October 26th 1980

[Preacher]

That's not Gallup. Google it. All kinds of articles talking about it.

Gallup Poll: Jimmy Carter 47 -- Ronald Reagan 39
There is one from 4 years ago talking about Romney etc.

Correct, it's not Gallup. It's made of aggregate averages of multiple polls through the various points in time. That's kind of why it says exactly that on the bottom of the graph.

So you're admitting you cherrypicked a poll that was way off? Well all righty then.

Matter o' fact it's so far off that there was never any point in the whole year where Carter was up 47-39 or anything close.

Already proved you wrong lefty. Peace.

Read it and weep. The last time that year that Carter was at 47% would be March, a level to which he never returned. Regan at that time was around 32. Of course, that was in the midst of primary season.

Keep repeating it....still won't be true.

I don't need to "repeat" it. It's on the graph.
Has been for 36 years.

You lose.

A graph that is NOT the gallup poll...

 

[Wyatt earp]

Trump is Reagan?

We can always trust you to jump to the stupid conclusion.

She is just saying trump is no Reagan..

.

He isn't he's better.

You dumb fuck head, trump couldn't carry Reagan's pen..

Trump is no way near Reagan...

Gump is a liberal pretending to be a republican

View attachment 93835 View attachment 93836

suck it clown how dare you compare Gump to Reagan Jack ass..

Fuck you and the horse you rode on

Gump is a piece of shit pretend republican

 

[Preacher]

We can always trust you to jump to the stupid conclusion.

She is just saying trump is no Reagan..

.

He isn't he's better.

You dumb fuck head, trump couldn't carry Reagan's pen..

Trump is no way near Reagan...

Gump is a liberal pretending to be a republican

View attachment 93835 View attachment 93836

suck it clown how dare you compare Gump to Reagan Jack ass..

Fuck you and the horse you rode on

Gump is a piece of shit pretend republican

Someone's mad that their god king is nothing more than a cuck JUST LIKE YOU. You should be ashamed to have that avatar...

 

[Flopper]

Gallup Poll had Carter up 47-39 over Reagan....need I remind ANYONE of what happened? Reagan won by 10.

Late upsets are of course possible however, there have been only 2 such incidents in the last 16 elections.

The 1980 example is not necessarily one that Trump can hope is duplicated this year. Reagan's late-breaking surge that year is generally attributed to the only presidential debate between Carter and Reagan -- held one week before the election, on Oct. 28 -- which seemed to move voter preferences in Reagan's direction, as well as the ongoing Iran hostage crisis, which reached its one-year anniversary on Election Day.

So yes late upsets can happen but odds are not good.

Late Upsets Are Rare, but Have Happened

 

[owebo]

Gallup Poll had Carter up 47-39 over Reagan....need I remind ANYONE of what happened? Reagan won by 10.

Democrats have no fucking clue what's happening....

 

[HappyJoy]

Gallup? Who is looking to Gallup in 2016 to gauge the election?

 

[FA_Q2]

What the gallop was 30 years ago is rather irrelevant. Even if the races were remotely similar (which they are not) the electorate and the circumstances are utterly different.

 

[owebo]

What the gallop was 30 years ago is rather irrelevant. Even if the races were remotely similar (which they are not) the electorate and the circumstances are utterly different.

A,classic post #25'er.......

 

[kaz]

That's not Gallup. Google it. All kinds of articles talking about it.

Gallup Poll: Jimmy Carter 47 -- Ronald Reagan 39
There is one from 4 years ago talking about Romney etc.

Correct, it's not Gallup. It's made of aggregate averages of multiple polls through the various points in time. That's kind of why it says exactly that on the bottom of the graph.

So you're admitting you cherrypicked a poll that was way off? Well all righty then.

Matter o' fact it's so far off that there was never any point in the whole year where Carter was up 47-39 or anything close.

Already proved you wrong lefty. Peace.

Read it and weep. The last time that year that Carter was at 47% would be March, a level to which he never returned. Regan at that time was around 32. Of course, that was in the midst of primary season.

Keep repeating it....still won't be true.

I don't need to "repeat" it. It's on the graph.
Has been for 36 years.

You lose.

You used quote marks correctly for a change, nicely done

 

[NYcarbineer]

The chance of Trump winning from where he is now is 6%, so if you can't get 16 to 1 odds, don't bet.

 

[Rustic]

Gallup Poll had Carter up 47-39 over Reagan....need I remind ANYONE of what happened? Reagan won by 10.

Jimmy Carter like Barry was/is an absolute fuck up....

 

[Pogo]

Correct, it's not Gallup. It's made of aggregate averages of multiple polls through the various points in time. That's kind of why it says exactly that on the bottom of the graph.

So you're admitting you cherrypicked a poll that was way off? Well all righty then.

