how will AOC's decision to tell Amazon to buzz off and take their good paying jobs out of the city go over with the voters?

AOCs seat is safe. She won the primary with 70 percent of the vote. The Republicans are barely running against her.

Her district is a shit hole. Piglosi herself said they could have ran a BEER CAN in that district and it would have won, or some such equally worthless item.

Link

You've seen it, we've all seen it. Quit playing stupid... if... you're playing.

Show where Pelosi said anything close to that

 

[007]

Maybe he can share a cab to the airport with AOC.

AOC isn't going anywhere. You're stuck with her for a while.

With Sky High unemployment in New York City, how will AOC's decision to tell Amazon to buzz off and take their good paying jobs out of the city go over with the voters?

AOCs seat is safe. She won the primary with 70 percent of the vote. The Republicans are barely running against her.

Her district is a shit hole. Piglosi herself said they could have ran a BEER CAN in that district and it would have won, or some such equally worthless item.

Link

You've seen it, we've all seen it. Quit playing stupid... if... you're playing.

Show where Pelosi said anything close to that

Just did... sorry to make you look stupid...

 

[Polishprince]

Maybe he can share a cab to the airport with AOC.

AOC isn't going anywhere. You're stuck with her for a while.

With Sky High unemployment in New York City, how will AOC's decision to tell Amazon to buzz off and take their good paying jobs out of the city go over with the voters?

AOCs seat is safe. She won the primary with 70 percent of the vote. The Republicans are barely running against her.

Her district is a shit hole. Piglosi herself said they could have ran a BEER CAN in that district and it would have won, or some such equally worthless item.

Ocrazio-Cortez's district includes Hart Island which has more than a million graves- solid Democrat territory.

Department of Correction

www1.nyc.gov

 

[Cellblock2429]

Almost always siding with the wishes of toxic President Donald "Mr. Make Matters Worse" Trump sure isn't helping Tillis:

New NBC/Marist poll offers more encouraging news for Biden and Cunningham • NC Newsline

2020 election; NBC News/Marist poll shows Joe Biden and Cal Cunningham running well-ahead of Donald Trump and Thom Tillis

pulse.ncpolicywatch.org

/——/ Another fake poll of 818. From your link after a lot of digging:
In the Presidential race Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 50-46, up from a 48-46 spread a couple weeks ago. So they found 407 who hate Trump and they had to over sample democRATs.

PPP interviewed 818 North Carolina voters on July 7th and 8th. The margin of error is +/-3.4%. Full results here:
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 38%
Republican ...................................................... 32%
Independent .................................................... 30%
Q8 If you are white, press 1.
If African-American,
press 2. If White............73%
African-American ............................................ 21%
Other..........................................6%

What looks fake?

/——/ Only 818 sampled out of 7,000,000 NC voters is .00011%, a meaningless sample, plus an over sampling of democRATs. It was a poll to create a news story and help Dem democRATs raise money. Show me a poll of 1,500 likely voters with those results, then I’ll worry. What confuses you?

 

[007]

Maybe he can share a cab to the airport with AOC.

AOC isn't going anywhere. You're stuck with her for a while.

With Sky High unemployment in New York City, how will AOC's decision to tell Amazon to buzz off and take their good paying jobs out of the city go over with the voters?

AOCs seat is safe. She won the primary with 70 percent of the vote. The Republicans are barely running against her.

Her district is a shit hole. Piglosi herself said they could have ran a BEER CAN in that district and it would have won, or some such equally worthless item.

Ocrazio-Cortez's district includes Hart Island which has more than a million graves- solid Democrat territory.

Department of Correction

www1.nyc.gov

Who else but dead, or at least brain dead, would elect a little wet behind the ears punk rooftop dancing bartender to congress?

Idiots... all they know is the letter D, and gimme something for free... DEMOCRATS... democrats are the party of trash.

 

[rightwinger]

Almost always siding with the wishes of toxic President Donald "Mr. Make Matters Worse" Trump sure isn't helping Tillis:

New NBC/Marist poll offers more encouraging news for Biden and Cunningham • NC Newsline

2020 election; NBC News/Marist poll shows Joe Biden and Cal Cunningham running well-ahead of Donald Trump and Thom Tillis

pulse.ncpolicywatch.org

/——/ Another fake poll of 818. From your link after a lot of digging:
In the Presidential race Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 50-46, up from a 48-46 spread a couple weeks ago. So they found 407 who hate Trump and they had to over sample democRATs.

