- Apr 17, 2009
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Poll: Most support path to legal status for illegal immigrants
Fox News Poll: 83 percent support pathway to citizenship for illegal immigrants
And...an interesting analysis in reference to the above poll specifically but can be applied to all polls: Do 80 percent of Americans oppose sanctuary cities?
Nearly two-thirds of Americans say there should be a path to legal status for undocumented immigrants, according to a new poll, and only 26 percent think stopping border crossings should be the top immigration priority.
Sixty percent say a pathway for legal residency should be the governmentās immigration priority in the CNN/ORC survey released Friday.
Thirteen percent said deporting illegal immigrants should instead be immigration priority No. 1. One percent had no opinion.
Pollsters report 58 percent worry deportation efforts will go too far by deporting people who have not committed serious crimes, compared to 40 percent who fear deportation efforts would be too lenient, letting dangerous criminals remain in the U.S. untouched. Two percent had no response.
Twenty-seven percent said the government should deport all illegal immigrants, while by 71 percent disagree.
Sixty percent say a pathway for legal residency should be the governmentās immigration priority in the CNN/ORC survey released Friday.
Thirteen percent said deporting illegal immigrants should instead be immigration priority No. 1. One percent had no opinion.
Pollsters report 58 percent worry deportation efforts will go too far by deporting people who have not committed serious crimes, compared to 40 percent who fear deportation efforts would be too lenient, letting dangerous criminals remain in the U.S. untouched. Two percent had no response.
Twenty-seven percent said the government should deport all illegal immigrants, while by 71 percent disagree.
Fox News Poll: 83 percent support pathway to citizenship for illegal immigrants
The poll finds a record-high 83 percent of voters support setting up a system for all illegal immigrants who are currently working in the country to become legal residents, up nine points since last year. Just 14 percent say ādeport as many as possible,ā down from a high of 30 percent in July 2015.
There is rare partisan agreement on all fronts.
Democrats (66 percent), Republicans (60 percent) and independents (59 percent) all agree it is important Congress work on Dreamer legislation. Partisans are also in sync on granting work permits and U.S. citizenship to these individuals, as majorities of Democrats, Republicans, and independents favor both actions.
Moreover, 63 percent of Trump voters favor granting Dreamers citizenship.
Setting up a system to legalize undocumented immigrants working in the U.S. also receives bipartisan support: most Democrats (95 percent legalize vs. 4 percent deport), Republicans (69-28 percent) and independents (82-13 percent) want legalization to happen.
http://thehill.com/homenews/adminis...y-statistic-do-80-percent-americans-oppose-s/
A survey from HarvardāHarris Poll provided exclusively to The Hill found that 80 percent of voters say local authorities should have to comply with the law by reporting to federal agents the illegal immigrants they come into contact with.
The HarvardāHarris Poll survey found strong support for an overhaul of the nation's immigration laws, with 77 percent saying they support comprehensive immigration reform against only 23 percent who oppose.
āWhile there is broad support for comprehensive immigration reform, there is overwhelming opposition to sanctuary cities,ā said HarvardāHarris co-director Mark Penn. āThe public wants honest immigrants treated fairly and those who commit crimes deported and that's very clear from the data.ā
There is rare partisan agreement on all fronts.
Democrats (66 percent), Republicans (60 percent) and independents (59 percent) all agree it is important Congress work on Dreamer legislation. Partisans are also in sync on granting work permits and U.S. citizenship to these individuals, as majorities of Democrats, Republicans, and independents favor both actions.
Moreover, 63 percent of Trump voters favor granting Dreamers citizenship.
Setting up a system to legalize undocumented immigrants working in the U.S. also receives bipartisan support: most Democrats (95 percent legalize vs. 4 percent deport), Republicans (69-28 percent) and independents (82-13 percent) want legalization to happen.
http://thehill.com/homenews/adminis...y-statistic-do-80-percent-americans-oppose-s/
A survey from HarvardāHarris Poll provided exclusively to The Hill found that 80 percent of voters say local authorities should have to comply with the law by reporting to federal agents the illegal immigrants they come into contact with.
The HarvardāHarris Poll survey found strong support for an overhaul of the nation's immigration laws, with 77 percent saying they support comprehensive immigration reform against only 23 percent who oppose.
āWhile there is broad support for comprehensive immigration reform, there is overwhelming opposition to sanctuary cities,ā said HarvardāHarris co-director Mark Penn. āThe public wants honest immigrants treated fairly and those who commit crimes deported and that's very clear from the data.ā
And...an interesting analysis in reference to the above poll specifically but can be applied to all polls: Do 80 percent of Americans oppose sanctuary cities?
One of our readers asked us to investigate. We decided not to put the 80 percent finding to the Truth-O-Meter, because we donāt doubt the reliability of the poll itself. But questions phrased differently can show dramatically different results.
All told, the finding is a case study in how poll results can be seized by advocates for one side of an issue -- and how some of the nuances in the questions and the answers can be lost in the hubbub.
A closer look at the questions
The question in the poll that attracted the most attention -- certainly from the political right -- was this one: "Should cities that arrest illegal immigrants for crimes be required to turn them over to immigration authorities?" On this question, 80 percent of respondents said yes.
But as we looked into the question, we noticed a couple things.