Matter o' fact it's so far off that there was never any point in the whole year where Carter was up 47-39 or anything close.

Already proved you wrong lefty. Peace.

Read it and weep. The last time that year that Carter was at 47% would be March, a level to which he never returned. Regan at that time was around 32. Of course, that was in the midst of primary season.

Keep repeating it....still won't be true.

I don't need to "repeat" it. It's on the graph.
Has been for 36 years.

You lose.

A graph that is NOT the gallup poll...

No shit Sherlock. It's not supposed to be. It's there to CONTRADICT this Gallup poll you can't find a link to and apparently pulled out of your ass. Might want to put it back.

 

[Preacher]

Already proved you wrong lefty. Peace.

Read it and weep. The last time that year that Carter was at 47% would be March, a level to which he never returned. Regan at that time was around 32. Of course, that was in the midst of primary season.

Keep repeating it....still won't be true.

I don't need to "repeat" it. It's on the graph.
Has been for 36 years.

You lose.

A graph that is NOT the gallup poll...

No shit Sherlock. It's not supposed to be. It's there to CONTRADICT this Gallup poll you can't find a link to and apparently pulled out of your ass. Might want to put it back.

I already linked to it. Remove the pogo stick from your ass because its obviously affecting your brain since its jammed up there as well.

 

[Flopper]

Gallup? Who is looking to Gallup in 2016 to gauge the election?

The candidates for one. Polls tell a candidate how well he or she is doing at a point in time and where more work is needed. Gallup is an excellent polling service but I doubt it's the best. As far as predicting the outcome of an election the polls closest to election day are the most accurate. Gallup has picked the winner in 14 of the last 16 elections. There are polls with better records but they haven't been around as long. Gallup started in 1935.

Polling services may make a name for themselves predicting election victories but they make their money doing market research.

 

[HappyJoy]

Gallup? Who is looking to Gallup in 2016 to gauge the election?

The candidates for one. Polls tell a candidate how well he or she is doing at a point in time and where more work is needed. Gallup is an excellent polling service but I doubt it's the best. As far as predicting the outcome of an election the polls closest to election day are the most accurate. Gallup has picked the winner in 14 of the last 16 elections. There are polls with better records but they haven't been around as long. Gallup started in 1935.

Polling services may make a name for themselves predicting election victories but they make their money doing market research.

1935 means nothing when it comes to 2016.

My point was that the OP is cherry picking one election with one pollster when nobody looks at only a single poll. I wouldn't just look at PPP or Pew either. The OP dismisses a virtual wall of polling data to go all the way back to 1980 to declare you can't trust polls because of a single polling company. His exception proves the rule.

 

[Flopper]

Gallup? Who is looking to Gallup in 2016 to gauge the election?

The candidates for one. Polls tell a candidate how well he or she is doing at a point in time and where more work is needed. Gallup is an excellent polling service but I doubt it's the best. As far as predicting the outcome of an election the polls closest to election day are the most accurate. Gallup has picked the winner in 14 of the last 16 elections. There are polls with better records but they haven't been around as long. Gallup started in 1935.

Polling services may make a name for themselves predicting election victories but they make their money doing market research.

1935 means nothing when it comes to 2016.

My point was that the OP is cherry picking one election with one pollster when nobody looks at only a single poll. I wouldn't just look at PPP or Pew either. The OP dismisses a virtual wall of polling data to go all the way back to 1980 to declare you can't trust polls because of a single polling company. His exception proves the rule.

I agree with what you're saying. I'm just saying that Gallup is a good polling service with a good record of forecasting presidential elections being right in 14 of the last 16 elections.

 

[2aguy]

Gallup Poll had Carter up 47-39 over Reagan....need I remind ANYONE of what happened? Reagan won by 10.

We can hope.......whatever you do make sure you go and vote for Trump...

Vote for Trump, save the country.

 

[2aguy]

Trump is Reagan?

Even Reagan would know better than to want Trump in the WH. But then, unlike the OP, his first loyalty was not to some imaginary "race". Unlike Trump (and the OP), Reagan really did love his country. He wasn't a very good president but not because he was on the side of Russia. And, unlike Trump, he apparently built his own life instead of getting everything from his daddy.

No....Reagan was against socialists and he would have known exactly who and what she is....

 

[Jackson]

Trump is Reagan?

He's sure closer than HilLIARy.

 

[Norman]

Trump is Reagan?

Even Reagan would know better than to want Trump in the WH. But then, unlike the OP, his first loyalty was not to some imaginary "race". Unlike Trump (and the OP), Reagan really did love his country. He wasn't a very good president but not because he was on the side of Russia. And, unlike Trump, he apparently built his own life instead of getting everything from his daddy.

How clueless... Russia didn't even exist back then as a country. And yes, he very much didn't want to go in war with the soviet union. Hillary's plan seems to be to start a nuclear pissing contest with them.