Wave watch: It's Trump vs. the economy

Political Junky

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May 27, 2009
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No one believes Trump except a few knuckle draggers.

Wave watch: It's Trump vs. the economy

Here's why it's so hard to predict whether Republicans will actually lose the House in November: It depends whether the election turns on President Trump's low approval ratings or the booming economy.

Between the lines: As this interactive graphic shows, the party in power tends to do well in the House during midterm elections when voters are happy with the economy, but it does poorly when the president's approval rating is low. There's no recent precedent in which the economy is doing well but the president's approval rating is underwater.
 
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