GOP could lose the House in 2014
It's a lovely poll, but without mobilization, we got nothin. Plus, how far out are the elections? The American people are notorious for short attention spans.
The next month or so should give us a better idea of where everybody stands - it's really going to depend on how badly things unfold.
And the TPM congress critters don't seem to have any sort of realization that they are damaging other GOP critters who aren't so blessed on the gerrymandered front.
We're still digesting the details, but we wanted to give you a first look at these new polls because the results are so stunning. Here are a few details:
- In 17 districts a Democrat would likely beat the incumbent Republican if the election were held todayand that's the magic number, as Democrats need 17 seats to take back the House from Tea Party Republicans.
- Majorities of respondents in every poll indicated that they "oppose Congress shutting down major activities of the federal government as a way to stop the health care law from being put into place."
- When voters learn that their Republican Representative supported the government shutdown over Obamacare, they're even more likely to support the Democratic candidatewith four more seats flipping Democratic when people learn that news.
- The Tea Party's approval is in the gutter and some of their greatest champions are already trailinglike Steve King from Iowa who is known for immigrant-bashing, and is now trailing a Democratic opponent 45% to 49%.
It's a lovely poll, but without mobilization, we got nothin. Plus, how far out are the elections? The American people are notorious for short attention spans.
The next month or so should give us a better idea of where everybody stands - it's really going to depend on how badly things unfold.
And the TPM congress critters don't seem to have any sort of realization that they are damaging other GOP critters who aren't so blessed on the gerrymandered front.