rightwinger
Award Winning USMB Paid Messageboard Poster
- Aug 4, 2009
- 285,006
- 157,682
Ummmm.....no, it's nothing like thatStatistical confidence is based on your sample size and measurement variables
Based on that you will have a mean temperature with plus and minus confidence
So, if 2014 has a 38 percent confidence it is the hottest on record
2002 has a 12 percent confidence it is the hottest on record
1993 has a 3 percent confidence it is the hottest on record
Guess which year gets reported as the hottest on record?
That's like saying if you buy two lottery tickets and everyone else buys one they should report you are the winner.
Why don't you try again?