munkle
Diamond Member
- Dec 18, 2012
- 4,725
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Man are these coast elites making fun of you dumb rednecks. Cerealy, how is this not fraud?
Penn. Mail-In Vote Shows Formula Was Used to Erase Trump's Overwhelming Lead on Election Night
Penn. Mail-In Vote Shows Formula Was Used to Erase Trumpās Overwhelming Lead on Election Night #StopTheSteal
PA at close of walk-in voting
This story broken on Gateway Pundit
When mathematicians notice patterns, in numbers, they tend to get excited. Nature, absent external forces, likes randomness. Throw a bunch of matchsticks on the floor, and throw after throw, they will not line up in the same direction in straight rows. They will be haphazard, pointing this way and that. Now if the sticks were metal, and there was a magnet nearby, they might orient themselves according to the magnet. An external force. An invisible hand, if you will.
Very neat numerical patterns in elections are also hard to come by. For example, it is hard to predict what a mail-in vote is going to be in a given county, based on its in-person vote. Although experts might predict that, for various reasons, mail-ins might generally favor Biden over Trump, it will be by varying percentages. The differences in the vote splits between the mail-in vote and the in-person vote will be greater in some counties, and smaller in others.
To see this, take a look at a typical non-pattern between the mail-in vote and the walk-in vote for Arkansas. This is more or less how all the states look.
The counties are lined up from left to right in order of increasing Trump margin of win. You only need to pay attention to the orange line below the top blue line. That, the orange line, is Trumpās performance, in the same county, in the mail-in vote. You can see it swings wildly. Sometimes he does only a little worse, sometimes a lot worse. There is no formula or pattern you could apply to predict what the next point will be.
Now we look at PA, perhaps the most hotly contested state of all. Something very strange is taking place here. The walk-in vote and the mail-in vote numbers, the blue and the orange below it, are lining up nicely according to the formula: Trump Mail-in Vote % = Trump Walk-in Vote % ā 40%.
The lines track each other. No unpredictable swings or divergences from the formula. When scientists see very close, mathematically predictable associations between two sets of numbers like this in nature, they start to ask why.
It would almost be as if, at the close of walk-in voting on Tuesday night, when Trump had a seemingly insurmountable lead of 675,000 votes over Biden, 56% to Bidenās 43%, it was determined, in every county except Philadelphia, that Trump would lose the mail-in by whatever he won the walk-in vote by, minus 40 points. Uncannily consistent in every single county.
As you can see by the Arkansas example, these numbers donāt work like that. In Arkansas, Trump lost the mail-in by an average of about 25% less than Joe Biden, with the actual number by county all over the place. In Pennsylvania, Trump lost the mail-in by 40% less, almost exactly, of whatever his walk-in vote was. If the Trump walk-in vote in a county was 80% to 20% Biden, the mail-in was 40% to 60% Biden. If the Trump walk-in vote was 65% to 35% Biden, the mail-in vote was 15% Trump to 85% Biden. You could have made a numbers game for a child out of it.
Worse, when PA announced it had lots of mail-in ballots to count, it never once said how many. Until they were done. That was how many.
So far courts have been throwing out many of Trumpās lawsuits. For some reason some people believe that courts can be corrupt too, as they say they see no āevidence,ā when evidence like this is hitting them in the face. Despite the same media that is telling people that Biden is āpresident electā before the Electoral College has even met, telling them that there is nothing to Trumpās accusations, a lot of people just arenāt buying it.
They donāt believe it, no matter what you or even the courts say. I wonder why.
Because sometimes, even though us folks from these red counties didnāt go to Harvard, or sometimes donāt have perfectly straight teeth, by God never forget one thing. We aināt as dumb as you might think we look.
Penn. Mail-In Vote Shows Formula Was Used to Erase Trump's Overwhelming Lead on Election Night
Penn. Mail-In Vote Shows Formula Was Used to Erase Trumpās Overwhelming Lead on Election Night #StopTheSteal
PA at close of walk-in voting
This story broken on Gateway Pundit
When mathematicians notice patterns, in numbers, they tend to get excited. Nature, absent external forces, likes randomness. Throw a bunch of matchsticks on the floor, and throw after throw, they will not line up in the same direction in straight rows. They will be haphazard, pointing this way and that. Now if the sticks were metal, and there was a magnet nearby, they might orient themselves according to the magnet. An external force. An invisible hand, if you will.
Very neat numerical patterns in elections are also hard to come by. For example, it is hard to predict what a mail-in vote is going to be in a given county, based on its in-person vote. Although experts might predict that, for various reasons, mail-ins might generally favor Biden over Trump, it will be by varying percentages. The differences in the vote splits between the mail-in vote and the in-person vote will be greater in some counties, and smaller in others.
To see this, take a look at a typical non-pattern between the mail-in vote and the walk-in vote for Arkansas. This is more or less how all the states look.
The counties are lined up from left to right in order of increasing Trump margin of win. You only need to pay attention to the orange line below the top blue line. That, the orange line, is Trumpās performance, in the same county, in the mail-in vote. You can see it swings wildly. Sometimes he does only a little worse, sometimes a lot worse. There is no formula or pattern you could apply to predict what the next point will be.
Now we look at PA, perhaps the most hotly contested state of all. Something very strange is taking place here. The walk-in vote and the mail-in vote numbers, the blue and the orange below it, are lining up nicely according to the formula: Trump Mail-in Vote % = Trump Walk-in Vote % ā 40%.
The lines track each other. No unpredictable swings or divergences from the formula. When scientists see very close, mathematically predictable associations between two sets of numbers like this in nature, they start to ask why.
It would almost be as if, at the close of walk-in voting on Tuesday night, when Trump had a seemingly insurmountable lead of 675,000 votes over Biden, 56% to Bidenās 43%, it was determined, in every county except Philadelphia, that Trump would lose the mail-in by whatever he won the walk-in vote by, minus 40 points. Uncannily consistent in every single county.
As you can see by the Arkansas example, these numbers donāt work like that. In Arkansas, Trump lost the mail-in by an average of about 25% less than Joe Biden, with the actual number by county all over the place. In Pennsylvania, Trump lost the mail-in by 40% less, almost exactly, of whatever his walk-in vote was. If the Trump walk-in vote in a county was 80% to 20% Biden, the mail-in was 40% to 60% Biden. If the Trump walk-in vote was 65% to 35% Biden, the mail-in vote was 15% Trump to 85% Biden. You could have made a numbers game for a child out of it.
Worse, when PA announced it had lots of mail-in ballots to count, it never once said how many. Until they were done. That was how many.
So far courts have been throwing out many of Trumpās lawsuits. For some reason some people believe that courts can be corrupt too, as they say they see no āevidence,ā when evidence like this is hitting them in the face. Despite the same media that is telling people that Biden is āpresident electā before the Electoral College has even met, telling them that there is nothing to Trumpās accusations, a lot of people just arenāt buying it.
They donāt believe it, no matter what you or even the courts say. I wonder why.
Because sometimes, even though us folks from these red counties didnāt go to Harvard, or sometimes donāt have perfectly straight teeth, by God never forget one thing. We aināt as dumb as you might think we look.