India has a population of 4 times that of US and only 7% of the casesHow much do you know about the dynamics of a pandemic? Because based on what you said (When the virus really started to spread in the beginning of March there was only 75 cases and 1 death in whole country. It hardly existed in most places. Today it's everywhere, in every city and every town) that could apply to everywhere in the world.How compliant, how well people have obeyed the rules, and how much they want to return to their old life, is irrelevant to the future spread of virus. When the virus really started to spread in the beginning of March there was only 75 cases and 1 death in whole country. It hardly existed in most places. Today it's everywhere, in every city and every town. The only thing standing between you and the virus is distance and physical barriers such as masks. Remove those things and it will be March all over again but a lot worse because there's so much more virus around today.
That's sort of how a pandemic acts. We wouldn't have a pandemic if we could have frozen this virus in place when it first appeared. But since the Chinese, colluding with the help of the WHO, lied about the nature and
full scope of this disease that was never a realistic option (not that we could have stopped it in it's tracks if
we tried anyway). Again, that's how a virus works.
Show me a large developed nation like the US that was fully prepared for such a disaster and their numbers.
Even in the best of cases many people, due to a variety of circumstances, were doomed to death.
That's how these viruses work. And it happens every single year, some years worse than others.
Pakistan has a population of 80% the US and only 3% of the cases.
South Korea has population of 20% of US and only .8% of the cases
I haven't found any country which has performed as poorly as the US. The closest was Italy with 18% of the population and 16% of the cases.
I believe the main reason for the America's poor response to the virus was the lack of testing. Unlike other countries, the CDC did not start designing their test kit when China released the genome for the virus in early January. For Some reason they waited for confirmation from China of transmission by human to human contact even thou Chinese doctors had confirmed it weeks before. So only a few test kits were completed by the middle February. Meanwhile, the WHO had shipped hundreds of thousands of test kits to over 60 countries. When the CDC kits were sent out in late February, they were found to be defective and had to be redesigned. Since no one ordered reagents in January when other countries were, there was a shortage and very few kits could be produce in March so the agency had a vendor manufactured kits. And kits started to go out.
However that was only the beginnings of the problems. First, no one but the CDC could process kits because of CDC regulations. After regulations were changed the states could process kits but they lacked PPE equipment to protect employees and didn’t have the capacity. So the states tried to use private labs only to find the FDA had rules that prevented that. After some discussions with the CDC and HHS, the rules were changed. So now, all was well and finally kits could be processed except for one little problem. We ran out of test kits and apparently no one had ordered more kits. However the FDA, had now approved a number of suppliers so states and hospitals could now order tests kits. Now it was end of March. There were 220,000 cases and there had been very little tracking done in March due to lack of testing.
Had we started testing and tracking all contacts during March, we could have had similar results to South Korea who did. At the end of March South Korea had 74 new cases down from 850 on March 1. In the US we had 26,000 new cases up from zero on March 1.
We had missed the golden opportunity in March to stop the virus or at least severely cripple it. We blew it due to a lack of overall management, miscommunications between federal agencies, and the states and the federal government. A Chinese fire drill probably best describes what occurred. Someday, a paper or book will be written about this, titled, "How not to manage and epidemic".
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