PPP interviewed 818 North Carolina voters on July 7th and 8th. The margin of error is +/-3.4%. Full results here:
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 38%
Republican ...................................................... 32%
Independent .................................................... 30%
Q8 If you are white, press 1.
If African-American,
press 2. If White............73%
African-American ............................................ 21%
Other..........................................6%

What looks fake?

/——/ Only 818 sampled out of 7,000,000 NC voters is .00011%, a meaningless sample, plus an over sampling of democRATs. It was a poll to create a news story and help Dem democRATs raise money. Show me a poll of 1,500 likely voters with those results, then I’ll worry. What confuses you?

Why do Conservatives struggle so much with Statistical Sampling Theory? I realize it is more advanced mathematics than the arithmetic Conservatives are limited to, but it is not really that hard.

Each poll has a margin of error based on the sample size. That margin will show the range the poll falls in.

Polls are conducted randomly. A poll structured to give you 50 percent Dems and 50 percent RepubliKlans will give you a 50/50 result. It is the Independents who will swing the election

 

[007]

Almost always siding with the wishes of toxic President Donald "Mr. Make Matters Worse" Trump sure isn't helping Tillis:

New NBC/Marist poll offers more encouraging news for Biden and Cunningham • NC Newsline

2020 election; NBC News/Marist poll shows Joe Biden and Cal Cunningham running well-ahead of Donald Trump and Thom Tillis

pulse.ncpolicywatch.org

/——/ Another fake poll of 818. From your link after a lot of digging:
In the Presidential race Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 50-46, up from a 48-46 spread a couple weeks ago. So they found 407 who hate Trump and they had to over sample democRATs.

PPP interviewed 818 North Carolina voters on July 7th and 8th. The margin of error is +/-3.4%. Full results here:
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 38%
Republican ...................................................... 32%
Independent .................................................... 30%
Q8 If you are white, press 1.
If African-American,
press 2. If White............73%
African-American ............................................ 21%
Other..........................................6%

What looks fake?

/——/ Only 818 sampled out of 7,000,000 NC voters is .00011%, a meaningless sample, plus an over sampling of democRATs. It was a poll to create a news story and help Dem democRATs raise money. Show me a poll of 1,500 likely voters with those results, then I’ll worry. What confuses you?

Why do Conservatives struggle so much with Statistical Sampling Theory? I realize it is more advanced mathematics than the arithmetic Conservatives are limited to, but it is not really that hard.

Each poll has a margin of error based on the sample size. That margin will show the range the poll falls in.

Polls are conducted randomly. A poll structured to give you 50 percent Dems and 50 percent RepubliKlans will give you a 50/50 result. It is the Independents who will swing the election

50/50 - - - - - - - - - -

 

[Cellblock2429]

Almost always siding with the wishes of toxic President Donald "Mr. Make Matters Worse" Trump sure isn't helping Tillis:

New NBC/Marist poll offers more encouraging news for Biden and Cunningham • NC Newsline

2020 election; NBC News/Marist poll shows Joe Biden and Cal Cunningham running well-ahead of Donald Trump and Thom Tillis

pulse.ncpolicywatch.org

/——/ Another fake poll of 818. From your link after a lot of digging:
In the Presidential race Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 50-46, up from a 48-46 spread a couple weeks ago. So they found 407 who hate Trump and they had to over sample democRATs.

PPP interviewed 818 North Carolina voters on July 7th and 8th. The margin of error is +/-3.4%. Full results here:
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 38%
Republican ...................................................... 32%
Independent .................................................... 30%
Q8 If you are white, press 1.
If African-American,
press 2. If White............73%
African-American ............................................ 21%
Other..........................................6%

What looks fake?

/——/ Only 818 sampled out of 7,000,000 NC voters is .00011%, a meaningless sample, plus an over sampling of democRATs. It was a poll to create a news story and help Dem democRATs raise money. Show me a poll of 1,500 likely voters with those results, then I’ll worry. What confuses you?

