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Still, we need to all get out there and work. Don't get complacent.
The OP is basically correct, if Harris wins PA, MI and WI she wins.
Many paths to victory? While Trump has fewer paths?Trump has to almost run the table to win
Harris has many paths to victory while Trump can not afford to lose many battlegrounds
Keep telling yourself thatWell if she does win, the world will see see far less of her. Her and Walz may come out for the midterms like Ground Hog Day, otherwise, her administration will be conducted in secrecy.
SplainMany paths to victory?
You really do get your news in the form of pablum.
thanks for that.2024 Electoral College: No Toss-Up States | RealClearPolling
2024 Electoral College: No Toss-Up Stateswww.realclearpolling.com
For all those who have been clinging to the RCP model.
View attachment 1003740
Hey, Weatherman2020
www.newsweek.com
Splain
The key point is that Trump was once way ahead in Pennsylvania and now it is a statistical tieTied in PA.....But who really knows?
Although Harris is leading in the polling averages, recent polls in Pennsylvania have also shown Trump and Harris tied, including the latest Emerson College poll, conducted between August 25 and 28.
Trump's chances of beating Kamala Harris in Pennsylvania: recent polls
Pennsylvania is one of the most important swing states due to its 19 electoral votes.
Given the polling methods I'll take anything close as a Trump win.....Others can take it as they please.
You really don’t understand the Electoral College do you?No need to, I've seen the analysis objectively.
If she loses Pennsylvania its over. That's all.
President Xi will do his best to get the outcome China wants.
You really don’t understand the Electoral College do you?
Harris can lose Pennsylvania but can offset it with wins in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina (2 of 3)
Understand the concept of multiple paths to victory?
Gee….look at thatShe isn't winning AZ and her chances of winning GA are lower than she would like.
In terms of solid Red vs solid Blue, Trump has 188 electorates to Harris 175.
Here is an analysis I read a couple of weeks ago:
New CNN Road to 270 shows multiple pathways to victory for both Harris and Trump in reshaped race
Solid Republican: (TOTAL: 188 Electoral Votes)
Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska (4), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wyoming (3)
Leans Republican: (TOTAL: 31 Electoral Votes)
Florida (30), Maine 2nd Congressional District (1)
Toss-ups: (TOTAL: 94 Electoral Votes)
Arizona (11), Georgia (16), Michigan (15), Nebraska 2nd Congressional District (1), Nevada (6), North Carolina (16), Pennsylvania (19), Wisconsin (10)
Leans Democratic: (TOTAL: 50 Electoral Votes)
Colorado (10), Minnesota (10), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5), Oregon (8), Virginia (13)
Solid Democratic: (TOTAL: 175 Electoral Votes)
California (54), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), DC (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (19), Maine (3), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), New Jersey (14), New York (28), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (12)
Gee….look at that
You are demonstrating multiple paths to victory
Recent polls are showing your analysis is no longer accurate. “An analysis from a couple weeks ago” is no longer valid
Arizona and Georgia are both leaning to Harris….so is N Carolina which Trump won in 2020
Showing your claim that Harris can’t win if she loses Pennsylvania to be false
I think that the third time around, that stealth vote gets smaller.The OP is basically correct, if Harris wins PA, MI and WI she wins.
What Trump needs is that "stealth vote" that the polls always miss, 9% in 2016 and 5% in 2020.