One was that, despite the blaring headlines about sanctuary cities, the question being asked didnāt actually use the words "sanctuary cities." The other concerned words that the question did use -- "arrest" and "crimes."
To understand why such wording choices matter -- and why they could potentially change the results of the poll -- we first need to review what the term "sanctuary city" actually means.
The question wording
The specific wording used to ask any poll question is always important. Itās not even necessarily a comparison of "good wording" vs."bad wording" -- if a question is asked a certain way, it could nudge respondents to answer in one direction.
In this case, respondents were asked about "crimes." To many, that could bring to mind "violent crimes," especially when paired with the term "arrest."
But the experts we spoke to said the jurisdictions described as sanctuary cities donāt simply let murderers, rapists, armed robbers and other people they arrest for violent crimes go free. Not only would federal immigration officials be notified, but the violent crimes they were charged with would be prosecuted.
Instead, where the rubber hits the road with sanctuary cities is with lesser, non-violent offenses, even down to a broken tail light -- or simply any interaction with police, such as an undocumented immigrant becoming a happenstance witness to a crime. These are the cases in which police in sanctuary cities would typically be trained to refrain from asking for immigration status or informing federal immigration officials.
And this nuance is not captured by the question that garnered 80 percent support in the Harvard-Harris poll -- as well as the lionās share of headlines.
"Question wording always affects responses," said Steven S. Smith, a political scientist and pollster at Washington University in St. Louis. "āArrest ā¦ for crimesā certainly primes the respondent to think that the person is dangerous and therefore should be a high priority in immigration law enforcement."
Karlyn Bowman, a polling analyst at the American Enterprise Institute, noted that there is little history of past polling on the issue of sanctuary cities. But she did uncover one poll released a few days after the Harvard-Harris poll that seems to back up the idea that different wording can substantially change the result.
The poll, conducted by Quinnipiac University and released on Feb. 23, asked, "Thinking about people who have immigrated to the U.S. illegally, who do you think should be deported: Should no illegal immigrants be deported, only illegal immigrants that have committed serious crimes, only illegal immigrants that have committed any crime, or should all illegal immigrants be deported?"
The results: Only 3 percent said no illegal immigrants should be deported, and 19 percent said all illegal immigrants should be deported. But 53 percent of respondents said deportations should only be done for "serious crimes," compared to 22 percent for "any crime."
Thatās not just a plurality -- itās a majority. And that tells a different story than the Internet headlines.
All told, the finding is a case study in how poll results can be seized by advocates for one side of an issue -- and how some of the nuances in the questions and the answers can be lost in the hubbub.
A closer look at the questions
The question in the poll that attracted the most attention -- certainly from the political right -- was this one: "Should cities that arrest illegal immigrants for crimes be required to turn them over to immigration authorities?" On this question, 80 percent of respondents said yes.
But as we looked into the question, we noticed a couple things.
One was that, despite the blaring headlines about sanctuary cities, the question being asked didnāt actually use the words "sanctuary cities." The other concerned words that the question did use -- "arrest" and "crimes."
To understand why such wording choices matter -- and why they could potentially change the results of the poll -- we first need to review what the term "sanctuary city" actually means.
The question wording
The specific wording used to ask any poll question is always important. Itās not even necessarily a comparison of "good wording" vs."bad wording" -- if a question is asked a certain way, it could nudge respondents to answer in one direction.
In this case, respondents were asked about "crimes." To many, that could bring to mind "violent crimes," especially when paired with the term "arrest."
But the experts we spoke to said the jurisdictions described as sanctuary cities donāt simply let murderers, rapists, armed robbers and other people they arrest for violent crimes go free. Not only would federal immigration officials be notified, but the violent crimes they were charged with would be prosecuted.
Instead, where the rubber hits the road with sanctuary cities is with lesser, non-violent offenses, even down to a broken tail light -- or simply any interaction with police, such as an undocumented immigrant becoming a happenstance witness to a crime. These are the cases in which police in sanctuary cities would typically be trained to refrain from asking for immigration status or informing federal immigration officials.
And this nuance is not captured by the question that garnered 80 percent support in the Harvard-Harris poll -- as well as the lionās share of headlines.
"Question wording always affects responses," said Steven S. Smith, a political scientist and pollster at Washington University in St. Louis. "āArrest ā¦ for crimesā certainly primes the respondent to think that the person is dangerous and therefore should be a high priority in immigration law enforcement."
Karlyn Bowman, a polling analyst at the American Enterprise Institute, noted that there is little history of past polling on the issue of sanctuary cities. But she did uncover one poll released a few days after the Harvard-Harris poll that seems to back up the idea that different wording can substantially change the result.
The poll, conducted by Quinnipiac University and released on Feb. 23, asked, "Thinking about people who have immigrated to the U.S. illegally, who do you think should be deported: Should no illegal immigrants be deported, only illegal immigrants that have committed serious crimes, only illegal immigrants that have committed any crime, or should all illegal immigrants be deported?"
The results: Only 3 percent said no illegal immigrants should be deported, and 19 percent said all illegal immigrants should be deported. But 53 percent of respondents said deportations should only be done for "serious crimes," compared to 22 percent for "any crime."
Thatās not just a plurality -- itās a majority. And that tells a different story than the Internet headlines.