Why do Conservatives struggle so much with Statistical Sampling Theory? I realize it is more advanced mathematics than the arithmetic Conservatives are limited to, but it is not really that hard.

Each poll has a margin of error based on the sample size. That margin will show the range the poll falls in.

Polls are conducted randomly. A poll structured to give you 50 percent Dems and 50 percent RepubliKlans will give you a 50/50 result. It is the Independents who will swing the election

/----/ Uhhh, three groups were sampled Repubs, Dims, and Indies. That makes it 33% each not 50/50.
I used to buy into these polls. Then I started studying the methodology closely and learned a great deal. A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast. You should try it: How can a poll of only 1,004 Americans represent 260 million people with only a 3 percent margin of error?

"The margin of error depends inversely on the square root of the sample size. That is, a sample of 250 will give you a 6 percent margin of error and a sample size of 100 will give you a 10 percent margin of error. A 10 percent margin of error is not so useful. It would give you vague claims such as, "The proportion of Americans who support the death penalty is somewhere between 60 percent and 80 percent." Pollsters thus spend the money to get a reasonably large sample. In the other direction, by surveying 4,000 people, you can get the margin of error down to 1.5 percent. This sounds appealingly precise (for example, "The proportion is between 68.5 percent and 71.5 percent"), but it is generally a waste of time because public opinion varies enough from day to day that it is meaningless to attempt too precise an estimate. Indeed, to do so would be like getting on a scale in the morning and measuring your weight as 173.26 pounds."

 

[rightwinger]

Uhhh, three groups were sampled Repubs, Dims, and Indies. That makes it 33% each not 50/50.

Only if you assume the population is evenly distributed among the three. It is not

 

[rightwinger]

Almost always siding with the wishes of toxic President Donald "Mr. Make Matters Worse" Trump sure isn't helping Tillis:

New NBC/Marist poll offers more encouraging news for Biden and Cunningham • NC Newsline

2020 election; NBC News/Marist poll shows Joe Biden and Cal Cunningham running well-ahead of Donald Trump and Thom Tillis

pulse.ncpolicywatch.org

/——/ Another fake poll of 818. From your link after a lot of digging:
In the Presidential race Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 50-46, up from a 48-46 spread a couple weeks ago. So they found 407 who hate Trump and they had to over sample democRATs.

PPP interviewed 818 North Carolina voters on July 7th and 8th. The margin of error is +/-3.4%. Full results here:
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 38%
Republican ...................................................... 32%
Independent .................................................... 30%
Q8 If you are white, press 1.
If African-American,
press 2. If White............73%
African-American ............................................ 21%
Other..........................................6%

What looks fake?

/——/ Only 818 sampled out of 7,000,000 NC voters is .00011%, a meaningless sample, plus an over sampling of democRATs. It was a poll to create a news story and help Dem democRATs raise money. Show me a poll of 1,500 likely voters with those results, then I’ll worry. What confuses you?

Why do Conservatives struggle so much with Statistical Sampling Theory? I realize it is more advanced mathematics than the arithmetic Conservatives are limited to, but it is not really that hard.

Each poll has a margin of error based on the sample size. That margin will show the range the poll falls in.

Polls are conducted randomly. A poll structured to give you 50 percent Dems and 50 percent RepubliKlans will give you a 50/50 result. It is the Independents who will swing the election

/----/ Uhhh, three groups were sampled Repubs, Dims, and Indies. That makes it 33% each not 50/50.
I used to buy into these polls. Then I started studying the methodology closely and learned a great deal. A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast. You should try it: How can a poll of only 1,004 Americans represent 260 million people with only a 3 percent margin of error?

"The margin of error depends inversely on the square root of the sample size. That is, a sample of 250 will give you a 6 percent margin of error and a sample size of 100 will give you a 10 percent margin of error. A 10 percent margin of error is not so useful. It would give you vague claims such as, "The proportion of Americans who support the death penalty is somewhere between 60 percent and 80 percent." Pollsters thus spend the money to get a reasonably large sample. In the other direction, by surveying 4,000 people, you can get the margin of error down to 1.5 percent. This sounds appealingly precise (for example, "The proportion is between 68.5 percent and 71.5 percent"), but it is generally a waste of time because public opinion varies enough from day to day that it is meaningless to attempt too precise an estimate. Indeed, to do so would be like getting on a scale in the morning and measuring your weight as 173.26 pounds."

You also ignore the cumulative accuracy of polls.

If polls show Dems lead by 5 percent one week and Republicans lead by 4 percent the next and there is no consistency, you have little confidence in the results.

However, if week after week, poll after poll show the same results, you have confidence in the accuracy of the results

 

[Cellblock2429]

Uhhh, three groups were sampled Repubs, Dims, and Indies. That makes it 33% each not 50/50.

Only if you assume the population is evenly distributed among the three. It is not

/----/ I don't assume, I ask. Now look at the bottom line and you decided the breakdown of registration by Party, because you reject anything I post: Voter Registration Statistics

 

[Cellblock2429]

Almost always siding with the wishes of toxic President Donald "Mr. Make Matters Worse" Trump sure isn't helping Tillis:

New NBC/Marist poll offers more encouraging news for Biden and Cunningham • NC Newsline

2020 election; NBC News/Marist poll shows Joe Biden and Cal Cunningham running well-ahead of Donald Trump and Thom Tillis

pulse.ncpolicywatch.org

/——/ Another fake poll of 818. From your link after a lot of digging:
In the Presidential race Joe Biden leads Donald Trump 50-46, up from a 48-46 spread a couple weeks ago. So they found 407 who hate Trump and they had to over sample democRATs.

PPP interviewed 818 North Carolina voters on July 7th and 8th. The margin of error is +/-3.4%. Full results here:
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 38%
Republican ...................................................... 32%
Independent .................................................... 30%
Q8 If you are white, press 1.
If African-American,
press 2. If White............73%
African-American ............................................ 21%
Other..........................................6%

What looks fake?

/——/ Only 818 sampled out of 7,000,000 NC voters is .00011%, a meaningless sample, plus an over sampling of democRATs. It was a poll to create a news story and help Dem democRATs raise money. Show me a poll of 1,500 likely voters with those results, then I’ll worry. What confuses you?

Why do Conservatives struggle so much with Statistical Sampling Theory? I realize it is more advanced mathematics than the arithmetic Conservatives are limited to, but it is not really that hard.

Each poll has a margin of error based on the sample size. That margin will show the range the poll falls in.

Polls are conducted randomly. A poll structured to give you 50 percent Dems and 50 percent RepubliKlans will give you a 50/50 result. It is the Independents who will swing the election

/----/ Uhhh, three groups were sampled Repubs, Dims, and Indies. That makes it 33% each not 50/50.
I used to buy into these polls. Then I started studying the methodology closely and learned a great deal. A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast. You should try it: How can a poll of only 1,004 Americans represent 260 million people with only a 3 percent margin of error?

"The margin of error depends inversely on the square root of the sample size. That is, a sample of 250 will give you a 6 percent margin of error and a sample size of 100 will give you a 10 percent margin of error. A 10 percent margin of error is not so useful. It would give you vague claims such as, "The proportion of Americans who support the death penalty is somewhere between 60 percent and 80 percent." Pollsters thus spend the money to get a reasonably large sample. In the other direction, by surveying 4,000 people, you can get the margin of error down to 1.5 percent. This sounds appealingly precise (for example, "The proportion is between 68.5 percent and 71.5 percent"), but it is generally a waste of time because public opinion varies enough from day to day that it is meaningless to attempt too precise an estimate. Indeed, to do so would be like getting on a scale in the morning and measuring your weight as 173.26 pounds."

You also ignore the cumulative accuracy of polls.

If polls show Dems lead by 5 percent one week and Republicans lead by 4 percent the next and there is no consistency, you have little confidence in the results.

However, if week after week, poll after poll show the same results, you have confidence in the accuracy of the results

/-----/ You mean like Rasmussen who is the only polling company that still conducts weekly polls, using the same methodology? You mean like that?

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Weekâs Key Polls

In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...

www.rasmussenreports.com

In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports:

- President Trump ended the polling week with a daily job approval of 49%.